CoastalWx Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 EPS isn't pretty either. Maybe some days AN mostly due to overnight lows, but meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 18 Author Share Posted March 18 On 3/18/2025 at 11:55 AM, CoastalWx said: EPS isn't pretty either. Maybe some says AN mostly due to overnight lows, but meh. Expand Just an uneventful and modestly unpleasant stretch...nothing redeeming about it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 On 3/18/2025 at 12:02 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just an uneventful and modestly unpleasant stretch...nothing redeeming about it. Expand As of now, yeah. But sometimes stuff pops up because of the wonky jet and cutoff season. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 On 3/18/2025 at 12:02 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just an uneventful and modestly unpleasant stretch...nothing redeeming about it. Expand This always happens as we get into April. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 On 3/18/2025 at 11:39 AM, CoastalWx said: Still haven’t been below 32 for like 10 days. Expand Unfortunately got to 29.5 this morning. At least we are done with snow threats 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 On 3/18/2025 at 12:06 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Unfortunately got to 29.5 this morning. At least we are done with snow threats Expand Maybe back on the 10th I think last time. Hoping that will be the last time, but not sure. Was cloudy all night here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 18 Author Share Posted March 18 On 3/18/2025 at 12:06 PM, CoastalWx said: As of now, yeah. But sometimes stuff pops up because of the wonky jet and cutoff season. Expand I doubt it....strongly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 18 Author Share Posted March 18 Didn't make freezing here....just down to 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 18 Author Share Posted March 18 I haven't even seen a flake in March.....not sure that has happened in my lifetime. Would be a fitting way to end the season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 On 3/18/2025 at 12:11 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I haven't even seen a flake in March.....not sure that has happened in my lifetime. Would be a fitting way to end the season. Expand You'll likely have some in air Friday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 18 Author Share Posted March 18 On 3/18/2025 at 12:13 PM, Typhoon Tip said: You'll likely have some in air Friday Expand Remind me to congratulate myself. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 Just a coating here last week from that weenie band. Even that was melting when I got up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 On 3/18/2025 at 12:15 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Remind me to congratulate myself. Expand Hopefully we get 'em next year. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 You guys didn't ask me but re the operational majors. The GFS typically lags behind the others during the winter into spring seasonal change. It's a subtle issue with that guidance ( not very obvious ...) but it tends too end up with a surplus of cold heights out in time. I've even mused at times that it seemed to do so at the same rate the complexion of the hemisphere should be gaining heights from solar forcing and normal migration. It's like its bias almost proportionately offsets spring's advance. That's why if anyone's bothered to remember how the model has behaved during this time of year, over the years ..., you might recall that it tends to end up with longer ranges that look like winter synoptics at oddly late times. Say you are looking at a May 8th LR outlook from April 25th, and it's ending up with blue dipping lines S of Chicago with turbo jet strengths... Meanwhile, the other guidance are already hinting at Sonoran/SW heat releases. Anyway, there's a pretty obvious multi-guidance ens sourced -WPO/+PNA ( EPO's a little flat... but whatever ) between the 23rdish and the 30thlike ... Uh, not a good look for spring/warm enthusiasts. So both these colder correlations, and the GFS doing so anyway ... are concurrently true. There's a lot of reasons to suspect that we won't max as cold as the correlations would fit, however - rabbit hole. You know ...we just went through almost 10 days of -NAO, much of which was even west based, yet put up positive departures for the period in March. Correlations have been getting stressed over the years ... That look, -WPO/+PNA showed up during this winter on a couple of occasions. Yet, only unrelenting poor performance drove many of us to divorce our ambitions for the seasonal intercourse so to speak, so now in spring? It gets even uglier. We'll see, but to me the GFS should be suspect when given any excuse to validate it's masturbatory habits with the N stream. While at the same time ... -WPO/+PNA ... could still perform when we least expect it to do so, thus ... abasing the veracity of this clad reasoning in lieu of enabling fuckery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 On 3/18/2025 at 12:06 PM, MJO812 said: This always happens as we get into April. Expand More times than not, yes. And this is the problem- especially in NE, we get the first few days of 60-65 in March, and everybody is all giddy with spring warmth fever, and then we settle into the doldrums of overcast and 46 with a raw breeze, and sprinkles/drizzle, for weeks on end as March wears on. And then April continues the crap; with a nice day or maybe two mixed in if we’re fortunate. But it’s mostly crap. That’s why I don’t understand the rush to that kind of crap. Sure we have nice springs sometimes too, but get ready for the crap this go around it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 On 3/18/2025 at 12:15 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Remind me to congratulate myself. Expand I would like to remind you to please stay safe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 Underrated event began 12 years ago this evening. One hell of a SWFE. Had about 10" in Dorchester..pretty sure Ray had about a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 Frankly ... I like the UKMET's look for Friday the best. It really this should do jack shit. I could see it smelling like snow cold mist as it ends more than actual snow in the air. It's a progressive system in a pattern foot that has never favored anything deepening/developing in time since 2015 so - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 18 Author Share Posted March 18 On 3/18/2025 at 1:20 PM, CoastalWx said: Underrated event began 12 years ago this evening. One hell of a SWFE. Had about 10" in Dorchester..pretty sure Ray had about a foot. Expand The St Paddy 2007 event was nice...11" of paste in Wilmington and 13" of powder on the other side of the CF up at UML. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 On 3/18/2025 at 1:26 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: The St Paddy 2008 event was nice...11" of paste in Wilmington and 13" of powder on the other side of the CF up at UML. Expand Yep that was a good one too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 Friday could be pretty decent for the Adirondacks. Could get smoked pretty good actually. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 On 3/18/2025 at 12:52 PM, WinterWolf said: More times than not, yes. And this is the problem- especially in NE, we get the first few days of 60-65 in March, and everybody is all giddy with spring warmth fever, and then we settle into the doldrums of overcast and 46 with a raw breeze, and sprinkles/drizzle, for weeks on end as March wears on. And then April continues the crap; with a nice day or maybe two mixed in if we’re fortunate. But it’s mostly crap. That’s why I don’t understand the rush to that kind of crap. Sure we have nice springs sometimes too, but get ready for the crap this go around it seems. Expand I don't think its anyone rushing to that crap, but I do agree that these great days early in the season can sometimes make us forget how shitty spring can and usually is. but I don't think its anyone rushing to this...its more about knowing there will be these type of days mixed in and trying to take advantage of them. It's also a sign that, yes while we have crap, we are going through the tunnel and be out of the crap soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 On 3/18/2025 at 12:06 PM, MJO812 said: This always happens as we get into April. Expand Nah. It’s coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 On 3/17/2025 at 9:09 PM, NW_of_GYX said: Interesting, my average here is only 4” less than you but my sample size is only 12 years. I am 15” behind you season to date but I can’t remember the storms that we missed that you got? That’s a decent variation for not a ton of latitude/climo gain. I was up at saddleback this weekend and the drive home through weld, Peru, Hartford was interesting, more pack hanging on in those hills as of yesterday than rangeley area. Seems like your area may have been the sweet spot in this unremarkable season for interior Maine. Expand Things started off great, with 8" Thanksgiving night and 9.3" on Dec 5, the two biggest snows of the season. We had recorded 24" by Dec 10. From then on, it has been a bunch of itty-bitties, other than the Feb 16-17 event which matched the T-Day's 8". We've had only 2 warned storms, tied with 2015-16 for the fewest; median WSW is 6. (Dec 5 was an overperformer, forecast was 3-6.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 On 3/18/2025 at 1:26 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: The St Paddy 2007 event was nice...11" of paste in Wilmington and 13" of powder on the other side of the CF up at UML. Expand Midlevel warmth spoiled it up here. Started with 7" powder then 3" IP from 1.1" LE at temp in upper teens, capped with some ZR. Total LE was 1.92", an 18-20" potential turned to 7.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 On 3/18/2025 at 2:01 PM, weatherwiz said: I don't think its anyone rushing to that crap, but I do agree that these great days early in the season can sometimes make us forget how shitty spring can and usually is. but I don't think its anyone rushing to this...its more about knowing there will be these type of days mixed in and trying to take advantage of them. It's also a sign that, yes while we have crap, we are going through the tunnel and be out of the crap soon enough. Expand Some kept saying they wanted out in late February…that’s rushing. And you rush to more lousy weather than good weather most of the time. But yes…this is the tunnel that we have to go through here…we know this. But being out of the crap soon enough…ya it’s a long tunnel from here(3/18) if the weather is lousy.??? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 On 3/18/2025 at 2:45 PM, WinterWolf said: Some kept saying they wanted out in late February…that’s rushing. And you rush to more lousy weather than good weather most of the time. But yes…this is the tunnel that we have to go through here…we know this. But being out of the crap soon enough…ya it’s a long tunnel from here(3/18) if the weather is lousy.??? Expand No doubt that tunnel can be long. I mean we've certainly had some terrible weather well past Memorial Day. It's a crap shoot around here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 On 3/18/2025 at 2:48 PM, weatherwiz said: No doubt that tunnel can be long. I mean we've certainly had some terrible weather well past Memorial Day. It's a crap shoot around here. Expand It's funny he refers to it as a "tunnel" because that's precisely what gets stuffed by it right up the tunnel ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 On 3/18/2025 at 2:16 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Nah. It’s coming. Expand May Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 On 3/18/2025 at 2:48 PM, weatherwiz said: No doubt that tunnel can be long. I mean we've certainly had some terrible weather well past Memorial Day. It's a crap shoot around here. Expand Absolutely Paul…100%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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