March DISCO/OBS: Please End It

[WinterWolf]

Ya…it’ll be just enough to give us a couple of our slow moving misery rain/mist for a few weeks in April.  

[ORH_wxman]

35 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

What about your Saturday night snower?

Maybe up by powderfreak it's worth tracking. GFS was on crack....18z Euro run yesterday was rogue.

[ORH_wxman]

Outside of something rogue very late, Mar 5-12 stretch is prob our last best shot at something decent.

[SouthCoastMA]

I could see there being one large and trackable ocean storm in the last half of March..think March 2014, though inevitably that one mostly missed. 

[CoastalWx]

21 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

I could see there being one large and trackable ocean storm in the last half of March..think March 2014, though inevitably that one mostly missed. 

Man that pissed me off. 

[Torch Tiger]

Nice cutter potential D10!

[SouthCoastMA]

22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Man that pissed me off. 

Count on it, would be a fitting end. 

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Count on it, would be a fitting end. 

Was pretty epic for a few hours HYA east but man that was such a beast to waste.  

[Allsnow]

30 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Man that pissed me off. 

Really upsetting how that season just shut off snow wise in late February. The pattern was just to suppressive in March as the TPV was north of Maine 

[H2Otown_WX]

2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Not really ...  not much for seasonal wx forecasting.  Not my bag ...   Ray or someone may have an idea.  

i guess i could say that La Nina have been known to throw out some ridic heat early.  1976 was a whopper.  The VAX up at UML had ASOS records going back that far, and there was a heat wave in April that year that was like 92/93/96/94 ... during a month that seldom saw a high less than 75 - exceedingly rare for a strapped down Labradorian rape month like April...   

that's an extreme though.  Since 2000, we've been getting weird warm spells early (Feb-Apr) that skew the real picture, because they occurred regardless of what ENSO this or that was taking place.  

i dunno. 

Oh ok, I feel like if you did decide to do LR forecasting you would probably kick ass. Yeah definitely some big early heat in the last 25 years. March 2012 and April 2002 come to mind.

[Damage In Tolland]

Hard to believe how fast we flipped the switch . Went from a cold winter to basically a mild to at times warm look over the next 4 weeks . One cool shot in and out quickly over the weekend and that’s about it. Not out of the realm of possibilities that we’ve all seen our last accumulating snowfall in SNE. Kind of has that feel of a very quick and abrupt ending 

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Hard to believe how fast we flipped the switch . Went from a cold winter to basically a mild to at times warm look over the next 4 weeks . One cool shot in and out quickly over the weekend and that’s about it. Not out of the realm of possibilities that we’ve all seen our last accumulating snowfall in SNE. Kind of has that feel of a very quick and abrupt ending 

The 5th-12th as Will pointed out is our window.  After that it’s mid month anyway, and we are ready to transition.   

[CoastalWx]

That window looks only cracked open lol.

[ma blizzard]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

The 5th-12th as Will pointed out is our window.  After that it’s mid month anyway, and we are ready to transition.   

too bad there isn't a bit more confluence next week on the 18z GFS .. probably NNE favored anyway but wouldn't shock me to see it turn into something trackable 3/5-6

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

That window looks only cracked open lol.

Ya, I agree. Bud it won’t be spring like with regard to temps in that time frame. 

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

The 5th-12th as Will pointed out is our window.  After that it’s mid month anyway, and we are ready to transition.   

Everything is falling apart 

[ma blizzard]

I totally expect one more nuisance snow to mix to rain type event and then we start counting down the days to the hottest summer yet  

 

[mreaves]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Everything is falling apart 

 

[WinterWolf]

23 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Everything is falling apart 

Lol…at this point once the 10th comes and goes..I don’t care anymore. My last trip(3/6-3/10) ends on 3/10…so I’ll be ready for it to be over. 
 

[DavisStraight]

55 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Hard to believe how fast we flipped the switch . Went from a cold winter to basically a mild to at times warm look over the next 4 weeks . One cool shot in and out quickly over the weekend and that’s about it. Not out of the realm of possibilities that we’ve all seen our last accumulating snowfall in SNE. Kind of has that feel of a very quick and abrupt ending 

We'll probably get some well timed storm after St Patrick's day that melts in 2 days.

[Snowcrazed71]

52 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Everything is falling apart 

See ya Winter 2024/2025. You had so much potential.... 

[WinterWolf]

10 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

We'll probably get some well timed storm after St Patrick's day that melts in 2 days.

Normally I’d certainly agree…but we couldn’t seem to time anything this year, so unless that changes (and it could at any time) that may be a tough sell. 

[Damage In Tolland]

20 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

We'll probably get some well timed storm after St Patrick's day that melts in 2 days.

That time of the month looks abnormally warm right now .

[ineedsnow]

I still like my area for something good.. time is running out though.. Hopefully one last good storm before we warm it up.. 

[WinterWolf]

14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That time of the month looks abnormally warm right now .

Well to be fair that’s 3 weeks away still..so that’s mega clown range stuff.  But by mid March I’ll take some nice days for sure…so I’d be fine with that. 

[Snowedin]

10 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Nothing worse than a rain forest swamp vibe.

It’s a special feeling in the midst of a very special time of year. 

[DavisStraight]

48 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Normally I’d certainly agree…but we couldn’t seem to time anything this year, so unless that changes (and it could at any time) that may be a tough sell. 

Exactly, that's why it would suck to get one once its starts warming up and melts. We had almost two months to get a big one to stay around and we got little snowers with ice.

[MJO812]

It's a shame that we couldn't get a big snowstorm with all the cold that we had.

[Typhoon Tip]

2 hours ago, H2Otown_WX said:

Oh ok, I feel like if you did decide to do LR forecasting you would probably kick ass. Yeah definitely some big early heat in the last 25 years. March 2012 and April 2002 come to mind.

That April 2002 was … can’t believe I forgot that one but yeah. The preceding year was a La Niña ENSO phase. 

The heat was something but I remember the backdoor fronts (2 of them that month) were only back to 60 … not the typical 40 you’d associate with BDs at that time of year.  

Anyway … we’ll see

 

[Torch Tiger]

14 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

It's a shame that we couldn't get a big snowstorm with all the cold that we had.

fairly cold but Steined winter. I suppose a late season/Spring storm can't be ruled out, but it's like your team losing by 10 instead of 30. L is an L