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March DISCO/OBS: Please End It


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8 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Models might be getting more blockier because the MJO don't stall in 1 anymore. Look at the NAO on the Eps. Goes Negative. 

received_2061570014353362.jpeg

GEFs are diametric to that at this time.  

Also - that is a new obtrusion into a longer term continuity; sudden continuity changes are typically proven suspect.   Just sayin it may not be stable as an outlook -

Lastly, the spatial/synoptic features out in time have blocking heights over the eastern limb of the NAO.    That bias correlates to raising heights E of Chicago to the EC...and with the -PNA well under way ( negative west, positive east), these correlations et al don't bode well for us winter enthusiasts.  Best to set up our expectations lower. 

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