BlizzardNole Posted Tuesday at 01:34 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:34 PM Hopeful for good rain on Sunday. Only got about 0.35 from last rain event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Tuesday at 08:46 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 08:46 PM WB 18Z 3K NAM has highs only near 50 on Th. Official forecast is for 67 in Frederick, MD area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Tuesday at 09:09 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:09 PM #wedgeseason 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted Tuesday at 09:16 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:16 PM 6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: #wedgeseason And not the severe kind! LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted Tuesday at 09:27 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:27 PM 39 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z 3K NAM has highs only near 50 on Th. Official forecast is for 67 in Frederick, MD area. This is what it has come to…pity cool maritime air. Please someone come over and put a pick ax in my head. I’ll cover all expenses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted Tuesday at 11:00 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:00 PM I am seeing 85-90 potential next week. This weekend closer to 75 F with more cloud and a bit of an east wind component, but the mid-week second warmup looks more direct with a southwesterly flow. What's the earliest 90F at various local stations? Extreme warmth in early spring is often correlated with below normal temperatures in late spring and early summer. For example in 1945 it was warmer from mid-March to mid-April than it was from mid-May to mid-June in a lot of places in the northeastern states and Ontario. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted Wednesday at 01:46 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:46 AM Sunday's rain is getting walked back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Wednesday at 02:57 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:57 AM GFS was cooking up a hit on March 21. Only 384 hours to go Let’s go 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Wednesday at 03:09 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:09 AM 11 minutes ago, Ji said: Let’s go Bad news… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted Wednesday at 03:13 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:13 AM 4 hours ago, Roger Smith said: I am seeing 85-90 potential next week. This weekend closer to 75 F with more cloud and a bit of an east wind component, but the mid-week second warmup looks more direct with a southwesterly flow. What's the earliest 90F at various local stations? Did you accidentally stumble in here while looking for the Guam forum??? 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted Wednesday at 03:16 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:16 AM 6 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z 3K NAM has highs only near 50 on Th. Official forecast is for 67 in Frederick, MD area. Spot on. Forecasted highs for Thursday and Friday are way too warm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Wednesday at 10:25 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:25 AM 7 hours ago, high risk said: Spot on. Forecasted highs for Thursday and Friday are way too warm. They got dropped to upper 50s for DC metro for both days in this mornings zones 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Wednesday at 12:09 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:09 PM 1 hour ago, yoda said: They got dropped to upper 50s for DC metro for both days in this mornings zones I mentioned this in the disc-obs thread(really where it belongs). Mount Holly revised high temps today through Friday downward for here yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Round Hill WX Posted Wednesday at 02:41 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:41 PM Doesn't look like the clouds are going to cooperate for tomorrow night's full lunar eclipse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted Wednesday at 02:46 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:46 PM 4 minutes ago, Round Hill WX said: Doesn't look like the clouds are going to cooperate for tomorrow night's full lunar eclipse. I noticed that yesterday, I really hope there’s a conveniently timed gap. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Wednesday at 09:20 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:20 PM Moderate wind threat later Sunday and Sunday night. Mount Holly AFD LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Strong low pressure lifts into Canada, and this drags a strong cold front through the Great Lakes Saturday night, and will be over the Ohio Valley down through the Gulf Coast states on Sunday. A tight southerly pressure gradient will develop between high pressure over the Atlantic Ocean and low pressure north of the Great Lakes over the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. Strong winds aloft will be associated with this approaching system, with a potential 50 to 60 kt low level jet that moves across the region Sunday afternoon and evening, and then a 100+ kt jet streak following behind Sunday night. During the day, south winds will increase to 20 to 30 mph with 35 to 45 mph gusts. A Wind Advisory may be needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted Wednesday at 10:06 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:06 PM 45 minutes ago, frd said: Moderate wind threat later Sunday and Sunday night. Mount Holly AFD LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Strong low pressure lifts into Canada, and this drags a strong cold front through the Great Lakes Saturday night, and will be over the Ohio Valley down through the Gulf Coast states on Sunday. A tight southerly pressure gradient will develop between high pressure over the Atlantic Ocean and low pressure north of the Great Lakes over the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. Strong winds aloft will be associated with this approaching system, with a potential 50 to 60 kt low level jet that moves across the region Sunday afternoon and evening, and then a 100+ kt jet streak following behind Sunday night. During the day, south winds will increase to 20 to 30 mph with 35 to 45 mph gusts. A Wind Advisory may be needed. If only we did Snow as well as we do winds 2 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago Interesting that recent March months have been way too warm for snow, borrowed this from bluewave. It was safe to say that with the collaspe of the - AO snow probabilities in March were pretty nill. The cold stormy window has shifted out West this month, but overall totally went poof. Many areas of the country were in the 70's two days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago Looks like generally around an inch of rain, maybe a bit more in some spots. Another small dent in the drought. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 14 minutes ago, CAPE said: Looks like generally around an inch of rain, maybe a bit more in some spots. Another small dent in the drought. But haven’t had a widespread AN precipitation month in awhile? Not running huge deficits in any particular month lately, but also coming up short each time. Still think we need a May-June deluge period to really break out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago But haven’t had a widespread AN precipitation month in awhile? Not running huge deficits in any particular month lately, but also coming up short each time. Still think we need a May-June deluge period to really break out.Can we just fast forward to summer. I hate mid march to may the most. At least by summer…days start getting shorter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Looking to the core of the summer it may not be as hot in the East as some have forecasted. The core of the heat is out West and in the Plains. Indications as well that there will at least be the potential for some rains in the East, however, very dry in the center of the Country. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 15 minutes ago Share Posted 15 minutes ago 18 hours ago, frd said: Looking to the core of the summer it may not be as hot in the East as some have forecasted. The core of the heat is out West and in the Plains. Indications as well that there will at least be the potential for some rains in the East, however, very dry in the center of the Country. Cfs2 has been advertising a trough in the east for weeks. Not a winter style trough, a summer one, which is much shallower but still effective in giving us regular shots of more tolerable summer temps. Cfs2 has also been pretty consistent with blocking around the Pole for December too. Here's a link to the most recent of the June 500mb anomalies with a caveat that the Cfs2 for those unfamiliar has 4 runs/day. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon®ion=nhem&pkg=z500a&runtime=2025031318&fh=3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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