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March DISCO/OBS: Please End It


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  On 2/27/2025 at 7:34 PM, WinterWolf said:

Been saying this for a long time…but was told it’s not true anymore. Now NWS says it is lol. 

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It's a very large organization of clock punchers doing tasks they are trained for.

It's not a knock on their intelligence or character, but that 06 and 18z was improved recently - it's not hard to imagine the Met making the statement either doesn't know that, or, questions the "up" in the "upgrade" 

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Keep in mind ... every system in this time range, since Thanks un-giggedy ..., has both de-amplified and sped up.   In theory this thing on the 9th is setting up in less compression, but ... whenever less compression has been signaled in this same time range, it has amplified and recompressed gradually in ensuing runs  

The two are probably related... as the latter takes place, it starts robbing form the former.   Not sure I see a compelling reason why this would be different this time but we'll see. 

Also, again ... the PNA is marginal on the 9th.  As I was describing before, it is in the process of -d(PNA).  That means that support is trying to diminish.  Some wiggle room tho ... just be cognizant of that.    ( yeah right!)

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  On 2/27/2025 at 7:34 PM, WinterWolf said:

Been saying this for a long time…but was told it’s not true anymore. Now NWS says it is lol. 

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Must be an 80 yr old met saying that because this isn't 2002 anymore. Remote sensing certainly has become better and from what I understand, there is not a statistically significant drop off in accuracy during off hour runs. 

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  On 2/27/2025 at 7:56 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

Keep in mind ... every system in this time range, since Thanks un-giggedy ..., has both de-amplified and sped up.   In theory this thing on the 9th is setting up in less compression, but ... whenever less compression has been signaled in this same time range, it has amplified and recompressed gradually in ensuing runs  

The two are probably related... as the latter takes place, it starts robbing form the former.   Not sure I see a compelling reason why this would be different this time but we'll see. 

Also, again ... the PNA is marginal on the 9th.  As I was describing before, it is in the process of -d(PNA).  That means that support is trying to diminish.  Some wiggle room tho ... just be cognizant of that.    ( yeah right!)

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The ridge looks to have progressed too far east to me.

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  On 2/27/2025 at 8:09 PM, CoastalWx said:

Must be an 80 yr old met saying that because this isn't 2002 anymore. Remote sensing certainly has become better and from what I understand, there is not a statistically significant drop off in accuracy during off hour runs. 

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Just saying what they said..guy works for the NWS lol.  But whatever. 

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  On 2/27/2025 at 8:09 PM, CoastalWx said:

Must be an 80 yr old met saying that because this isn't 2002 anymore. Remote sensing certainly has become better and from what I understand, there is not a statistically significant drop off in accuracy during off hour runs. 

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Maybe the paper jammed and they needed to make something up on the spot

image.thumb.png.66362a33eed116d523d9085fbd225a2b.png

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  On 2/27/2025 at 7:49 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

It's a very large organization of clock punchers doing tasks they are trained for.

It's not a knock on their intelligence or character, but that 06 and 18z was improved recently - it's not hard to imagine the Met making the statement either doesn't know that, or, questions the "up" in the "upgrade" 

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Well, looks like some of those clock punchers might have to learn to code:

"Around 600 workers laid off by NOAA, including workers from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center - NBC"  https://x.com/BNONews/status/1895252448551543275

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Interesting season. I doubt I see more meaningful snow but I had the longest snow cover since 2021. This year was more enjoyable for a time but had less snow than last year. I canceled winter in January but was like 50% too optimistic on snow for the rest of the season. March will probably be a torch for a time here followed by cold and rain into April lol.

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  On 2/28/2025 at 2:58 AM, WxWatcher007 said:

Interesting season. I doubt I see more meaningful snow but I had the longest snow cover since 2021. This year was more enjoyable for a time but had less snow than last year. I canceled winter in January but was like 50% too optimistic on snow for the rest of the season. March will probably be a torch for a time here followed by cold and rain into April lol.

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Wvit 30 said this was Ct's 7th winter in a row with below normal snowfall. Are we due or what???

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  On 2/28/2025 at 2:54 AM, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

I might be confusing the years but wasn't that the March that had 8 consecutive days of 80 and above in Chicago? I believe for them that March ended up warmer than the following April. 

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Based on a quick google search it looks like they had 5 in a row of 80+ and 8 days of 80+ in the month.  Sick stuff 

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