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FOLKS Feb 19-20 Debacle


ravensrule
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6 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said:

The GFS will save us in a bit! Lol

If this was a miss to north it would have been over and we would have moved on.  A miss to the south is like your wife cheating with a guy much uglier than you.  You know it’s happening but you can’t process it.  

  • Haha 9
  • Crap 1
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48 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

we under achieved.  It happens.... I've posted seasonal anomalies before to years that looked amazing but ended up below avg snowfall...and there are some like 2000 where the pattern looks god awful and somehow we got above normal snow.  There is a lot of luck and fluke to snowfall because there are so many variables.  Sometimes a great pattern can fail to produce because one or two things don't come together...and other times an only OK pattern can luck its way into hitting a MECS.  It's kinda like poker...having 3 aces makes your odds of winning the hand a LOT better...but someone else might have a full house!  

Just north of your area in SE PA but I always show how cyclical the snow patterns have been back to the 1890's...if you came of age in the 2000-2020 decades you are used to big snows almost every year.....image.thumb.png.3010aaa30169c9973e9b21825153650d.png

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50 minutes ago, ers-wxman1 said:

You guys are beating a dead horse. This is great for trying to keep a business alive, not for snow. Even if the NAM throws a snow swath over us it’s never going to reach the ground! It’s bone dry. Would take half the day to moisten the column let alone fringe bands. It’s a dead deal!

Depends on location as this is a large subforum.  NWS is getting more bullish for mby today.

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3 minutes ago, adelphi_sky said:

This is the funniest thread ever. We should do more fail threads like these. It does lessen the pain a little. :lol:

Agreed! Laughter can definitely be the cure sometimes. Don’t worry though, I’m sure we have another hilarious epic fail coming soon. :rolleyes:

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Upfront, my 10:1 for tomorrow is 1.8.  Kuchera is 3.3".

The 18 z NAM stinks with calling for temperatures 10 degrees colder than witnessed.   If this was accurate and continues, the 15:1 for tomorrow would not apply.

15:1 is only good for 25 degrees.

How is it possible for the 3K and 12K  NAM to miss surface temperatures 10 degrees in 6 hours????

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13 minutes ago, AACOUNTYMD said:

they are brining the roads around Annapolis and my accuweather forecast says 10 hours of light snow Wednesday night into Thursday morning and accumulating "an inch or two."   dunno. . . 

Lets enhance vehicle corrosion for no reason. I doubt our latitude sees more than a dusting. 

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