nj2va Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 3:12 AM, LP08 said: Icon was a nice bounce north and stronger for our Richmond peeps. Expand Only 10:1 available on WxBell but definitely an increase vs 18z in snow totals with the RIC to EZF totals bumping up. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 3:22 AM, nj2va said: Only 10:1 available on WxBell but definitely an increase vs 18z in snow totals with the RIC to EZF totals bumping up. Expand My nephew (yes, I'm that old) in VA beach is going to be hyped. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 18 Author Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 3:27 AM, 87storms said: My nephew (yes, I'm that old) in VA beach is going to be hyped. Expand Lol I have a 20 year old great niece. I’m ancient. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 RIC is starting to trend a bit better as of late runs. No it won’t be a MECS or anything remotely close but if we get 4-6 inches as my (likely and very possible) last snow storm here in Virginia after 30 years of life I’ll gladly take it. I remember being so young and getting storms and the snow would last on the ground for a week or two. Especially in the early 00s. Maybe it’s because I was only 3 feet - 4 feet tall but man I remember the days I could sled for DAYS with my buddies. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 3:40 AM, RVAman said: RIC is starting to trend a bit better as of late runs. No it won’t be a MECS or anything remotely close but if we get 4-6 inches as my (likely and very possible) last snow storm here in Virginia after 30 years of life I’ll gladly take it. I remember being so young and getting storms and the snow would last on the ground for a week or two. Especially in the early 00s. Maybe it’s because I was only 3 feet - 4 feet tall but man I remember the days I could sled for DAYS with my buddies. Expand This is where that last minute north trend will do wonders for RIC (and could make a difference in EZF). If I was a betting man, I’d say RIC gets over 5” from this. Have fun man! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 3:42 AM, nj2va said: This is where that last minute north trend will do wonders for RIC (and could make a difference in EZF). If I was a betting man, I’d say RIC gets over 5” from this. Have fun man! Expand Not even close to the same set up, but December 2018 comes to mind. This won’t be close to that around EZF, but 2” seems a possibility. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 3:44 AM, wawarriors4 said: Not even close to the same set up, but December 2018 comes to mind. This won’t be close to that around EZF, but 2” seems a possibility. Expand My memory sucks so I have no clue what storm that is but I’d be kind of surprised if EZF doesn’t clear 2”. I’m an idiot though so take that with a grain of salt. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 3:44 AM, wawarriors4 said: Not even close to the same set up, but December 2018 comes to mind. This won’t be close to that around EZF, but 2” seems a possibility. Expand A few models have us getting a bit more but I’ll take what we can get. Every system has been snow to sleet to rain so far. If we can get an all snow 2-4 inches I’ll be happy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Right on cue, GFS is backing up my unscientific predictions. Over 2” in EZF and over 5” in RIC. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 3:47 AM, nj2va said: My memory sucks so I have no clue what storm that is but I’d be kind of surprised if EZF doesn’t clear 2”. I’m an idiot though so take that with a grain of salt. Expand December 2018 was 6” inches EZF, 11.5” inches RIC and 14 flakes at DCA. Just continually bumped north last 24-36 hours. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/17/2025 at 11:56 PM, WEATHER53 said: Thank you. When it shows 20” and two days later zero, what am I supposed to learn and take with me as to their value? Expand And how about the times it gives the solution you want 7 days out then verified! What do you make of the model then? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 3:53 AM, nj2va said: Expand @Bob ChillGFS is SOLID for us! Believable tho? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CavalierHoo Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 3:53 AM, nj2va said: Expand Love the improvement tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 3:55 AM, Buddy1987 said: @Bob ChillGFS is SOLID for us! Believable tho? Expand Kuchera is going big on ratios. 10-1 is 2-4 and in line with most other guidance. I'd say qpf is very believable. Not sure about 15:1 but if high ratios are going to happen, column is as good as it gets. Flakes gotta be big and fluffy. Ive seen totals end up low with cold storms before when snow growth is weak and flake quality is closer to sand than pillows. Time will tell 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 3:58 AM, CavalierHoo said: Love the improvement tonight Expand Yep, this was a great run for RIC. I’m tracking this for Deep Creek in western MD since we’ll be there Wed - Sun hosting family. I like seeing the improvement there for the ULL and upslope Thursday/Friday too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 3:53 AM, nj2va said: Expand Pls ser we need 10:1 posted with Kuchera. The ratios are out of control. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Guys, I don't think we're gonna make it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 4:06 AM, deer said: Pls ser we need 10:1 posted with Kuchera. The ratios are out of control. Expand Meant to post that too, got distracted watching the hockey game. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 2:18 AM, stormtracker said: We will live to fight again troops. Our time is not now...but it will be. God bless you all Expand Randy thank you for making my winter on Friday when you posted the over joyed amazed astonished Beethoven avatar. That avatar saved my sanity in a winter that has not produced only 12.83” here in southeast pa with drought conditions continuing. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 It's been a great winter, so this one doesn't hurt that much 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 4:08 AM, Kevin Reilly said: Randy thank you for making my winter on Friday when you posted the over joyed amazed astonished Beethoven avatar. That avatar saved my sanity in a winter that has not produced only 12.83” here in southeast pa with drought conditions continuing. Expand Hopefully we will see it again friend. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Running the 2m dp loop for this storm is telling. Between the hp to the west and confluence to the northeast, there’s just not enough moisture overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 4:00 AM, Bob Chill said: Kuchera is going big on ratios. 10-1 is 2-4 and in line with most other guidance. I'd say qpf is very believable. Not sure about 15:1 but if high ratios are going to happen, column is as good as it gets. Flakes gotta be big and fluffy. Ive seen totals end up low with cold storms before when snow growth is weak and flake quality is closer to sand than pillows. Time will tell Expand Yep, been on both ends of that. Last storm was the pillows, but on a different type of set-up. Over half-dollar sized flakes fell for close to two hours, 5 inches plus. Just 15-20 miles south they were in sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Euro is just a debacle for the RIC crew. They get 1 - 3 inches? Tbh, I was actually pulling for them to salvage this one. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 5:24 AM, stormtracker said: Euro is just a debacle for the RIC crew. They get 1 - 3 inches? Tbh, I was actually pulling for them to salvage this one.Dr no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 5:24 AM, stormtracker said: Euro is just a debacle for the RIC crew. They get 1 - 3 inches? Tbh, I was actually pulling for them to salvage this one. Expand At this point every SE tick is cracking me up more. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 18 Author Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 5:24 AM, stormtracker said: Euro is just a debacle for the RIC crew. They get 1 - 3 inches? Tbh, I was actually pulling for them to salvage this one. Expand DT is probably going to kill some bunnies tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 5:24 AM, stormtracker said: Euro is just a debacle for the RIC crew. They get 1 - 3 inches? Tbh, I was actually pulling for them to salvage this one. Expand Actually, it was a slight improvement… Another bump up before game-time could really make it a decent event for that area… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastal front Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Not only is the nam not backing down but it’s still ticking west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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