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March DISCO/OBS: Please End It


40/70 Benchmark
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Actually felt like late winter for a while out there today, especially compared to Sunday! I guess it’s easy to forget it’s still only mid March, in New England so just about anything is in the cards until the literal dam of warmth building to our south and west finally breaks through our force field of suckiness. Until then, we embrace the suck.

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29 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Funny how a winter pattern establishes and just rots in place, like a waning deformation band as the seasonal dynamics run their course.

1743573600-AmQ2h9DA5gU.png

That would be a pretty awesome outcome just to see the dark humor posts it would catalyze from you.

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29 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Funny how a winter pattern establishes and just rots in place, like a waning deformation band as the seasonal dynamics run their course.

1743573600-AmQ2h9DA5gU.png

Wasn't the Euro also showing something pretty big for April 2nd as well? Yesterday. I could be imagining that but I thought it showed it as well. Maybe it was a GFS come I can't keep up. 

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2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

That would be a pretty awesome outcome just to see the dark humor posts it would catalyze from you.

I don't think you would get as much as you think....I can only become so frustrated until my internal defense mechanisms kick in and I withdraw investment....I began doing that in mid January it was complete by March.

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I have said this before, but I was all in on the Jan 11th threat....and when that withered into an advisory event, I took note of what kept going wrong out west and identified that as the hallmark of this season....I was sold on suck after that. My snow numbers ended up pretty accurate, but of course hope springs eternal thoughout the fall and early winter.

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39 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Funny how a winter pattern establishes and just rots in place, like a waning deformation band as the seasonal dynamics run their course.

1743573600-AmQ2h9DA5gU.png

I've already got my air bnb booked to chase...Somewhere along route 22 between Harrisburg and State College.
(I need to bring my mom though)

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  ... yet another way to consider things, it's just past mid March.  What are we expecting for sensible weather, or what the day-to-day modeling cinema really should be for warm enthusiast d-dripping  haha

I realize the last 15 to 20 years worth of springs have maybe molded perceptions. This year (so far) seems to be a dichotomy of aspects.   It's appealing as cold and lingering in the pattern, replete with risks therein ...while also being warmer than normal.  

The other thing that makes this perception aspect interesting is that we are blazing away with +4 to +5 type departures as of the 15th at the major climate sites, yet we're feeling lovelorn for spring?   I don't know how fair or just any sense of loss really is   ... 

I blame the models.  I think there's a collective psychobabble response thing that happens when the impressions given by the models, over time, tint people's perceptions of what the reality is.  If the models are consummately showing X when people want Y, there's this mood.

 

 

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Another one of these crushingly deep radiational cooling nights.  

25 here

36 up stairs on the hill at ORH  

11 F variance between ...

I feel like it's winter really until the frost stops.  Period.   I don't care if it's 80.... if this cold crap can't stop at night where we plumb to brick earth depths, it's still winter.   You just may not be getting the fuller plate of offerings but the season's stuck in piece of shit purgatory until that stops.

 

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43 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Another one of these crushingly deep radiational cooling nights.  

25 here

36 up stairs on the hill at ORH  

11 F variance between ...

I feel like it's winter really until the frost stops.  Period.   I don't care if it's 80.... if this cold crap can't stop at night where we plumb to brick earth depths, it's still winter.   You just may not be getting the fuller plate of offerings but the season's stuck in piece of shit purgatory until that stops.

 

26.2 here.

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