midatlanticweather Posted Tuesday at 03:46 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:46 PM Late 1990s there was a storm that the Nam showed 11 inches falling in the Reston area of Virginia. Snow. Was forecast by other models but nothing like that. And boom.. It happened. It was a fluke but maybe it found a nut this time.. Lol.. Weenieism philosophy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Tuesday at 03:47 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:47 PM State Highway brined I-795 and MD 140. Why... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Tuesday at 03:47 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:47 PM Just now, Eskimo Joe said: State Highway brined I-795 and MD 140. Why... I’m on 70 through Hancock, also brined 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted Tuesday at 03:47 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:47 PM Just now, midatlanticweather said: Late 1990s there was a storm that the Nam showed 11 inches falling in the Reston area of Virginia. Snow. Was forecast by other models but nothing like that. And boom.. It happened. It was a fluke but maybe it found a nut this time.. Lol.. Weenieism philosophy I thought the NAM wasn't even developed until after the January 2000 storm specifically because of that major model miss? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted Tuesday at 03:48 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:48 PM Just now, mappy said: My road was brined last night lol Down here in jacktown they are even doing neighborhoods lol. They must have a budget to meet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted Tuesday at 03:48 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:48 PM Just now, Eskimo Joe said: State Highway brined I-795 and MD 140. Why... SHA brined 83 all the way to the PA line. State roads brined too. I’m just gonna get clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeff B Posted Tuesday at 03:48 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:48 PM Drove from Greenspring Valley to Bel Air and back. All roads are brined for our expected cloud cover. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Tuesday at 03:49 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:49 PM @high risk is it just the parent 12k NAM being decomm’Ed? Or both the twins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted Tuesday at 03:49 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:49 PM Just now, osfan24 said: I thought the NAM wasn't even developed until after the January 2000 storm specifically because of that major model miss? I think it was SREF that came out of the Jan. 25,2000 forecast debacle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted Tuesday at 03:49 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:49 PM 1 minute ago, dailylurker said: Down here in jacktown they are even doing neighborhoods lol. They must have a budget to meet. Hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted Tuesday at 03:50 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:50 PM If the sampling was better it would look like the NAM 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted Tuesday at 03:51 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:51 PM 1 minute ago, Jersey Andrew said: I think it was SREF that came out of the Jan. 25,2000 forecast debacle. Really? I never knew that. They made an even shittier model because the regular shitty models missed that HECS? Wild work lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Tuesday at 03:51 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:51 PM Maybe a dusting for metro areas Thursday am as the ULL swings through? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Tuesday at 03:53 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:53 PM Just now, WxUSAF said: Maybe a dusting for metro areas Thursday am as the ULL swings through? Maybe the waves can interact a bit more to give that dead ass ULL some juice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JPL Posted Tuesday at 03:54 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:54 PM Can someone please post the gfs map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted Tuesday at 03:54 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:54 PM Gfs looks like it came north a little bit. Annopoils area might be in the game for a coating to an inch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Tuesday at 03:55 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:55 PM 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: Maybe the waves can interact a bit more to give that dead ass ULL some juice? Yep... the biggest problem is it looks like the ULL never goes negative... stays neutral or positive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joeride Posted Tuesday at 03:55 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:55 PM 6 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: State Highway brined I-795 and MD 140. Why... Roads in Frederick County have been brined. I assumed since they were caught off guard Saturday morning, they were taking no chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted Tuesday at 03:56 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:56 PM 8 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Late 1990s there was a storm that the Nam showed 11 inches falling in the Reston area of Virginia. Snow. Was forecast by other models but nothing like that. And boom.. It happened. It was a fluke but maybe it found a nut this time.. Lol.. Weenieism philosophy I wonder is that was March 1999...if so I remember something like that happening...inverted trough...can't remember why Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Tuesday at 03:56 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:56 PM Just now, Interstate said: Yep... the biggest problem is it looks like the ULL never goes negative... stays neutral or positive. Agreed. They don’t do their magic without it or an energizer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted Tuesday at 03:58 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:58 PM 10 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: State Highway brined I-795 and MD 140. Why... They were doing the same thing last night on Interstate 83 in Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted Tuesday at 03:59 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:59 PM 16 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Precip field did end up a tad north tho We should call this storm the brine verifier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted Tuesday at 03:59 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:59 PM Everybody drink, Jan 2000 mention There’s gotta be a loophole lol.Energetic upper level low disguised as a dense, cold core high pressure…or something like that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted Tuesday at 04:00 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:00 PM Understand that future budgeting cycles are often based on previous year's actuals. If you want to ensure you have more money allocated next year, it pays to roll the trucks at the very hint of weather. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted Tuesday at 04:01 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:01 PM Perhaps we need to include brining into the model data. Ingest that brine data. All that brine may pull the snow northward. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted Tuesday at 04:03 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:03 PM The PSU salt storm 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted Tuesday at 04:03 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:03 PM 1 minute ago, adelphi_sky said: Perhaps we need to include brining into the model data. Ingest that brine data. All that brine may pull the snow northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Tuesday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:05 PM The NAMs nailed the Jan. 2016 storm impacting NYC at like 48hrs out when nothing else had it. Consider this that but on a much more modest impact level 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted Tuesday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:05 PM 12 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Maybe a dusting for metro areas Thursday am as the ULL swings through? Pitty squalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted Tuesday at 04:06 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:06 PM Just now, NorthArlington101 said: The NAMs nailed the Jan. 2016 storm impacting NYC at like 48hrs out when nothing else had it. Consider this that but on a much more modest impact level 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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