March DISCO/OBS: Please End It

[ineedsnow]

Gfs sure is consistent 

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I just hate Morch . It’s not a winter month . It’s the time of year where sure I’ll take the snow and have fun in the track leading up to it. But it just leaves a sad, hollow feeling knowing it starts melting immediately once it ends . It’s a spring feel and vibe . And we don’t really even get those storms anymore and won’t going forward 

Silly statement….We will most certainly get those storms again in March.…bet your IPA’s on it.  

[Torch Tiger]

5 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said:

Tip made a post this morning about how things are trending away from his signature heat burst. So, good luck.

heat burst? lol  I'm expecting a few days in the 50's and maybe 60's if lucky, but that's very nice and AN

[WinterWolf]

33 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said:

While you guys were wasting time drooling over another fake GFS snowstorm our "big warmup" has now been reduced to one day. The 12th on the Euro and the 14th on the GFS. The GFS has subzero temps on the 11th lol. It shows mostly 30s for highs, this sucks.

Not surprising at all.. it’s been this way all season.  The warmth in the long range never materializes…unfortunately neither did the storms here.  But the cold has overwhelmed all warm long range fantasies. 

[8611Blizz]

It is a fast mover though. Looks to dump 10-12" in about 12 hours for this area. 

Still far enough to be used for entertainment purposes  only right now.

[SouthCoastMA]

I asked chatgpt it's thoughts on the GFS

 

It's 'not entirely garbage'. woo hoo

[ineedsnow]

GEFS still wild

[ineedsnow]

Storm should be gone at 0z though.. I don't see how the GFS will show it again with nothing else on board 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 hour ago, kdxken said:

Reliable source says snow storms until April. 

Margarbage and the BK cruiser holding hands while flicking each other’s ear lobes…

[radarman]

11 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

I asked chatgpt it's thoughts on the GFS

 

It's 'not entirely garbage'. woo hoo

Lower resolution doesn't necessarily lead to less precise long range forecasts

[Chrisrotary12]

Since everyone is saying “Toss”, just in case reverse psychology is needed: “Bring it!”

[mreaves]

13 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

I asked chatgpt it's thoughts on the GFS

 

It's 'not entirely garbage'. woo hoo

Proof that AI isn’t all knowing yet!

[DavisStraight]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I just hate Morch . It’s not a winter month . It’s the time of year where sure I’ll take the snow and have fun in the track leading up to it. But it just leaves a sad, hollow feeling knowing it starts melting immediately once it ends . It’s a spring feel and vibe . And we don’t really even get those storms anymore and won’t going forward 

I agree, you enjoy it while it happens then it sucks for a few days after until its gone. That said, I wouldn't mind one.

[mreaves]

43 minutes ago, dryslot said:

969mb over the elbow, We've seen this movie before, Toss.

Toying with the idea of heading to the Forks for the weekend. I know this warm up won’t wreck the base but do you think it may be rock hard ice with no snow for cooling?

[40/70 Benchmark]

25 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Storm should be gone at 0z though.. I don't see how the GFS will show it again with nothing else on board 

Yup. Unless it pulls a JMA circa Feb 2006

[Heisy]

Significant changes on the euro with the wave out west so far


.

[Heisy]

These are steps towards gfs




.

[Heisy]

But the ridge, N/S and confluence out ahead isn’t changing so it’s still a no go


.

[brooklynwx99]

Just now, Heisy said:

But the ridge, N/S and confluence out ahead isn’t changing so it’s still a no go


.

the heights over British Columbia are higher again

[Allsnow]

Just now, Heisy said:

But the ridge, N/S and confluence out ahead isn’t changing so it’s still a no go


.

AI has been locked in for days now 

[CoastalWx]

The euro will try to get closer while the gfs slides SE. End result = Cirrus.

[Heisy]

Here is the gfs vs euro

The euro has trended towards a stronger wave like GFS, but it hasn’t moved with the N/S




.

[Damage In Tolland]

47 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

GEFS still wild

They’re really not though. A few members skewing 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

40 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Since everyone is saying “Toss”, just in case reverse psychology is needed: “Bring it!”

Catch?

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

They’re really not though. A few members skewing 

A few?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

They’re really not though. A few members skewing 

The mean jumped back se too. 

[Torch Tiger]

18z gfs looked mild/seasonable D8-14 for SNE. no impressive cold shown at all, just a few warm days then cool downs.  Sort of like our Decembers are now...50's 60's , then a cool down to 30's 40's.  nbd

[ineedsnow]

I'm still guessing at 0z the GFS will look much different.. other models aren't even close

[dryslot]

48 minutes ago, mreaves said:

Toying with the idea of heading to the Forks for the weekend. I know this warm up won’t wreck the base but do you think it may be rock hard ice with no snow for cooling?

Looks like they will flip back to snow showers on the backside up there and temps are only looking like 20's for a high and low teens for lows Fri-Sun, Hopefully they get out and groom before the weekend, I would probably opt for Jackman though, Its gets a bit thin down in the Forks.

[MJO812]

26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

The euro will try to get closer while the gfs slides SE. End result = Cirrus.

It's coming