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March DISCO/OBS: Please End It


40/70 Benchmark
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30 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Hadn’t really watched much of that since the 90s, but it went viral after it happened. :lol:

I have to admit I had hoped Cena was a drag queen who turned heel in 8” stilettos and then I could say something nice about how more open-minded and culturally inclusive straight men had become….

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1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

Man look at Wey…44 on Saturday, while we bask in 75.   As has been suggested, that warmth probably all ends up further SW of SNE, but that would be something. 

Yeah... Watched Gil Simmons live this morning and he doesn't think we will be in the warm sector as of now for Saturday... But, if we did get into the 70's... I won't say no. 

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16 hours ago, dendrite said:

3.5” final…it’s fairly dense for not being wet.

Likewise here - missed the better bands, lousy dendrite growth, expected a better ratio than 8.7 to 1 with temps low 20s.  Our 4" looks quite nice, however, and it brings the total to within 1/10" of the break point between awful and merely BN.

Yep, not snowblowing

Same here, but packed enough of the driveway so that the crummy-traction USPS van can deliver.

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14 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

@Great Snow 1717Notice any snow here today? I don't see it on the KLWM ops, but KASH has a couple of hours of flakes this AM....

yes I did, it began as snow and it stayed that way for a couple of hours before going over to a mix of sleet and snow then rain...3rd time this month that there has been snow in Methuen

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1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

Can't wait until we start getting some greens and yellows/oranges over us

image.png.f2167a023dc10abf4ac1b1c101b09d8b.png

My understanding is you have an inclination for summer-time severe weather and I'm assuming the greens -> orange imply that.  On these maps though, when the green/yellow/orange show up, what is it signifying?  Wind direction/speed?  I'm assuming wind direction and speed at various height levels but I don't have an understanding of how that translates weather-wise. I'm also assuming that may have something to do with the phrase "mixing down" that I kind of understand.

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3 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

time to force feed a random poster a bunch of philosophy no one asked for ...

When one implements a combination of climatology with experience, this weekend's doesn't have a prayer of elevating temperatures as high as the Euro vision ...anywhere N and E of about middle NJ   About ... oh, 1 time in 100, warmth wins when looking at a 108 hour table setting that features pure arctic crystal air slabbed into Ontario, back built by actual sfc +PP.   ... so, we'll see..  

Over the next 10 days, the EPO rises into a warm mode(positive), while he PNA settles into a warm mode (negative), per the ensemble mean derivatives from both the EPS and GEFs.  

Yet, among the operational model versions, we have been seeing these persistently modeled impressive cold slabs at continental sized air masses, dumped into southern Canada, replete with +PP to implicate the correction vector is always pointed S ...

The ens/indexes have seasonality + some of other argumentative stuff to support it.

These op versions have an antecedent cold winter ( relative to the world) persistence that despite some mild days recently, doesn't really "feel" like it's let completely go of the nut grip.   Not when you see this f-up verkokta hemisphere below... This is a minefield of reasons not to assume it warms up until something erases this the hemisphere in lieu of an entirely new paradigm.  I'm not sure what that will take ... maybe July ?     For that matter, how the hell the numerical calculations for the index fields end up with a +EPO/-PNA with this is really rather remarkable.  It's like the circulation mode is designed to be cold using warm correlators :blink:

image.png.d23feec6f5450b510dd81b6c8fa540b8.png

 

Thanks..I think? :mellow:

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