March DISCO/OBS: Please End It

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just don’t do it. 

You really have to tell me that given my attitude on here? 

[WinterWolf]

31 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah that’s almost a juiced-look version of a Feb 2013 phase job. It’ll be either over DTW or Bermuda by verification time for sure…

How can something be more juiced than Feb 2013 was?  

[WinterWolf]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

You really have to tell me that given my attitude on here? 

You know what they say…the real big ones shine from way out in time….  A week from Sunday or Monday she’s coming in hot. Lmao.

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

You really have to tell me that given my attitude on here? 

Maybe, just maybe ma nature remembered the lube this time?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Euro with a nice bomb on the benchmark with limited moisture and rain. That will probably be the solution that verifies 

[Typhoon Tip]

23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

GEFS kind of look like the Canadian. But yet, hard to even entertain these solutions given the sodomy as Ray eloquently put it.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Euro with a nice bomb on the benchmark with limited moisture and rain. That will probably be the solution that verifies 

We haven't had a BM rain event on the sodomy check-list. Lets do it.

[WinterWolf]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

We haven't had a BM rain event on the sodomy check-list. Lets do it.

If it’s a bomb..how come limited moisture? 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

If it’s a bomb..how come limited moisture? 

I haven't seen it yet. 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I haven't seen it yet. 

Ya…I mean 10 plus days clown crap, but I was just wondering if it’s a bomb as Seymour said..why the limited precip? 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Ya…I mean 10 plus days clown crap, but I was just wondering if it’s a bomb as Seymour said..why the limited precip? 

Did it yesterday I think too. Was a strong low but limited precip shield.

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

If it’s a bomb..how come limited moisture? 

Occlussion.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Occlussion.

Miller A? 

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Miller A? 

Miller Genuine Draft 

[CoastalWx]

LOL. It just has no cold really. Maybe some lighter snows to ORH. Oh man, that would be classic. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Miller A? 

Miller…choke.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

LOL. It just has no cold really. Maybe some lighter snows to ORH. Oh man, that would be classic. 

I never trust the pony’s surface depictions anyway. I just look at its h5 trends.

[MJO812]

8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Miller A? 

Just like Euro AL

[Typhoon Tip]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

LOL. It just has no cold really. Maybe some lighter snows to ORH. Oh man, that would be classic. 

I so hope this happens for shear fascination of it ... but just a CH of correction on the Euro is a 12-15" blizzard, then ... look at this warm front barely 2 days later!

That sucker's totin' 70+ no question ...it would be really amazing to see that air mass punch into that

[CoastalWx]

Wow euro furnaces after. +14C at 850. 

[ineedsnow]

@weatherwiz should be in his car and on his way down south.. looks like a big outbreak next week if things hold 

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

@weatherwiz should be in his car and on his way down south.. looks like a big outbreak next week if things hold 

Was just about to post...could see a decent low topped squall line signal here Wednesday. Some big timing differences but looks like some pretty steep lapse rates and unseasonably moist llvl theta-e advecting up the coast. Could see severe risk as far north as northern New Jersey 

[ineedsnow]

found this kind of interesting from a discussion down south..  I thought this was a thing of the past?

Overnight, the system weakens a
bit, but spreads over all of our area with showers based on the
00Z GFS. The 06Z is a little less certain with coverage, so we
will wait on the 12Z. This is why we launch balloons twice a day
to cover the cool and hot charts. Off hour runs should always be
taken with a grain of salt.

[ORH_wxman]

31 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

We haven't had a BM rain event on the sodomy check-list. Lets do it.

We got one last year in January I think. 

[Damage In Tolland]

They’ve become very common. 34-37 degree BM Rainers. Had one on Thanksgiving 

[WinterWolf]

17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

They’ve become very common. 34-37 degree BM Rainers. Had one on Thanksgiving 

The thanksgiving one wasn’t that cold though…low to mid 40’s. 

[Allsnow]

We 12z AI for the 9th 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

We 12z AI for the 9th 

10-14 and then call it a season. I'd hit it.

[weatherwiz]

33 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

found this kind of interesting from a discussion down south..  I thought this was a thing of the past?

Overnight, the system weakens a
bit, but spreads over all of our area with showers based on the
00Z GFS. The 06Z is a little less certain with coverage, so we
will wait on the 12Z. This is why we launch balloons twice a day
to cover the cool and hot charts. Off hour runs should always be
taken with a grain of salt.

It's a stigma that just won't go away. But I mean how many people out there are creating forecasts based off of 6z/18z runs? I would probably wager not many...well maybe in the Pacific/Alaskan/Hawaiian time zones. But for the most part, by the time the 6z/18z runs start coming out, most forecasts are probably already complete...maybe if there is potential for local storm impact there are some tweaks made. Maybe 6z/18z are used more for the nowcast/short-term

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

found this kind of interesting from a discussion down south..  I thought this was a thing of the past?

Overnight, the system weakens a
bit, but spreads over all of our area with showers based on the
00Z GFS. The 06Z is a little less certain with coverage, so we
will wait on the 12Z. This is why we launch balloons twice a day
to cover the cool and hot charts. Off hour runs should always be
taken with a grain of salt.

Been saying this for a long time…but was told it’s not true anymore. Now NWS says it is lol.