NorthHillsWx Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 It may not be the monster the models thought it would be a couple days ago but it’s snow in the south so let’s get it! Good luck to all and hopefully someone gets buried! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 It’s currently 40.0 with a DP of 27.9. High was 51.3. Don’t think soil temps will be an issue but with a slightly delayed start time we may get above freezing before wet bulbing. Praying we get enough precip for this to matter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 I think the NAM has me 33 by 10am. We’ll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 HRRR with a noticeable uptick for most, though the separation between the coastal and upper level stuff was longer. Coastal juices a little more. Take what you want from the HRRR Anyone know how the storm is doing west of here? Seen a couple reports pop in but not much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 33/26.4 NAM and HRRR initialized 5-10 degrees too warm. Doesn't really matter overall given moisture will likely be the issue here, but at least maybe none will be wasted on rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 Greg Fischel just put a video up and said 2-3” all snow in Raleigh, 3-5 maybe 6 towards rocky mount, 8-10 for Elizabeth city. Expects sleet line to stay south of wake county 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 14 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Expects skeet line to stay south of wake county Good I don't want to be dodging birdshot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 I fear we’re cooked, @NorthHillsWx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 This is not looking promising at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 8 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: I fear we’re cooked, @NorthHillsWx Maybe, but we’ll see what radar looks like tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 12 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Maybe, but we’ll see what radar looks like tomorrow. Why wait? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
digital snow Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 y'all (same two posters) living and dying with third tier model runs is killing me. Look at the radar and study climo. I must be old up in here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 I’ve abandoned the other thread. The western folks are burning it to the ground. Triangle-east still looks good to me. Not deciphering every hour of obscure models. HRRR looks nice. NAM is fine. West areas lost WAA snow but coastal hasn’t changed much at all. I’m not sure that WAA snow doesn’t show back up on models tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 33 minutes ago, jburns said: Why wait? Definitely me right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 @jburns can you pin this thread please. I think the banter in the other one is going to keep some of the good posters away as we move into game time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 GFS largely held serve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EarlGrey Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 33F and 73% humidity here right now. Just need the good stuff to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EarlGrey Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 https://www.ashevillewx.com/tj-hooper-nationwide-brevard-live-camera Looks to be snowing in Brevard this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 17 minutes ago, EarlGrey said: https://www.ashevillewx.com/tj-hooper-nationwide-brevard-live-camera Looks to be snowing in Brevard this morning. Waynesville looked like pretty steady snow on their cam too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
digital snow Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 The radar looks juicier and ahead of schedule there is moisture coming off the Atlantic with precip breaking out in the coastal plain already. Good luck everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 NWS halved totals overnight and I am hoping that is not the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Mooresville reporting moderate snow. Any ground truth to that? Obviously nothing in Charlotte. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Not excessively dry sounding at 12z, but generally close to the HRRR. Perhaps the HRRR is overdoing dry air, just a tad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EarlGrey Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 31F here now. Just need the moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxtylerb Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 hour ago, SnowDeac said: Mooresville reporting moderate snow. Any ground truth to that? Obviously nothing in Charlotte. I’m about 8 miles south of Mooresville in Davidson at Lake Norman and nothing falling here yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BG_Slick Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Flurries starting in Lewisville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 16 minutes ago, BG_Slick said: Flurries starting in Lewisville must be a different part of Lewisville from me. -0- flakes for me since 5am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncstatered21 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 I use to post more and am usually a lurker nowadays...but I thought it worthy to post that I'm getting token flurries in Holly Springs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 A lot of CAMs have it dry in Atlanta. It is far from that. As a nowcast that is something to watch for western piedmont For triangle-east it feels like we’re finally seeing consistency but it will be interesting to see if totals can be added to a little if the gulf moisture is slightly underdone. I’m monitoring radar trends in N GA, cams seem to have underdone precip there significantly this morning. GFS had a better handle on that and that’s not wishcasting. Currently 30.0/17.1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, NorthHillsWx said: A lot of CAMs have it dry in Atlanta. It is far from that. As a nowcast that is something to watch for western piedmont For triangle-east it feels like we’re finally seeing consistency but it will be interesting to see if totals can be added to a little if the gulf moisture is slightly underdone. I’m monitoring radar trends in N GA, cams seem to have underdone precip there significantly this morning. GFS had a better handle on that and that’s not wishcasting. Currently 30.0/17.1 GFS just happens to be the one with the best totals, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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