HighStakes Posted Monday at 12:37 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:37 AM 20 minutes ago, mitchnick said: I vividly remember that storm living in Glen Burnie waiting for my house in Linthicum to be built. Law school friend's wife was an airline attendant and she worked the Sby TO BWI to Raleigh circuit throughout the day on a Dash8. She said they were flying out of BWI heading east to Sby and as soon as they were over the Chesapeake Bay they hit snow. I drove down to Gibson Island on the Chesapeake Bay that day and couldn't see the eastern shore which is otherwise clearly visible. We had flurries in Glen Burnie and that was it. What a nutcracker that storm was and why I remember it so vividly. Of course, my same law school friend who lives in Sby texted me multiple times already today for updates from me because he's a weenie too. Lol We've endured a great deal of Heartbreak as winter enthusiasts living in the Mid-Atlantic. Hard to believe I had just turned 16 in January 1989. I can rember that bust so vividly as well. Were definitely getting old lol. The late 80's and early 90's were brutal. I lived a mile north of Beltway exit 20 which is roughly 3 miles north of where @nw baltimore wx currently lives. It a was a relative good spot for snow for the immediate metro area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted Monday at 12:39 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:39 AM 3-6-13 was the worst bust imo 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted Monday at 12:39 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:39 AM 17 minutes ago, Amped said: Another similar setup that failed to produce was 3/24/06. You can see we had a closed 500mb low in the perfect spot but the confluence was too strong. Don't remember any snow from that setup. Maybe a couple inches in nc/va? https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/NARR/2006/us0324.php If this is the one I’m thinking of, models also trended SE ~3 days out…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Monday at 12:40 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:40 AM 18 minutes ago, ravensrule said: The great ones always do. Let’s yank and tug this baby home. 6” or big bust. So you're holding firm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted Monday at 12:40 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:40 AM Do we ever go from no snow to snow?Or just snow to no snow?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted Monday at 12:43 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:43 AM Another similar setup that failed to produce was 3/24/06. You can see we had a closed 500mb low in the perfect spot but the confluence was too strong. Don't remember any snow from that setup. Maybe a couple inches in nc/va?https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/NARR/2006/us0324.phpWow yea I see the similarities there to this one . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Monday at 12:44 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:44 AM Folks 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Monday at 12:47 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:47 AM So you're holding firm Every single timeIf’s never 18 inches to 8 or 6It’s always to 1-2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted Monday at 12:52 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:52 AM 36 minutes ago, ravensrule said: The slow rebound starts at 0Z FOLKS. Look alive and pick your chins up. I’m here and properly tailgated for it. Also—will kill time watching the SNL 50th Anniversary. Should be hilarious. Sometimes we need a model / forum break. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted Monday at 12:55 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:55 AM 1 minute ago, Scraff said: I’m here and properly tailgated for it. Also—will kill time watching the SNL 50th Anniversary. Should be hilarious. Sometimes we need a model / forum break. YOU were supposed to start this thread. Look what's happened ... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Monday at 12:56 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:56 AM 29 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Yeah this looks nothing like that. I have never been a fan of this TPV lobe floating over the upper MW and just like it hasn’t resulted in a storm to our south, can you find me an analog where it delivered a big snowstorm? HUGE snow...for us no. To our NW yea March 2017. There have been a few other storms, one of the ice storms in Feb 1994, One of the Feb snows in 2021 that crushed just to our north. Here is an interesting thing... the CIPS analogs focus too much on the surface when there is a major anomaly there...and that is why today's analogs are all southern snowstorms that don't look anything like this at H5, but I clicked on the upper plains the day before our event when the TPV is breaking off there...and guess what the number one analog is...Jan 6 1996! At H5 the similarity is there...the difference then was it dug all the way into the TN valley. But that was a TPV split with a lobe dropping into the US and phasing with a wave like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted Monday at 12:58 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:58 AM 1 minute ago, Warm Nose said: YOU were supposed to start this thread. Look what's happened ... You’re begging for a FUCK FOLKS in the other thread at 0Z with that attitude. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted Monday at 12:59 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:59 AM @ravensrule I think the key to all of this is converting @clskinsfanover from the dark side. Usually when he’s pumped or feeling it good things happen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted Monday at 01:00 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:00 AM 1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said: @ravensrule I think the key to all of this is converting @clskinsfanover from the dark side. Usually when he’s pumped or feeling it good things happen! That’s a herculean task. Ill definitely need your help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Monday at 01:01 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:01 AM 34 minutes ago, HighStakes said: My top 5 busts in no particular order except for 3/2001 which will always take top billing. I'm not including Boxing Day one because it was clear well in advance it was a fail. 3/2001 2/1989 12/30/2000 Early February 1985. Forecast was for rain changing to snow and 6-10 inches. It did changeover briefly ending up with an inch. There was also a moderate bust in January 1985 also. Superbowl Sunday 1986. Heavy rain was supposed to change to heavy snow. Changeover was brief only leaving putrid coating. Honorable mention: 3/91 Early January 1988 3/1989 1/1984 1/1985 We used to get positive busts back then also... I remember a storm in 88 where they were saying 1-3" then rain and it never changed over and we got 10". They got us to school in the snow expecting it to change to rain then took until well after dark to get us home even though they dismissed early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Monday at 01:02 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:02 AM lol AI further east if that was possible. Looks a lot like 18z euro. Nothing of consequence in the metros. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Monday at 01:02 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:02 AM 1 minute ago, ravensrule said: That’s a herculean task. Ill definitely need your help. Especially on the 18 year juice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Monday at 01:02 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:02 AM Just now, mitchnick said: lol AI further east if that was possible. Looks a lot like 18z euro. Nothing of consequence in the metros. It doesn’t have the new data Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Monday at 01:03 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:03 AM Just now, DDweatherman said: It doesn’t have the new data 18z Euro does and it looks like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted Monday at 01:05 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:05 AM Don't worry guys I'm sure there NAM will give you false hope. Story of this winter atleast north west of you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Monday at 01:27 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:27 AM I can’t say this in the other thread but the Nam might bring snow to my relatives in Tampa in a few minutes here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted Monday at 01:31 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:31 AM So how long do you think the Weenie whine fest will last? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted Monday at 01:34 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:34 AM 3 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said: So how long do you think the Weenie whine fest will last? As long as you feel like posting, probably 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted Monday at 01:41 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:41 AM 5 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: As long as you feel like posting, probably Look at the other thread to understand what I'm talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Monday at 01:45 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:45 AM 2 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said: Look at the other thread to understand what I'm talking about. Far from a whine fest. We understand the reality. We are all laughing and having a good joke and a fun time. You should try it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted Monday at 01:53 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:53 AM 6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Far from a whine fest. We understand the reality. We are all laughing and having a good joke and a fun time. You should try it. I'm talking about when the 0z comes in and inevitably shows the comeback isn't happening. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts