ravensrule Posted Monday at 10:09 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 10:09 PM Just now, Weather Junkie said: So what time does the flake arrive? As soon as you knock on my door. 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted Monday at 10:10 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:10 PM 2 minutes ago, stormy said: I received 28.5 in 21-22 That’s double our 14” around here that winter. I’m surprised no one here has mentioned the north of I-70 snow drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted Monday at 10:11 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 10:11 PM 1 minute ago, nw baltimore wx said: That’s double our 14” around here. I’m surprised no one here has mentioned the north of I-70 snow drought. It’s been beyond brutal. Just an awful 9 years. Next year is going to be better. I feel it in my lower bones. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted Monday at 10:11 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:11 PM 5 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Haven’t been over 20” since 15-16. You didn’t in 18-19? I hit 19”, so that surprises me that you didn’t get above 20”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted Monday at 10:12 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:12 PM Just now, ravensrule said: It’s been beyond brutal. Just an awful 9 years. Next year is going to better. I feel it in my lower bones. I’m always hopeful. Even in this non event I’m secretly hoping for the jubilation when the entire region goes from no advisories to warnings in the snap of a finger. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted Monday at 10:13 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:13 PM 1 minute ago, T. August said: You didn’t in 18-19? I hit 19”, so that surprises me that you didn’t get above 20”. 18.7” that winter, so it was close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Monday at 10:13 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:13 PM Well the gfs kept some hopes alive for a bit more improvement with 0z. Euro in an hour to see if it can improve on that horrid 12z run 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Monday at 10:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:17 PM 6 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Haven’t been over 20” since 15-16. It was 14-15 for me(or 13-14- maybe both lol). I was within an inch in 2022 and the same currently for this winter(19.6). Because the Jan 2016 blizzard was a half storm here(only 15") didn't even get close that winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted Monday at 10:18 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:18 PM 14 minutes ago, CAPE said: I'm hoping for an inch or 2. Current forecast here is exactly that btw. That would get me solidly over 20". Got very close in 2022, and fell a few inches short in both 2017 and 18, which were the next best winters in recent years. Last time over 20 was 2015. 0.7” would get me to 20” on the season, seems doable around FXBG. I might be baiting myself into this, 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted Monday at 10:19 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:19 PM 1 hour ago, CAPE said: WSW up for S DE and MD lower ES. Honestly I'm kind of surprised they went with that and given the preponderance of guidance that looks like it's showing below warning criteria snowfall. I wonder how much weight they're giving to the SREFS and the NAM.. Just now, CAPE said: It was 14-15 for me(or 13-14- maybe both lol). I was within an inch in 2022 and the same currently for this winter(19.6). Because the Jan 2016 blizzard was a half storm here(only 15") didn't even get close that winter. Just another case where your location will really color your memory of a storm I remember that storm as being around 7 in of heavy wet snow that promptly changed to driving rain and 50°. Now granted we did get winds that were stronger than what we had today, that took the roof off of a building behind my house as I watched it which I will admit was pretty exciting but I would have rather had the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Monday at 10:21 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:21 PM 5 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: 18.7” that winter, so it was close. Just over 12" here for 18-19. That one was frustrating lol. The one storm that was supposed to jack here was a big fail. DC area jacked instead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted Monday at 10:23 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:23 PM 2 minutes ago, wawarriors4 said: 0.7” would get me to 20” on the season, seems doable around FXBG. I might be baiting myself into this, I think PWC and more so down your way has a chance to sneak out a 2-4 or 3-6 type deal. It’s going to be plenty cold. So if even .25 -.50 of QPF can find its way to us we can score. Obviously wishcasting that QPF unless you buy the NAM. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted Monday at 10:34 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:34 PM 10 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: I think PWC and more so down your way has a chance to sneak out a 2-4 or 3-6 type deal. It’s going to be plenty cold. So if even .25 -.50 of QPF can find its way to us we can score. Obviously wishcasting that QPF unless you buy the NAM. not that i think it's likely, but i approve this message 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Monday at 10:36 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:36 PM 13 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said: Honestly I'm kind of surprised they went with that and given the preponderance of guidance that looks like it's showing below warning criteria snowfall. I wonder how much weight they're giving to the SREFS and the NAM.. NBM is still suggestive of low end warning criteria. NWS likes to use that product when making forecasts. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted Monday at 10:41 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:41 PM 16 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: I think PWC and more so down your way has a chance to sneak out a 2-4 or 3-6 type deal. It’s going to be plenty cold. So if even .25 -.50 of QPF can find its way to us we can score. Obviously wishcasting that QPF unless you buy the NAM. Yeah, I kind of feel 2” is doable, I don’t know about anything more than that, but I am happy to be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted Monday at 10:43 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:43 PM 4 hours ago, kristia said: The CVS app says it’s happening Well, VDOT agrees. I drove to C'ville and back (Costco trip) and I-64 was brined this morning from here to there and back lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted Monday at 10:46 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:46 PM 9 minutes ago, CAPE said: NBM is still suggestive of low end warning criteria. NWS likes to use that product when making forecasts. Do you know if they weight any members more than others or are they equally distributed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted Monday at 10:48 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:48 PM 45 minutes ago, stormy said: I received 28.5 in 21-22 JUST crept over 20 that season here, 20.3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted Monday at 10:49 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:49 PM 24 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: I think PWC and more so down your way has a chance to sneak out a 2-4 or 3-6 type deal. It’s going to be plenty cold. So if even .25 -.50 of QPF can find its way to us we can score. Obviously wishcasting that QPF unless you buy the NAM. You and deer might. Not sure about W PWC but all we need it a hair tick NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted Monday at 10:51 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:51 PM 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: You and deer might. Not sure about W PWC but all we need it a hair tick NW. an ass hair? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted Monday at 10:54 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:54 PM 2 minutes ago, Solution Man said: an ass hair? Yes. A curly one. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted Monday at 10:57 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:57 PM 16 minutes ago, CAPE said: NBM is still suggestive of low end warning criteria. NWS likes to use that product when making forecasts. There's gonna be a lot of dry air in central VA east of the mountains which is why I wouldn't be as enthusitic for that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted Monday at 10:57 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:57 PM Over/Under on 160 in the thread before Nam run this evening 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted Monday at 10:58 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:58 PM Thoughts? Shows a 1-2 line for most of you guys up that way. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted Monday at 11:04 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:04 PM I started searching youtube for those click bait winter 2025-2026 outlooks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted Monday at 11:11 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:11 PM 13 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Over/Under on 160 in the thread before Nam run this evening Over especially if the 18z euro is north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Monday at 11:14 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:14 PM 2 minutes ago, notvirga! said: Over especially if the 18z euro is north The Euro could have the storm south of Cuba and there will still be 160 people in this thread at 8:50pm because we're all masochists and we are looking for hope wherever we can find it. 11 7 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Monday at 11:18 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:18 PM Welp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted Monday at 11:19 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:19 PM Just now, CAPE said: Welp I know what that means Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Monday at 11:19 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:19 PM Maybe 0z lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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