NorthHillsWx Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 Watch the area of precip blossom south of Raleigh. Those showers are from the back of of the coastal starting to form. That will become the fronto band AKA Raleigh’s storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Flurries here in Southwest wake 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 Just now, Brick Tamland said: GFS just happens to be the one with the best totals, too. I think the difference is the boost of precip from the gulf moisture. That extra .10 if realized could go a long way. Radar trends are positive imo. Lots more returns and precip than some of the dryer solutions west of us. I think if we just get the coastal we’re good for 1-3” but any additional precip can jack those totals up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormbrewer Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Flurrying in Holly Springs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 Lots of mping reports showing flurries in wake county. That’s a good sign with extremely light returns that we won’t waste much valuable QPF on Virga. Almost triple the dewpoint from where we started with the late January system too. Precip looks to be blossoming on schedule in the southern piedmont. Look for how west that sets up as to how far west the best banding I’ll get. Chapel hill/Durham obviously need it as west as it can get and any extra westward expansion helps Raleigh Great sign seeing the snow in foothills. A lot of models kept them completely dry through the morning 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said: Lots of mping reports showing flurries in wake county. That’s a good sign with extremely light returns that we won’t waste much valuable QPF on Virga. Almost triple the dewpoint from where we started with the late January system too. Precip looks to be blossoming on schedule in the southern piedmont. Look for how west that sets up as to how far west the best banding I’ll get. Chapel hill/Durham obviously need it as west as it can get and any extra westward expansion helps Raleigh Great sign seeing the snow in foothills. A lot of models kept them completely dry through the morning Both the 3k and 12k had hardly any snow in the foothills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Both the 3k and 12k had hardly any snow in the foothills. And, they have been spot on, unless you are closer to the Blue Ridge. Only McDowell and Caldwell counties reporting any snowfall that I have seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Both the 3k and 12k had hardly any snow in the foothills. Yes. And N GA was completely dry on those models and that is not the case. Any extra moisture we can buy helps. Like the banding showing up over wake on some of the CAMS. Could be some good rates north of the mix line. Officially flurrying here! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 12 hours ago, SnowDawg said: 33/26.4 NAM and HRRR initialized 5-10 degrees too warm. Doesn't really matter overall given moisture will likely be the issue here, but at least maybe none will be wasted on rain. Guess I jinxed myself here. Currently 37.2 and raining.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 Just now, SnowDawg said: Guess I jinxed myself here. Currently 37.2 and raining.... Being it just started snowing here I don’t think we’re going to make it any warmer. Only 30 right now. I had been concerned we’d slip above freezing but that seems unlikely with snow building in on radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
derrickm Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Some sleet and flurries in southeastern Lee County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 6 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Yes. And N GA was completely dry on those models and that is not the case. Any extra moisture we can buy helps. Like the banding showing up over wake on some of the CAMS. Could be some good rates north of the mix line. Officially flurrying here! Any idea which model looks most like the radar now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 ILM Radar is a good one to watch to see the precip blossoming that becomes Raleigh’s snow. Looks really good to me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cahooks Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Sleet in Clayton NC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Things are really filling in nicely 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VeronicaCorningstone Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Nw Raleigh/Leesville area - got a few flakes falling, nothing significant yet but wasn’t expecting to see anything until a bit later. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 @eyewall @StantonParkHoya @Brick Tamland Its snowing (flurries) at my house… How are you all feeling about it here given what models/radar look like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, NorthHillsWx said: @eyewall @StantonParkHoya @Brick Tamland Its snowing (flurries) at my house… How are you all feeling about it here given what models/radar look like I think we boom. I’m going 4 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said: @eyewall @StantonParkHoya @Brick Tamland Its snowing (flurries) at my house… How are you all feeling about it here given what models/radar look like With the way things are going now I think 4 to 6 here could be a possibility. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 8 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Being it just started snowing here I don’t think we’re going to make it any warmer. Only 30 right now. I had been concerned we’d slip above freezing but that seems unlikely with snow building in on radar Yeah, for one you guys have much better dewpoint depressions to work with than I did. Needed a more mature CAD back this far SW to help force that low level dry air in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 This one’s been a roller coaster. If we hit the boom it would be absolutely sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BG_Slick Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Flurries stopped after about 10 minutes. Doesn't look promising for much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 First flakes in Raleigh 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EarlGrey Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Snow sleet mixture here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 DP slowly inching up with the flurries. Going to be hard to work today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Flurries in Wilson. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 7 minutes ago, EarlGrey said: Snow sleet mixture here now. where are you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 Flurries have become steady light snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KrummWx Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Sleet and flurries in midtown Raleigh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kc4wsd Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Flurries in Eden Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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