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March DISCO/OBS: Please End It

40/70 Benchmark

By 40/70 Benchmark,
in New England

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40/70 Benchmark
40/70 Benchmark

Yea, better shot of Kev hosting the next Democratic Convention.

dryslot
dryslot

I’m seriously having some drinks tonight with lava.

SouthCoastMA
SouthCoastMA

I asked chatgpt it's thoughts on the GFS   It's 'not entirely garbage'. woo hoo

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

Posted
Posted
13 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

I think I am close to locking in a late season event. Not kidding. Has that look when -NAO decays.

So would the NAO be sort of a prerequisite to any such event?  

... as I was mentioning to Kevina, yesterday, I've seen these big NAO deals in the models just up and not happen some 50% of the time.  Negative or positive.  I haven't done a deep dive this morning yet, but just on the surface of what I have glanced at during these droning morning meetings ... there's signs there that this -NAO is also showing some continuity issues already. 

I wouldn't be shocked if it mutates into some less variation ... in which case,  a recovery type/restoral event ( which is kinda what you're intimating there) isn't really required as much and there we go.  

Then again,  "bowling season" kicks in now and lasts thru ~ Easter every year, which can happen regardless, too. Those types don't seem to be related to anything

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2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

First run of season in shorts . Torch!! 
Winds already ripping in gusts. Wild couple of days coming 

I'm hoping it scours this granular pack away frankly.  Snow banks are exposing dog turds and whatever in the hell-o societal shit stains now and the stuff in the fields is useless

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10 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

But it happens….And it will happen again.  Just a matter of when. 

It will become less and less likely ...reducing in probability of return, every year moving forward while the objective reality of climate change continues.

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34 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

They’ll be wilted to Dendy or very near there 

It's over ...  man, it's down right palpable in the guidance complexion. 

Sure, it's not impossible to cash in on a bowling ball low ... Or if the -NAO does in fact materialize, then relaxes --> some sort of restoral event... either way.  But, I find those as fleeting possibilities that are not dependable.  We'll see.  But depending on these to happen, also when a warmer world was only just suppressed all along and feel we've been sort of collectively enabled or lulled into forgetting that, mmm

Warmth is spring loaded and may be ready to bounce the other way, pun intended.   

See, this is where you and I have tended to agree in the past... When the next season is air apparent, I like to have on with it. Rip the band aide off, sans the fantasy and hiding head in the enabling sand, and go big. 

Of course, personal druthers and reality seldom share space but hey ...  there's always dreaming.  

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WinterWolf

WinterWolf

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39 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I'm talking temp trend line, not short term blips.

There will always be March snowstorms..call it a blip, call it whatever you’d like.  Just saying.

 But in all honesty, I hope we spring time after the 10th.  We don’t need a snowstorm after that.  Now that we all want spring, it won’t happen. 

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1 hour ago, dendrite said:

image.jpeg

The problem with post-modern society is that somewhere along the way in getting here, there's been this new reproach to everything where, if one doesn't understand something or does not like the implications of something,  they don't apparently have to believe it even exists. 

This is proooobably precipitated out of the fake news momentum that waved through culture about 10 years ago - remember that?  It was tongue 'n' cheek but ... heh, now we suffer the ramification of the "alternate reality" fixation .

..Which is a luxury anyway - take away the industrial advantages of ass wiping our consequences away whenever we are objectively false ... there's a negative feedback that leads to false morality ... in turn defaulting to this form of abstinence.  It has been enabling people's approach to everything into basically a systemic lessening of returns - and ... duh duh dunnn, psychobabble science has papered that the commoner IQ is some 20 points lower than it was prior to 1920 - so, we warm the planet, and cool the intellects, then the latter re-enforces the former, and we have a nice closed feed-back loop that ensures a finality that ...well, - most are probably too stupid to believe is even possible... 

But that chart above?   We might be surprised how little that actually means anything to the majority of population.  It's a cool blue knife.

 

 

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
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12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

There will always be March snowstorms..call it a blip, call it whatever you’d like.  Just saying.

 But in all honesty, I hope we spring time after the 10th.  We don’t need a snowstorm after that.  Now that we all want spring, it won’t happen. 

Of course, this is New England after all.

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dendrite

dendrite

Posted
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13 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

The problem with post-modern society is that somewhere along the way in getting here, there's been this new reproach to everything that has aroused a reproach where, if one does understand something or does not like the implications of something,  they don't apparently have to believe it even exists. 

This is proooobably precipitated out of the fake news momentum that waved through culture about 10 years ago - remember that?  It was tongue 'n' cheek but ... heh, now we suffer the ramification of the "alternate reality" fixation .

..Which is a luxury anyway - take away the industrial advantages of ass wiping our consequences away whenever we are objectively false ... there's a negative feedback there in general virtuosity.  It has been enabling people's approach to everything into basically systemic lessening of returns - and ... duh duh dunnn, psychobabble science has papered that the commoner IQ is some 20 points lower than it was prior to 1920 - so, we warm the planet, and cool the intellects, then the latter re-enforces the former, and we have a nice closed feed-back loop that ensures a finality that ...well, - most are probably too stupid to believe is even possible... 

But that chart above?   We might be surprised how little that actually means anything to the majority of population.  It's a cool blue knife.

 

 

It’s unfortunate that every issue gets politicized and split down party lines now. CC should be about the science. 

Imagine if the ozone hole was discovered today? We would have parties arguing over CFCs and people in trailer parks in Arkansas saying they’re not giving up their aerosol cans. 

But the action the world took resulted in quite a success story. 

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6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It’s unfortunate that every issue gets politicized and split down party lines now. CC should be about the science. 

Imagine if the ozone hole was discovered today? We would have parties arguing over CFCs and people in trailer parks in Arkansas saying they’re not giving up their aerosol cans. 

But the action the world took resulted in quite a success story. 

... showing that it's certainly possible to successfully entreaty a different response, one that did not end up in this -so far- failed acceptance of what is really true in the case of CC.  How and why-for such a broadly brushed repulse to CC came about is a post vastly tl;dr

It will be proven true tho, inevitably the hard way.   Hopefully the hardness of heads will be proven finally soft enough to penetrate with reality, in time, but probably not. 

There won't likely be achieved reduction thresholds ...blah blah, resulting inimically in the horrors of "force population corrections",  through both subtle and gross means... That's a dystopian not-so-fictional expose' for another sub forum thread ..etc.

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Just now, dendrite said:

Big oil, and those investing in it, obviously have their reasons for foiling the effort. 
 

Anyway…stuck at 33°. It feels like one of those warm sector fail days. 

Totally!  

but ... I don't believe it.  It's really 58F

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