CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 02:34 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:34 PM 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'd still have preferred this to another torch not in the sense that it was any more pleasant, but due to what it likely portends moving forward with respec to multidecadal trends. Same, it looked like winter for awhile. But man we pray for these departures given that last several years..only to get porked in a new way. I can't get over that and legit makes me angry. After awhile, it's tough not to have some disdain for winter. Almost ready for Greta to take me away in her arms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 02:35 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:35 PM Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: Signal is still there. Will it produce ? Probably not, I’m sure it’ll fade Either a rare srn snow event or bombs NNE. That's what will happen. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Thursday at 02:38 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 02:38 PM 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Same, it looked like winter for awhile. But man we pray for these departures given that last several years..only to get porked in a new way. I can't get over that and legit makes me angry. After awhile, it's tough not to have some disdain for winter. Almost ready for Greta to take me away in her arms. We were due for one like that....had been since 2003-2004. We were due for a variety of different poison pills. We got the "La Nino" a la 1972-1973 last year.....1950s style bottomed-out RNA the previous year, death star vortex over AK and the arctic in 2019-2020. That about covers it- The complete Kama Sutra on how to sodemize the region from every angle and position imaginable has been written. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 02:50 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:50 PM 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: We were due for one like that....had been since 2003-2004. We were due for a variety of different poison pills. We got the "La Nino" a la 1972-1973 last year.....1950s style bottomed-out RNA the previous year, death star vortex over AK and the arctic in 2019-2020. That about covers it- The complete Kama Sutra on how to sodemize the region from every angle and position imaginable has been written. I needed that laugh. Sig worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 02:52 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:52 PM Can’t stop laughing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Thursday at 02:57 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 02:57 PM 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Can’t stop laughing. 2020-2021 and 2021-2022 were regional respites, however, they were also opportunities for mother nature to spend time with me alone and "groom me" for the resumption of the larger scale regional abuse in 2022-2023. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Thursday at 03:06 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 03:06 PM I accept Jan 7, 2024 as retribution for the Jan 2022 screw job. Even though it wasn't the 30" blizzard that coastal areas got, a 19" jackpot as coastal zones got completely porked did the trick for me. Words can not adequately convey how much I fu(ing enjoyed that with every once of my being. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Thursday at 03:15 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:15 PM Hopefully we paid our dues in full now…and we can get a normal snowfall winter next year. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Thursday at 03:18 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 03:18 PM 15 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Hopefully we paid our dues in full now…and we can get a normal snowfall winter next year. I'll be shocked if the entire region isn't safely above average in snowfall for 2025-2026...obviously check back late next fall, but that is my prelimnary hunch. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Thursday at 03:53 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 03:53 PM The January PDO value was barely the highest value since Jan 2023, but you have to go back to August 2021 to find a value significantly higher.....the last time it was this high for a sustained stetch was the near the end of 2020. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Thursday at 03:54 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:54 PM 35 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll be shocked if the entire region isn't safely above average in snowfall for 2025-2026...obviously check back late next fall, but that is my prelimnary hunch. Dam…I am just hoping average. But I like the optimism Ray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Thursday at 03:55 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:55 PM 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: This winter legit pisses me off. At least the other 2 were torches. I can't wait to put it behind me. Pretty much there now. I thought we finally had a chance of a good winter with the favorable tellies and MJO but of course we all got screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Thursday at 03:57 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:57 PM 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The January PDO value was barely the highest value since Jan 2023, but you have to go back to August 2021 to find a value significantly higher.....the last time it was this high for a sustained stetch was the near the end of 2020. Mayne the turning point back to snowy winters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Thursday at 03:57 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 03:57 PM 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: I thought we finally had a chance of a good winter with the favorable tellies and MJO but of course we all got screwed. 2005-2006 says "now we're even, b1tch". 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted Thursday at 03:57 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:57 PM Just now, MJO812 said: I thought we finally had a chance of a good winter with the favorable tellies and MJO but of course we all got screwed. people got spoiled with the major snowstorms....the reality has been difficult for many of them to accept and deal with... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Thursday at 04:00 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 04:00 PM 1 minute ago, Great Snow 1717 said: people got spoiled with the major snowstorms....the reality has been difficult for many of them to accept and deal with... Yes. Although I think the mean of this and the prosperous times is more the reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Thursday at 04:00 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:00 PM 1 minute ago, Great Snow 1717 said: people got spoiled with the major snowstorms....the reality has been difficult for many of them to accept and deal with... I don't think anyone forecasted a cold winter with the south getting more snow than alot of areas to the north . Looks like I will end up with the same amount as last season ( 13 inches. ) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Thursday at 04:14 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 04:14 PM On 2/25/2025 at 1:13 PM, GaWx said: We’re on the way to a top 3 CPC +PNA Feb since 1950 with top 2 possible. The only one that appears safe is the +2.04 of 1977. 1980’s +1.74 is 2nd. Both of those were El Niños. I’m projecting something within +1.55 to +1.9 for 2/2025. In 3rd is 2016’s +1.48, another El Niño. The highest Feb on record during La Niña is 2000’s +1.12. 2024-5 is on track to be at least very close to the highest on record for DJF. Right now I have it being +1.42 to +1.53 with +1.46 to +1.50 most favored. The current highest is 2015-16’s +1.43 followed by 1976-7’s +1.41 (both El Niño). The highest on record for La Niña is only +0.89 (2000-1). That will be obliterated! Tell me we aren't in a state of Pacific multidecadal flux without telling me. February 2000, which was one of my primary analog seasons, and the 2000-2001 La nina (Weak Modoki, like this year) have something in common....they represented the transition from a -PDO period to positive. Difference is that was temporary, given the that the flip to multidecadal cold phase had just taken place in the late 90s (after mega 1997 el Nino). This is near the end of the multidecadal cold phase...see late 1970s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Thursday at 04:24 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 04:24 PM raindance metioned that when the PDO is inconflict with region 1.2 (negative PDO/warmer 1.2 given west-based, Modoki Nina), which was also the case in 2000-2001, the PDO is highly likely to continue to reverse throughout the following year, which it did back then. This year, we also have that conflict in that the PDO is negative and La Nina is west-based with warmer values in region 1.2. +PDO incoming- 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GCWarrior Posted Thursday at 04:30 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:30 PM GFS isn’t too interested in torch cutter for NNE next week. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Thursday at 04:32 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 04:32 PM 1 minute ago, GCWarrior said: GFS isn’t too interested in torch cutter for NNE next week. That's because I have been praying for the snow stake and picnic tables. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Thursday at 04:33 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:33 PM 2 minutes ago, GCWarrior said: GFS isn’t too interested in torch cutter for NNE next week. That’s good news. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Thursday at 04:33 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:33 PM 2 minutes ago, GCWarrior said: GFS isn’t too interested in torch cutter for NNE next week. Nice Miller B for SNE. Weak. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted Thursday at 04:53 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:53 PM Wouldn't mind a miller B around 3/8 before we torch into the 60's and 70's a few days later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Thursday at 04:55 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:55 PM That D10 GGEM would be fun to see the 11th just for model shits and giggles - that was en route to becoming the biggest storm ever anywhere E of the planet Jupiter in the history of the solar system 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Thursday at 04:58 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:58 PM 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: That D10 GGEM would be fun to see the 11th just for model shits and giggles - that was en route to becoming the biggest storm ever anywhere E of the planet Jupiter in the history of the solar system Of course…that’s because it’s 10-12 days away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted Thursday at 05:04 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:04 PM You know what's going to happen. We're all through with this winter and ready to move on. Watch us get some bomb that we don't even expect towards the end of the month. That would be the kicker to this horrendous season ( at least to the Tri state area ).. I think Northern New England has done fairly well this year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Thursday at 05:08 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:08 PM 13 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: That D10 GGEM would be fun to see the 11th just for model shits and giggles - that was en route to becoming the biggest storm ever anywhere E of the planet Jupiter in the history of the solar system Yeah that’s almost a juiced-look version of a Feb 2013 phase job. It’ll be either over DTW or Bermuda by verification time for sure… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 05:32 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:32 PM GEFS kind of look like the Canadian. But yet, hard to even entertain these solutions given the sodomy as Ray eloquently put it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Thursday at 05:34 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:34 PM 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: GEFS kind of look like the Canadian. But yet, hard to even entertain these solutions given the sodomy as Ray eloquently put it. Just don’t do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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