2/19-2/20 Miller A Magic?

[tnweathernut]

Erwin has had a bare ground since 10 this morning.  We are in the mid 30's downtown, while areas just to our northwest in and around Johnson City appear to be holding around 31/32

[Kentucky]

2" just a tick south of Corbin, believe 99.9 % of that fell after 2 am. The 3rd, 2" snow here this winter.

[PowellVolz]

49 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said:

Wow. 28 here. 30's in East Tn Valley.

A good example of what you are saying… both of these PWS are on the same time. One at my house, the other in NE Tenn somewhere on Roan Mt. 

 

[PowellVolz]

Interesting little piece of energy rounding the base of the trough that’s headed towards ETn. It’s on the low and ML water vapor. Not sure it actually causes any lift but…. 
 

 

also the CAA behind the trough looks healthy and it looks like we will be really close to the right exit region. 500mb maps show some separation in the right exit region so diversion aloft may help some assuming the same effect that can increase thunderstorms can also aid winter weather. 
 

[John1122]

Temp has crept up here after dropping through around 1pm. 

 

 

 

[PowellVolz]

8 minutes ago, John1122 said:

Temp has crept up here after dropping through around 1pm. 

 

 

 

MRX be like…….“we tried to tell you”

@Holston_River_Rambler

[PowellVolz]

[Scottie16]

2.2 imby (SweetH20) fine flakes still falling 28F 27DP.

Radar showing another build of moisture over the Central Valley as the L lifts north. Could see more flakes fly soon. Tonight into tomorrow morning will be extremely interesting. The flow is beginning to set up over Mid NW Tennessee.

Potential is there for power outages in some areas due to blown transformers. (Melt off +frigid temperatures) x the storms we saw this year already. A wise electrician told me to always keep blankets handy when you see snow in February march.

All in all, this was a nice clipper! Hopefully we see more!


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[fountainguy97]

37 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

Interesting little piece of energy rounding the base of the trough that’s headed towards ETn. It’s on the low and ML water vapor. Not sure it actually causes any lift but…. 
 

 

also the CAA behind the trough looks healthy and it looks like we will be really close to the right exit region. 500mb maps show some separation in the right exit region so diversion aloft may help some assuming the same effect that can increase thunderstorms can also aid winter weather. 
 

Always crushing  it with the real time obs!

Ratios will be between 15:1 and  20:1 so the chance of an over performer is higher than normal.

 

[ShawnEastTN]

19 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

There is a ton of low level moisture out there.  This might be a good event tonight if the lift is decent.  I've been getting snow all day, mostly little flurries since about 10am but still loads of low level moisture.

[Carvers Gap]

A second winter weather advisory has been posted for TRI tonight.

[Crackle32]

2 hours ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

Much vaunted late February sun angle has done exactly 0 to melt anything except on the roads. 

You're probably also well below freezing. If you were in the 30's it would be a different story. Sun angle doesn't matter as much when its in the 20s or below.

[Shocker0]

My High NW of Crossville was 25 at 12pm. Now it's 21 and haven't seen the sun at all today, but all the snow on the roads is pretty much melted already. Maybe the sun angle thing is a bigger deal than I thought. But I don't remember February snows melting this quickly usually, especially with well below freezing all day

[John1122]

10 minutes ago, Shocker0 said:

My High NW of Crossville was 25 at 12pm. Now it's 22 and haven't seen the sun at all today, but all the snow on the roads is pretty much melted already. Maybe the sun angle thing is a bigger deal than I thought. But I don't remember February snows melting this quickly usually, especially with well below freezing all day

That's more the very warm two weeks leading into this event. 

[John1122]

MRX puts an sps out for my area for 1/2 to 1 inch of snow but a WWA for NE TN for 1/2 to 1 inch of snow. Sometimes their decision making process fascinates me. 

[BlunderStorm]

Downslope heating from the blue ridge this season has been an experience. Grass has been green since 10AM in downtown Johnson City. Precip was a fine mist between 12-3 but we're finally back to getting flakes.

[bearman]

7 minutes ago, John1122 said:

MRX puts an sps out for my area for 1/2 to 1 inch of snow but a WWA for NE TN for 1/2 to 1 inch of snow. Sometimes their decision making process fascinates me. 

There just never seems to be any consistency.

[nrgjeff]

Nice to see the satellite meteorology trend is holding here. Mine was just from UCAR/NCAR. Satellite page: RAP Real-Time Weather

And here's the northern stream energy for tonight. Looks juicier on RGB than vis or even IR. We go with what we like!

1 hour ago, PowellVolz said:

Interesting little piece of energy rounding the base of the trough that’s headed towards ETn. It’s on the low and ML water vapor. Not sure it actually causes any lift but…. 
 

 

also the CAA behind the trough looks healthy and it looks like we will be really close to the right exit region. 500mb maps show some separation in the right exit region so diversion aloft may help some assuming the same effect that can increase thunderstorms can also aid winter weather. 
 

 

[Daniel Boone]

25 minutes ago, John1122 said:

That's more the very warm two weeks leading into this event. 

Exactly. Heat still built up in surfaces. My paved Driveway lost most of it's snow from melting. Solar through the cloud's has done some though as more cover remains in the shaded area.

[Daniel Boone]

17 minutes ago, BlunderStorm said:

Downslope heating from the blue ridge this season has been an experience. Grass has been green since 10AM in downtown Johnson City. Precip was a fine mist between 12-3 but we're finally back to getting flakes.

I saw on the Cam over there where they had got shafted.

[Math/Met]

Snow has picked up in Greene Co. Most of the snow from earlier today melted, but it's starting to accumulate again now.

[midwoodian]

Got 1 3/4 inches here in east ridge just east of Chattanooga and still getting light snow falling. Probably not making it to 2 but maybe with some luck if this back side does anything. Time of day will likely not help either. Over performer either way! 

2” on signal


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[AMZ8990]

3 hours ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

Ended up with about 1.5" total so far. 

Same here

[Carvers Gap]

So far,  we have received about 1.5".  I get a slight elevation bump where I am located.

[*Flash*]

 

[John1122]

Hopefully the RGEM is handling wave 2 as well as it often does things from the NW. It's giving my area 1.5 inches and breaks out 1/2 to 3/4ths inch down into the valley. 

[Daniel Boone]

33 minutes ago, John1122 said:

Hopefully the RGEM is handling wave 2 as well as it often does things from the NW. It's giving my area 1.5 inches and breaks out 1/2 to 3/4ths inch down into the valley. 

Hopefully it's right. 

[PowellVolz]

[John1122]

It may not last but the radar looks healthier than it was modeled to look at this time. 

[John1122]

16 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

In February 2001(I think) I got 7 inches off a streamer that connected to Lake Michigan. It was a county wide basically and it ran from NW Indiana all the way to here.