Kevin Reilly Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: 4 more north jogs like 18z to 00z and we get like 3-4"... just taking it slow. I was never out on this storm And I’ll get flurries let’s go!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Do you need clouds for snow? If not, i guess I still have a chance. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Realize this is a place for optimism, but had to share this graphical version of our epic fail. Snow signal just poofs 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 26 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I honestly thing our best chance at a surprise snow now is something crazy with the ULL pass Several CAMs are showing a band of snow with the ULL pass midday Thursday. There is even bit of instability in the forecast soundings, so some heavier bursts of snow certainly seem possible. And stockage would be very efficient with the very cold temps. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just like rain, I can smell the snow to the west. Got my paper towel ready to cover my windshield for that one flake that will fall! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: Back in 2009 (which was one of my top analogs to this season and similarly cold but not too snowy) I think it was...there was a situation where we were tracking a threat at a big coastal phased with a cut off ULL for a few days...and it failed...but then some places not too far away from here up in southern PA got like 10" of snow in a few hours from convective bands that set up as the h5 low came through. Just bringing that up. lol I think I got like 8-9" from this living in Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Gfs and Rgem have cut back amounts in SE VA in case this wasn't a sh!t show already. Edit: HRDPS is almost a total rug pull on 6"+ amounts in VA/NC Would be a very fitting ending to this Saga. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Kind of crazy how the next panel has 0 precip in DC. You’d think seeing this we were looking at a 2-4” event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said: I gotta say - the NWS 1-in-10 chance for this storm is a trip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jon_snow Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 16 minutes ago, nj2va said: Kind of crazy how the next panel has 0 precip in DC. You’d think seeing this we were looking at a 2-4” event. You know what, I don't buy these models. feels like we're gonna get hit. 10% coming through, book it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 150 miles is all we need? Somebody get out the fans Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 hour ago, RVAman said: DT : “*ALERT* YES THE 0z NAM DID NOT PRODUCE LIKE I EXPECTED. ITS BS- the 06z WILL SHOW WHY MY FINAL CALL MAP IS THE MOST ACCURATE MID ATLANTIC SNOW MAP. LOCAL STATIONS WILL GET ON BOARD. The biggest run of our lives! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 I remember there was something like you described a couple days before the 2016 Blizzard but that was mainly around DC. Definitely remember hearing about kids stuck on busses from only an inch.I remember it well. I walked to a Subway and got a sandwich for dinner. I slipped crossing Viers Mill during rush hour and literally crawled across 2 lanes of traffic to the curb. Fractured my L2 vertebrae and spent the blizzard alternating between being doped up and drunk. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 When was the last time we had snow forecasts bust to the upside? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, deer said: When was the last time we had snow forecasts bust to the upside? The event earlier this month busted high for many of us (realize not the northern crew). Forecast 4-6” and finished over that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeg0305 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Apparently someone in MDOT did not get the updated forecast as 83N has been brined and brined good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 42 minutes ago, nj2va said: Kind of crazy how the next panel has 0 precip in DC. You’d think seeing this we were looking at a 2-4” event. Keep watching. Precip now nearing Lexington KY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 24 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Keep watching. Precip now nearing Lexington KY Maybe a slightly further north and more dynamic precip shield then modeled. dc dusting seems plausible tomorrow and again Thursday before the HECS-that PSU-promised finally happens in late Feb early March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DraydenWX Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Maybe a slightly further north and more dynamic precip shield then modeled. dc dusting seems plausible tomorrow and again Thursday before the HECS-that PSU-promised finally happens in late Feb early MarchYou peep the long range thread? Obviously taken with a minuscule grain of salt but that was one of the most weenie gfs runs we’ve had in a long time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NVAwx Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 hours ago, jayyy said: You peep the long range thread? Obviously taken with a minuscule grain of salt but that was one of the most weenie gfs runs we’ve had in a long time Since Friday? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Some light snow falling here in Waynesboro - low 20s ... So the air is definitely is moist enough down here right now .... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 5 hours ago, katabatic said: I remember it well. I walked to a Subway and got a sandwich for dinner. I slipped crossing Viers Mill during rush hour and literally crawled across 2 lanes of traffic to the curb. Fractured my L2 vertebrae and spent the blizzard alternating between being doped up and drunk. Good lord! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 6 hours ago, katabatic said: I remember it well. I walked to a Subway and got a sandwich for dinner. I slipped crossing Viers Mill during rush hour and literally crawled across 2 lanes of traffic to the curb. Fractured my L2 vertebrae and spent the blizzard alternating between being doped up and drunk. What kind of sandwich did you get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 What kind of sandwich did you get?Meatball. Did cushion the blow. Thanks for your concern! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, katabatic said: Meatball. Did cushion the blow. Thanks for your concern! Did the sandwich get hurt? You never said and people are concerned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Yo… is it snowing yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Justin Berk isn't giving up on using this storm for click bait. He says the models are missing something and Annopoils is getting snow tonight woohoo lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 3 minutes ago, dailylurker said: Justin Berk isn't giving up on using this storm for click bait. He says the models are missing something and Annopoils is getting snow tonight woohoo lol Only thing the models are missing is showing what he wants lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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