Paleocene Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Just now, Amped said: Consistency is not the nams strength. Indeed. Accuracy is the strength. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 30 minutes ago, yoda said: Shows how much small distances can mean much... on 12z 3km NAM, EZF and Waldorf are at 0.3" QPF... DCA 0.1" Stop talking about the fucking 3k NAM. It doesn’t show what we want! Ignore it. We are so back yall! 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 For 45 mins 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Randy needs to repost his wide-eyed Beethoven emoji. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Just now, stormtracker said: Stop talking about the fucking 3k NAM. It doesn’t show what we want! Ignore it. We are so back yall! RIGHT....the 3k's wheelhouse is like 4 hours the 12k's wheelhouse is at least 3 times that!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 ICON is no good 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: For 45 mins just enough time to dash out for more hearty stew ingredients Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: Well if it is onto something (and not on something), the better guidance should pick up on it over the next model cycle or 2. ICON is unusually important for trends. You'd think consensus would narrow sharply over the next 2 suites 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 30 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z NAM 10:1 Kuchera Oh crap it's post like these that pull me right back in lmaooo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Just now, Kay said: just enough time to dash out for more hearty stew ingredients Don’t Jim Cantore this, Kay. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Stronger vort. But just no way it can turn up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Just now, stormtracker said: Don’t Jim Cantore this Kay. ok staying put Cap'n 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 minute ago, rjvanals said: ICON is no good It never is lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 minute ago, winter_warlock said: It never is lol It was 1 run last week with 2' totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 11 minutes ago, high risk said: We should all acknowledge as a group that, even if the NAMs are spectacularly wrong on this event, we’re going to miss them like deceased grandparents when they’re retired next year. what's replacing them? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Just now, mitchnick said: It was 1 run last week with 2' totals. Yup and see where that got us lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Just now, deer said: what's replacing them? Probably something that doesn't taste like hotdogs 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 RGEM is a touch north and gets snow close to DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 RGEM is a bit more north but a far cry from the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Remember when people laughed at me the other day when I said is this going to be a Miller B screw job. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 4 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Stronger vort. But just no way it can turn up the coast. It's not doing the NAM thing. NS is all kicker, no capture. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Normally we need low dewpoints heading into a event but this time it's killing our chances of seeing anything measurable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 2 minutes ago, baltosquid said: RGEM is a bit more north but a far cry from the NAM. It's the trends friends. Add up the small nudges for the next 24 hours and we got snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 8 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: ICON is unusually important for trends. You'd think consensus would narrow sharply over the next 2 suites I mean you sort of have a vested interest in some NW movement of the snow line right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 4 minutes ago, Interstate said: Remember when people laughed at me the other day when I said is this going to be a Miller B screw job. The other day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 6 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: I mean you sort of have a vested interest in some NW movement of the snow line right? Enough guidance gets the back edge of coastal enhancement over me that I 100% want a more amplified and developed system. It can only help me. I've been thinking 3-6 for like a week. No reason to change my mind but I do believe my chances (as they stand right now) favor the higher end of that and it may come a little easier than I first thought. Pretty cautious though. This entire evolution has been tough to figure out since d1 too Eta: my bust bar is sub 3". That would be pretty lame for an 8-10 hour event lol 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 5 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: The other day? Yeah... last Friday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Icon is a modest but visible step towards a more amplified storm. Hard to hate it no matter what the yard panels look like 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 9 minutes ago, Interstate said: Remember when people laughed at me the other day when I said is this going to be a Miller B screw job. I'd have to go back to the 1st (2nd?) thread of this storm, but I mentioned Miller B (and screw job) like the first runs after the 20" went away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Enough guidance gets the back edge of coastal enhancement over me that I 100% want a more amplified and developed system. It can only help me. I've been thinking 3-6 for like a week. No reason to change my mind but I do believe my chances (as they stand right now) favor the higher end of that and it may come a little easier than I first thought. Pretty cautious though. This entire evolution has been tough to figure out since d1 too Eta: my bust bar is sub 3". That would be pretty lame for an 8-10 hour event lol I just looked up where you live now...yeeks...do you have an accent now so you can fit in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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