Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,797
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    jimmyjam
    Newest Member
    jimmyjam
    Joined

March DISCO/OBS: Please End It


40/70 Benchmark
 Share

Recommended Posts

4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

The remnants of the CT River ice jam were impressive driving through Brattleboro VT this evening.  Would love to witness that sometime. 

It's been epic on all of the rivers around here.  I took a lot of pictures with my my mind but not so many with a camera because a lot of what I saw, was while driving.  

  • Like 1
  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

I mean we are and have been the greatest country the world has seen.  The world depends on us. Are we perfect hell no but  I will never back down to any lunatic who thinks otherwise. Sorry but your continued disparaging of our country is old 

the U.S. is top 20 in my eyes :thumbsup: 

anyway, great wx stretch upcoming!  Love to see these 50's and 60's becoming more and more frequent "norms" in March

  • Like 1
  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

21 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

It's been epic on all of the rivers around here.  I took a lot of pictures with my my mind but not so many with a camera because a lot of what I saw, was while driving.  

Even here on the backyard waterway (in the valley bottom), saw some jammed ice from the recent thaw.

But it’s flushing itself out in a controlled manner with these sunny mild days.

IMG_3206.jpeg.d812c91148ebf3b4764516be30aaa2af.jpeg

IMG_3253.jpeg.1a49cd1f2010aaabea9e5afb46457eb0.jpeg

IMG_3207.jpeg.b13e6ed73fa93fddf47423f507673371.jpeg

IMG_3208.jpeg.b2ae8d7bb0f1cf81c3196ad8b61af286.jpeg

 

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Did not think we'd see (or even need) a Marginal Risk in our area but alas we have it so just enjoy it! Put the snowblowers away, snow shovels, snow map, snow boards...its a new season. Lets get things cooking before May

image.png.feedc7146244ef5cf76dfd7152397ecc.png

A new fail season has begun.

  • Haha 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Real severe will occur where it usually does. Maybe someone gets a rumble in SNE. Boing!!

TBH I don't even know if anyone in SNE gets any thunder. I'm pretty shocked to see the marginal so far east...thought the cutoff would be well back to like PA/NJ border. Eventually we'll see it cut back. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 hours ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ya today was much warmer than guidance 54 here great day 

I'm curious about tomorrow in this regard when comparing the interpolative products, the 2-meter graphics, vs the MOS products.

The 00z and 06z NAM has <50% RH at all typical ceiling sigma levels:  925, 850, 700, 500, 300, and 200 mb ... all the way up.  With neutral and even tendencies for DVM regional motion.  850 mb temperatures are +10C.  Sfc winds are also light and S ...veering slightly more SW. This implies mostly sunny, and at least for the interior away from the S. and E shore regions, full heating at Equinox insolation.

Yet, the 2-meter graphical layout has 43 F ave throughout the entire region at 18 to 21Z in the afternoon.  Should be 63 minimum.  MET (machine MOS) is 61 at KBDL, but 65 KFIT and KASH ...so the interpolative algorithms are wondering what the 2-meter graphics are smoking.  Much more reasonable.

I took a look at the globals and they are a solid 13 F warmer .. mid upper 50s in the general 2-meter.  They also carry similar profiles as described above, so they appear to be cool bias even though they are much warmer.  I am not aware of any Euro MOS ... but the MAV/MEX are low 60s - too cool but still better.

I guess my beef is why these 2-meter graphics are so bad.   In the summer, they try at times send 108 F to Detroit and Hartford latitudes for a realistic/objective synoptic layout that's are likelier 94.   Then in the spring, they are the other way and quite obviously too cold.  

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Tomorrow night there will be killer tor outbreak in BAMA 

Tomorrow could be very bad, especially if the storm mode stays discrete for a bit. Eventually everything will grow upscale into a QLCS but that southern area there may actually be predominately discrete cells. I still think we could see a high risk

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

19 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

TBH I don't even know if anyone in SNE gets any thunder. I'm pretty shocked to see the marginal so far east...thought the cutoff would be well back to like PA/NJ border. Eventually we'll see it cut back. 

NWS got into the IPA’s. 

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

What an impressive warm stretch; even without major help from teleconnections and MJO…

In that regard things flip biased +AN next week to end of the month.

March gonna end here with April temperature averages.

 


A coating in December and a March with April averages but it was a long winter.

:clown:

  • Crap 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Definitely seek out the most sun drenched PWS and go from there. 

If it was in the direct sun it would be reading 50+. You surely are smart enough to know that…but given that you keep saying the same thing…I guess not.

It’s funny to think that this is more tainted by sun with the many buildings around…vs where you guys get your obs from open airfields…

You guys fail in judgment.

You’d have a better argument claiming UHI in a city of 35k.

  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...