frd Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 1 hour ago, konksw said: March has no charm. Has not been for 7 long years. Yawn...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 1 hour ago, CAPE said: There was potential, but it didn't work out. Feb 19 was really the one shot and that didn't come together for our area. The epic projections for late Feb to mid March were just a little off lol. Similar to last winter. Weather Will and his 40 inch snowfall maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 2 hours ago, CAPE said: Poor PSU. DESTROY'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 17 minutes ago, IronTy said: DESTROY'd I remember liking the Feb 10-12 window 8-10 days out, and also something around PD. That storm happened a couple days later and ofc was a close miss to the south. Like Psu I did think there would be a chance or 2 beyond that, but I never saw it as some great window, not with the forecast +AO/NAO and uncertainty in the Pacific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 1 hour ago, JTA66 said: How's JB's March '93 redux looking? Asking for a friend. Find a new friend. 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 18 minutes ago, CAPE said: I remember liking the Feb 10-12 window 8-10 days out, and also something around PD. That storm happened a couple days later and ofc was a close miss to the south. Like Psu I did think there would be a chance or 2 beyond that, but I never saw it as some great window, not with the forecast +AO/NAO and uncertainty in the Pacific. After last winter's epic period bust I was not a believer in this winter's period. We haven't had an actual coastal storm pattern for so long now that I'm going to stick with persistence until we can throw up some real results. At some point I'm sure we will see them again but until I see results from that I'm going to remain skeptical of any LR modeling showing them. Maybe next winter... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 4 hours ago, konksw said: March has no charm. March is good if there is snow but otherwise its time for spring to come alive. Already starting to see early blooms. The longer days are great. This month has been odd since there literally has been nothing to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 2 hours ago, frd said: Weather Will and his 40 inch snowfall maps Surprising because those maps always verify........ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 10 minutes ago, blizzardmeiser said: Surprising because those maps always verify........ Sunday was snow 10 days ago. Now 70-75 and rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 16 minutes ago, blizzardmeiser said: Surprising because those maps always verify........ I be happy with 25 % of those model outputs, but sadly it was mostly zero. Zero hope is better than hopium . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 After this weekend additional oppurtunity for rainfall later next week, then windier and cooler again. Wednesday is a request off day. Looks most excellent ! . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 5 hours ago, blizzardmeiser said: March is good if there is snow but otherwise its time for spring to come alive. Already starting to see early blooms. The longer days are great. This month has been odd since there literally has been nothing to track. Eh I like March in general. Transitional month. Back and forth. Sometimes we get snow but not lately. In general I prefer March and April to be more on the cool side like Fall(my favorite season). Relentless warm/hot and humid will come soon enough, and typically lasts 5+ months. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 Eh I like March in general. Transitional month. Back and forth. Sometimes we get snow but not lately. In general I prefer March and April to be more on the cool side like Fall(my favorite season). Relentless warm/hot and humid will come soon enough, and typically lasts 5+ months.Yea…not trying to rush into summer heat until mid June like last year 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 3 hours ago, CAPE said: Eh I like March in general. Transitional month. Back and forth. Sometimes we get snow but not lately. In general I prefer March and April to be more on the cool side like Fall(my favorite season). Relentless warm/hot and humid will come soon enough, and typically lasts 5+ months. Now that we move the clocks in early March, the month is much better. Last year we didn’t get hot/humid till late June. That was a great spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 Loans like the qpf amounts for Sunday have really gone down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 28 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Loans like the qpf amounts for Sunday have really gone down. Even the day 6 and 7 rainfall on the WPC site has gone down as well. Heaviest rains next 7 days just offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 On 3/14/2025 at 6:58 AM, mitchnick said: Cfs2 has been advertising a trough in the east for weeks. Not a winter style trough, a summer one, which is much shallower but still effective in giving us regular shots of more tolerable summer temps. Cfs2 has also been pretty consistent with blocking around the Pole for December too. Here's a link to the most recent of the June 500mb anomalies with a caveat that the Cfs2 for those unfamiliar has 4 runs/day. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon®ion=nhem&pkg=z500a&runtime=2025031318&fh=3 After a 70 degree day on this Wednesday, it may be a long time until we see 70 degrees again as cooler air seems to settle in the East. As for the summer it would be nice to get several breaks from the non-stop heat and humidity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 On 3/14/2025 at 6:07 PM, CAPE said: Eh I like March in general. Transitional month. Back and forth. Sometimes we get snow but not lately. In general I prefer March and April to be more on the cool side like Fall(my favorite season). Relentless warm/hot and humid will come soon enough, and typically lasts 5+ months. Agree. Unlike perhaps some in here, I really like good March snows when we get them! Who cares if generally they get melted away within a couple of days. And we've had some solid ones over the years. I'm not a big fan of 40s-50s and cloudy/drizzle, but you cannot escape that around here in March or April (sometimes even May!). So you deal with it and enjoy either the snow events we do get in March, or the 60s-70s pleasant spring weather as things come alive again. And I also agree, we'll see God-awful heat and humidity soon enough, and for far too long of a time! That much is guaranteed every single year. Actually, outside winter when there are snow chances (such as they are!) my favorite season is fall...the changing leaves, crisper evenings and nights after the heat of summer, it generally tends to be pleasant out, plus looking forward to all the upcoming Holidays the latter part of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 Well it appears the 70 degree high for this Weds here is not happening, due to some onshore flow even with WA. Another change is the significant rain probability for Thursday night is lessening as the set-up/timing and energy miss us to the North. Look for chilly weather after the strong cold front and it may last a while. Booo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 Well it appears the 70 degree high for this Weds here is not happening, due to some onshore flow even with WA. Another change is the significant rain probability for Thursday night is lessening as the set-up/timing and energy miss us to the North. Look for chilly weather after the strong cold front and it may last a while. Booo If chilly means 50s and 60s in Frederick in March, I’m all in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 What I don’t want is another Spring 2022. Winter (periodic cold shots) didn’t really end until May, if I recall correctly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 Line honestly looks paltry right now for some good rains. Would trade the severe threat for the chance of a good half inch of rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Line honestly looks paltry right now for some good rains. Would trade the severe threat for the chance of a good half inch of rain. Every time rain is forecasted the models have widespread agreement of 0.5-2 inches but then suddenly and epically collapse at the last minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 9 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said: Every time rain is forecasted the models have widespread agreement of 0.5-2 inches but then suddenly and epically collapse at the last minute. I really think storm tracks are further north the last several years. I use this example a lot, but it's pretty telling that we rarely get clippers anymore. The first and second parts to this system went all the way into the Wisconsin/Great Lakes region. Cutters are not our strength. We need systems to be further south and they just simply haven't been that way often enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 17 minutes ago, 87storms said: I really think storm tracks are further north the last several years. I use this example a lot, but it's pretty telling that we rarely get clippers anymore. The first and second parts to this system went all the way into the Wisconsin/Great Lakes region. Cutters are not our strength. We need systems to be further south and they just simply haven't been that way often enough. And yet most of the snow was south this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 27 minutes ago, 87storms said: I really think storm tracks are further north the last several years. I use this example a lot, but it's pretty telling that we rarely get clippers anymore. The first and second parts to this system went all the way into the Wisconsin/Great Lakes region. Cutters are not our strength. We need systems to be further south and they just simply haven't been that way often enough. And when the systems are further south they run into an anti rain force field somewhere around Richmond. I brought it up in my "is it ever going to rain again" thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 And yet most of the snow was south this year Those were basically anomalies. Maybe we needed a more active southern stream, but there was a lack of clippers and coastals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
konksw Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 March of late has just been too windy for me to really enjoy it that much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 Active pattern coming up, Thursday rain and thundershowers, then cooler and windy. Warmer by weekend then another system next Monday. Wednesday and Thursday warmest days in the near term. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 3 4 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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