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FOLKS Feb 19-20 Debacle


ravensrule
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11 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

I wonder is that was March 1999...if so I remember something like that happening...inverted trough...can't remember why

I don’t know if the NAM predicted that one, but it was around March 8th, 1999.  It was a disaster out here in Fairfax where the snow was a beat down in the morning. I called my office in Silver Spring, but it was barely snowing on the other side of the beltway. We ended up with around 8-12”, but roads were clear by afternoon. 

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14 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

I wonder is that was March 1999...if so I remember something like that happening...inverted trough...can't remember why

I remember a few days after the blizzard of 96 we had flurries in the forecast. It ended up dumping snow and I got 7" on top of almost 2'. I think that was a inverted trough. They definitely can have surprises. Those are probably our best shot at positive bust in this modern age.

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1 minute ago, paxpatriot said:

It’s times like these that I fall back on some words of wisdom stormtracker gave me a few years ago. 
 

“When in doubt, trust the 48-hour NAM. It’s like a Hanzo sword at that range. Also, bitcoin? Don’t waste your money, it’s a passing fad.”

Actually, when bitcoin first came out, I tried to get my friend to buy into it.  I said let's pool our money and get like $200 worth.  I think it was like 30 cent a coin?   She said nah, that's stupid.  We would have had 66 bitcoin.  What a true debacle.  

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3 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

Bottom line regardless of how much... everything has shifted NW a bit at 12z. Who knows if it does anymore later or at gametime but here we are

All the MECS and HECS model runs and wishcasting is just BS! How good does 3-6 inches of cold powder sound now even if it's only light to moderate rates over an 18-24 hours. I can certainly agree to a long duration moderate event with no temp or column issues where every flake counts. Instead were grasping for a dusting. Lol

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2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Actually, when bitcoin first came out, I tried to get my friend to buy into it.  I said let's pool our money and get like $200 worth.  I think it was like 30 cent a coin?   She said nah, that's stupid.  We would have had 66 bitcoin.  What a true debacle.  

Thats like when i had a chance to get apple stock back in the 80s.  And also when I could have had Standard Oil stock too.  Also missed out on the California Gold Rush.  

 

30.5/9 roads have not caved

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7 minutes ago, H2O said:

Thats like when i had a chance to get apple stock back in the 80s.  And also when I could have had Standard Oil stock too.  Also missed out on the California Gold Rush.  

 

30.5/9 roads have not caved

Long story short: you’re old 

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1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

It's going bye bye in a year.  It's a shit model, and we all know it.   We're looking for any life raft at this moment. 

are there any good mesos at this point?
the NAM is such a weenie model and the HRRR sucks ass
i thought the 3k NAM was somewhat good tho

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