baltosquid Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 If this doesn't work out.... 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: MU is seeing what I'm seeing, Courtesy of PA thread For context MU is a great met up here, but typically very conservative. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Next time maybe not ignore the AI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Just now, Ji said: Next time maybe not ignore the nam Fixed 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, Ji said: Next time maybe not ignore the AI Wrong thread for negative thoughts, go away... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 'In NAM We Trust' should be enshrined on all our currency if it wins this battle 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 3 minutes ago, Ji said: Next time maybe not ignore the AI You’re talking about the same entity that can’t produce hands correctly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Wrong thread for negative thoughts, go away...How is that negative. It’s a teaching moment for you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 Just now, Ji said: How is that negative. It’s a teaching moment for you. You better bring us at least 12-15” on the NAM. I’ll take 6-9” from the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Junkie Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 If we wanted teaching, we’d be in the “people who know how to read models” thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 @stormtracker is my hero. When we have blizzard conditions I’m walking to bring him a drink. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 I think we won the battle 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Let’s get the party started. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 3 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said: You’re talking about the same entity that can’t produce hands correctly. Exactly. I have become increasingly frustrated with that feature. Just ask it to draw a poster with words on it. AI for weather is a great idea, but I still think we're at least a decade away from it leading the pack in accurate weather prediction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Just a reminder: I'm stupid. However, at hour 27, it looks like the heights on the NAM are slightly lower than 18z and 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 That Millersville met is keeping me from giving it all up. I’m no H5/H7 expert but I vaguely recall some runs before Feb 9-10 2010 where the surface didn’t match what the vort maps showed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, bncho said: Just a reminder: I'm stupid. However, at hour 27, it looks like the heights on the NAM are slightly lower than 18z and 12z. If you didn’t remind everyone, I was going to 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 That Millersville met is keeping me from giving it all up. I’m no H5/H7 expert but I vaguely recall some runs before Feb 9-10 2010 where the surface didn’t match what the vort maps showed.That’s true. We used to see positive busts back then. Happened ALL the time when I lived in New York. Problem is models have gotten way better over the past 14 years, so the likelihood is a lot lower. That being said… it’s not impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 damn where tf is @stormtracker or @NorthArlington101 when you need them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 2 minutes ago, bncho said: Just a reminder: I'm stupid. However, at hour 27, it looks like the heights on the NAM are slightly lower than 18z and 12z. They are. I'd wait to draw any conclusions, but that difference can't be helpful down the line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Yeah the NAM does not encourage me so far 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Our moment of truth is almost upon us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Just now, bncho said: damn where tf is @stormtracker or @NorthArlington101 when you need them We don't get the NAM any faster. Also, I've just been enjoy time offline for a bit. And losing this event also helped to keep me off. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Just now, bncho said: damn where tf is @stormtracker or @NorthArlington101 when you need them I’m banned from this thread - not a believer. Good luck! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 0z Nam's heights are higher this run thanks to further south confluence which h results in a flatter flow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: I’m banned from this thread - not a believer. Good luck! You’re always welcome. Especially if you have good news. If it’s bad please just whisper it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: 0z Nam's heights are higher this run thanks to further south confluence which h results in a flatter flow. Confluence is one of those things that could plausibly weaken toward game time… we’ve lost storms north that way. Obviously not that helpful to see things trending the other way though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Just now, ravensrule said: You’re always welcome. Especially if you have good news. If it’s bad please just whisper it. @NorthArlington101 this is precisely the message. Lol and also I said the Nam would cave to the SE, then the varsity models would reverse cave. It’ll be all models vs the Nam in reverse by tomorrow if you ask ravens 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 everything is slightly more south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Confluence is one of those things that could plausibly weaken toward game time… we’ve lost storms north that way. Obviously not that helpful to see things trending the other way though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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