NorthArlington101 Posted Sunday at 10:45 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:45 PM 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: They apply. To us specifically. After clocks go forward, we’re on a fast track to over. Accept it now and save yourself heartache man. The time between Posts in this threads grown longer and longer. Read the room. I know folks hate to hear it, but it’s over. We did about as well as we did. I’m down to checking this forum twice per day. That’s how i know it’s over. Sooner you come to terms with it, the better it feels, trust me. We’ll get a trackable window from the 8th-20th. And probably a troll early April phantom 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Sunday at 11:20 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 11:20 PM WB 18Z GFS... two week and counting.... 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Sunday at 11:24 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:24 PM 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GFS... two week and counting.... Can we not post 336 hour snow maps from a random op run lol. Zero value. Provide some insight for the depicted setup and why its plausible that it could actually snow. 2 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Sunday at 11:36 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:36 PM 15 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GFS... two week and counting.... Yeah, this is def helping your case. Hour 336. When models couldn’t even get 144 hours right. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Sunday at 11:43 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 11:43 PM 17 minutes ago, CAPE said: Can we not post 336 hour snow maps from a random op run lol. Zero value. Provide some insight for the depicted setup and why it's plausible that it could actually snow. You do it, don't like it don't read it, H5 crap from two weeks out is no more reliable. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Sunday at 11:44 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 11:44 PM Last hurrah, don't be so bitter, have a little fun with it...good grief! 4 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Sunday at 11:45 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 11:45 PM I hope everyone realizes it is going to do what it is going to do regardless of the maps posted. 6 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Sunday at 11:57 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:57 PM 32 minutes ago, CAPE said: Can we not post 336 hour snow maps from a random op run lol. Zero value. Provide some insight for the depicted setup and why its plausible that it could actually snow. Because its simply really, JB said so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted yesterday at 12:01 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:01 AM 12 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I hope everyone realizes it is going to do what it is going to do regardless of the maps posted. All those whacko Control and Euro snow models are worth zip, in the last 8 years they only provide false hope, an injection of hopium, coke, LSD to the weather junkie, aka weenie. My weenie needs some visnowgra baby. give me, please...... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 34 minutes ago, Weather Will said: You do it, don't like it don't read it, H5 crap from two weeks out is no more reliable. It most certainly is on an ensemble run. Otoh, snow maps past day 10 on an op run are completely useless. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago We’re in phase 1 of mjo right? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 6 minutes ago, Ji said: We’re in phase 1 of mjo right? I beleive so. But. It's gonna be quite warm for the next week so phase 1 isn't meaning a whole lot lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago I could see it snowing again. There’s been a slide of transient cold highs dropping in from Canada all winter. Time that with the jet stream lifting north in March and you gotta think another tracking opp is likely…unless it isn’t. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 5 hours ago, CAPE said: The h5 pattern matters, even more so in March. A +AO/+NAO in early Spring is not conducive to getting snow at our latitude. GAwx posted his research of what the main Driver's State's were for Knoxville Tenn. March and April Snowstorms . Surprising Results ! Here they are : Knoxville 2”+ snowstorms Mar-Apr since 1971: 4/6-7/1971 weak +PNA, +EPO, strong +NAO, weak -AO 3/25/1972 neutral PNA, neutral EPO, neutral NAO, neutral AO 3/10/1975 weak -PNA, -EPO, neutral NAO, neutral AO, moderate phase 3 3/1/1980 moderate +PNA, -EPO, weak +NAO, weak -AO, weak phase 3 4/18/1983 moderate +PNA, neutral EPO, moderate -NAO, neutral AO, moderate phase 2 4/3/1987 strong +PNA, neutral EPO, neutral NAO, strong -AO, moderate phase 3 3/13/1993 neutral PNA, -EPO, moderate +NAO, moderate +AO, strong phase 2 3/12/2022 neutral PNA, neutral EPO, moderate +NAO, weak +AO, moderate phase 2 Did these 8 dates have any index tendencies? -Not ENSO as it was all over the board. -PNA neutral to + -EPO neutral to - -NAO neutral to +….interesting -AO all over the board -MJO phases 2 and 3 (cold phases in Mar, Apr) That's from GAWX. Excellent research by him ! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago 4 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GFS... two week and counting.... Book it. It will slide 200 miles south and we'll be in the light pink! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago Two of Richmond's top 10 snowfalls happened in early March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago The cold on eps is falling apart 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago This winter reminds me a lot of 1977 when we had a couple moderate snows adding up to 8-10" then extended cold and dry. Long cold spell with snowcover, but disappointing in snowfall amount. Now I am rooting for a warm early spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago Just now, BlizzardNole said: This winter reminds me a lot of 1977 when we had a couple moderate snows adding up to 8-10" then extended cold and dry. Long cold spell with snowcover, but disappointing in snowfall amount. Now I am rooting for a warm early spring Agree, been a long winter. Rooting for a nice long spring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago Natural Gas down almost 7% today. GEFS now has a strong Aleutian High Days 11+. +250dm reading on the mean for hr262-384. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago The February 20 model collapse really hurts now. Hopefully, with an improving PDO and a Nino next year we can do better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 49 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Natural Gas down almost 7% today. GEFS now has a strong Aleutian High Days 11+. +250dm reading on the mean for hr262-384. Will be a very, very active severe season coming up in the weeks and months ahead. Start out West and move East with time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Ah screw it I'm on to ENSO watch 2025-26, lol Time to root for El niño with a +PDO. Alright everybody say it with me: Niño, Plus PDO! Niño, Plus PDO! Niño, Plus PDO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 59 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Eh screw it I'm on to ENSO watch 2025-26, lol Time to root for El niño with a +PDO. Alright everybody say it with me: Niño, Plus PDO! Niño, Plus PDO! Niño, Plus PDO I am kind of singing it to HOT TO GO - ♪ Nino plus PDO snap and clap and touch your toes...Nino plus PDO ♫ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 2 hours ago, bncho said: The February 20 model collapse really hurts now. Hopefully, with an improving PDO and a Nino next year we can do better. The illusions these things paint is astonishing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Latest CPC ENSO update backed off a double dip nina through SON. We’ll see if it continues to trend toward +ENSO or neutral. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 29 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Latest CPC ENSO update backed off a double dip nina through SON. We’ll see if it continues to trend toward +ENSO or neutral. ben Noll said El nino is already underway 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 hour ago, WEATHER53 said: The illusions these things paint is astonishing Hopefully everything looks terrible like it did this fall lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 4 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Natural Gas down almost 7% today. GEFS now has a strong Aleutian High Days 11+. +250dm reading on the mean for hr262-384. Makes sense given the west based Nina and MT Torq. The drawback imo is the MJO. The Models are struggling with where it's going to be and how much Weight to incorporate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago So much speculation on March snow or no snow. Lets revisit March 1960 at Charlottesville and Harrisonburg. Charlottesville first: March 3 .... 12 " snow, March 10.... 3.5" snow, March 16..... 5.0 " snow, March 17...... 8.5" snow.......... Total 29 inches Harrisonburg: March 3 .... 9" snow, March 10 ...... 6" snow, March 16.... 12" snow, March 17....... 1" snow............ Total 28 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now