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2/19-2/20 Miller A Magic?


fountainguy97
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49 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said:

Wow. 28 here. 30's in East Tn Valley.

A good example of what you are saying… both of these PWS are on the same time. One at my house, the other in NE Tenn somewhere on Roan Mt. 

IMG_3550.thumb.jpeg.c94724080ee58b68af3b795e9f4e5d94.jpeg

 

IMG_3551.thumb.jpeg.7a3df368230083b02799a711c5df5bc7.jpeg

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Interesting little piece of energy rounding the base of the trough that’s headed towards ETn. It’s on the low and ML water vapor. Not sure it actually causes any lift but…. 
 

IMG_3556.thumb.jpeg.1a62b68c02739ec42db43890b60a256f.jpeg

 

also the CAA behind the trough looks healthy and it looks like we will be really close to the right exit region. 500mb maps show some separation in the right exit region so diversion aloft may help some assuming the same effect that can increase thunderstorms can also aid winter weather. 
 

IMG_3553.thumb.jpeg.3473e39f05e7654ed75d16cbd054f689.jpeg

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2.2 imby (SweetH20) fine flakes still falling 28F 27DP.

Radar showing another build of moisture over the Central Valley as the L lifts north. Could see more flakes fly soon. Tonight into tomorrow morning will be extremely interesting. The flow is beginning to set up over Mid NW Tennessee.

Potential is there for power outages in some areas due to blown transformers. (Melt off +frigid temperatures) x the storms we saw this year already. A wise electrician told me to always keep blankets handy when you see snow in February march.

All in all, this was a nice clipper! Hopefully we see more!


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37 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

Interesting little piece of energy rounding the base of the trough that’s headed towards ETn. It’s on the low and ML water vapor. Not sure it actually causes any lift but…. 
 

IMG_3556.thumb.jpeg.1a62b68c02739ec42db43890b60a256f.jpeg

 

also the CAA behind the trough looks healthy and it looks like we will be really close to the right exit region. 500mb maps show some separation in the right exit region so diversion aloft may help some assuming the same effect that can increase thunderstorms can also aid winter weather. 
 

IMG_3553.thumb.jpeg.3473e39f05e7654ed75d16cbd054f689.jpeg

Always crushing  it with the real time obs!

Ratios will be between 15:1 and  20:1 so the chance of an over performer is higher than normal.

 

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2 hours ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

Much vaunted late February sun angle has done exactly 0 to melt anything except on the roads. 

You're probably also well below freezing. If you were in the 30's it would be a different story. Sun angle doesn't matter as much when its in the 20s or below.

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My High NW of Crossville was 25 at 12pm. Now it's 21 and haven't seen the sun at all today, but all the snow on the roads is pretty much melted already. Maybe the sun angle thing is a bigger deal than I thought. But I don't remember February snows melting this quickly usually, especially with well below freezing all day

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10 minutes ago, Shocker0 said:

My High NW of Crossville was 25 at 12pm. Now it's 22 and haven't seen the sun at all today, but all the snow on the roads is pretty much melted already. Maybe the sun angle thing is a bigger deal than I thought. But I don't remember February snows melting this quickly usually, especially with well below freezing all day

That's more the very warm two weeks leading into this event. 

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7 minutes ago, John1122 said:

MRX puts an sps out for my area for 1/2 to 1 inch of snow but a WWA for NE TN for 1/2 to 1 inch of snow. Sometimes their decision making process fascinates me. 

There just never seems to be any consistency.

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Nice to see the satellite meteorology trend is holding here. Mine was just from UCAR/NCAR. Satellite page: RAP Real-Time Weather

And here's the northern stream energy for tonight. Looks juicier on RGB than vis or even IR. We go with what we like!

image.png.855e63d849b997a12c790b53bd3de4f4.png

1 hour ago, PowellVolz said:

Interesting little piece of energy rounding the base of the trough that’s headed towards ETn. It’s on the low and ML water vapor. Not sure it actually causes any lift but…. 
 

IMG_3556.thumb.jpeg.1a62b68c02739ec42db43890b60a256f.jpeg

 

also the CAA behind the trough looks healthy and it looks like we will be really close to the right exit region. 500mb maps show some separation in the right exit region so diversion aloft may help some assuming the same effect that can increase thunderstorms can also aid winter weather. 
 

IMG_3553.thumb.jpeg.3473e39f05e7654ed75d16cbd054f689.jpeg

 

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17 minutes ago, BlunderStorm said:

Downslope heating from the blue ridge this season has been an experience. Grass has been green since 10AM in downtown Johnson City. Precip was a fine mist between 12-3 but we're finally back to getting flakes.

I saw on the Cam over there where they had got shafted.

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Got 1 3/4 inches here in east ridge just east of Chattanooga and still getting light snow falling. Probably not making it to 2 but maybe with some luck if this back side does anything. Time of day will likely not help either. Over performer either way! 

2” on signal


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