WishingForWarmWeather Posted Wednesday at 02:36 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:36 AM 56 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: Hope no one gets hungry. lol.. just kidding Well, if they do, we’ve got outside seating. Prime spot to watch the chef, though some complaints of ambient temperature. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted Wednesday at 02:43 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:43 AM 9 minutes ago, Wurbus said: Don't look at the 9pm plumes for Knoxville. Mean cut in half to .2 qpf Yikes!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted Wednesday at 02:55 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:55 AM 9 minutes ago, ShawnEastTN said: Yikes!!! 9 minutes ago, ShawnEastTN said: Don't look at the 9pm plumes for Knoxville. Mean cut in half to .2 qpf Don't know why anyone would expect anything different it almost always happens. it seems. Lucy always pulls to ball out of the way before its kicked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BNAwx Posted Wednesday at 02:58 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:58 AM Got a light snow/graupel mix in Hermitage just east of Nashville. Hoping some of those heavier returns coming up from Memphis make it here. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted Wednesday at 03:01 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:01 AM Yeah. Someone mentioned earlier about all of the bad signals for East TN and I agree. These types of systems typically just don't perform well here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Wednesday at 03:19 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:19 AM I've no idea what the future radar is run off of for TWC but it's impressive even down deep into Alabama for snow. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted Wednesday at 03:20 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:20 AM I think the models struggle with precip when it’s this cold. Those temps in 20’s usually make some good snows. I think of it like a clipper. Drops 2-4” quickly. Hopefully everyone cashes in. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted Wednesday at 03:27 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:27 AM 28 minutes ago, bearman said: Don't know why anyone would expect anything different it almost always happens. it seems. Lucy always pulls to ball out of the way before its kicked. I feel like we have done well over the last 4-5 years with the higher end storms. I’ve had at least 4, 8”+ since the Christmas Eve Eve snow. I’ve also had a handful of 2”-4” snows. But I’m greedy so any chance of snow that doesn’t work out is a face palm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted Wednesday at 03:29 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:29 AM 8 minutes ago, John1122 said: I've no idea what the future radar is run off of for TWC but it's impressive even down deep into Alabama for snow. Starting to see some reflections on the plateau which probably means it’s reaching the ground considering how bad the radars are in that area, especially for snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Wednesday at 03:32 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:32 AM 2 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: Starting to see some reflections on the plateau which probably means it’s reaching the ground considering how bad the radars are in that area, especially for snow. You'll usually see some virga there, as it's higher moisture. When the DGZ lowers is when you have the most trouble seeing snow on radar. But eastern Fentress/Western Scott is usually tough under any circumstances. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted Wednesday at 03:34 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:34 AM I’m still pessimistic here but there’s a nice firehose set up from the Arklatex region moving into N Miss and W Tenn that’s on a track for ETn if it holds. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Wednesday at 03:37 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:37 AM 2 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: I’m still pessimistic here but there’s a nice firehose set up from the Arklatex region moving into N Miss and W Tenn that’s on a track for ETn if it holds. That's what TWC's future radar shows spreading over the entire forum area by 4amish. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted Wednesday at 03:41 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:41 AM 2 minutes ago, John1122 said: That's what TWC's future radar shows spreading over the entire forum area by 4amish. Is this the upper level trough catching up? I don’t know how to make a gif but it’s definitely catching the back end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted Wednesday at 03:47 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:47 AM Light snow here in Smyrna 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted Wednesday at 03:54 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:54 AM NWS in Memphis just tweeted they believe they just had thundersnow 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted Wednesday at 03:56 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:56 AM 2 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: NWS in Memphis just tweeted they believe they just had thundersnow 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted Wednesday at 04:00 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:00 AM Radar starting to fill in quickly between Nashville and Crossville. I know there will be a period of virga but think it'll start sooner than forecast. Might need to move start times that MRX forecast an hour or more earlier. Virga already over me in the Great valley. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted Wednesday at 04:06 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:06 AM The air is dry but not as much as I expected. A couple PWS in my area showing humidity in the mid 70’s. 33/27 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted Wednesday at 04:09 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:09 AM Ping report in Clarksville with 3”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted Wednesday at 04:10 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:10 AM 35/26 for me 67% humidity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Wednesday at 04:13 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:13 AM 29/23 here. 65%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Wednesday at 04:15 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:15 AM 5 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: Ping report in Clarksville with 3”. The Euro only gave them like 2.5 total. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Wednesday at 04:24 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:24 AM The models that showed a good thump around Clarksville and St Louis are so far winning vs the drier models that choked off totals out that way. Fwiw the 0z Gem/Rgem/GFS are very close to what is ground reality that way and they are upping totals this way. The GEM just put 3.5 inches into North Knox and 2.5-3 inches along and south of 40. The RGEM is similar with a little bonus area of 4 inches around Roane Co. The GFS is 2.5 inches or so along 40 and also slipped a little heavier area around Roane and Loudon co. None of the mixing issues around the foothills really either. Hopefully they don't all school the Euro west of here then lose to the Euro here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted Wednesday at 04:27 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:27 AM 6 minutes ago, John1122 said: The Euro only gave them like 2.5 total. I’m starting to believe by looking at the radar that the belt of heavier snow is further south than the mods said. I’ve only seen one, 3” report in Kentucky. Would be real nice if that belt of snow holds together that’s tracking right on 40 towards ETn. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Wednesday at 04:27 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:27 AM The fire hose that Powell was talking about it portrayed on in ICON laying down 4 to 5 inches in a band about three counties across from out AMZ's way across Murfreesboro, along the Plateau and into SE KY and SW VA. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted Wednesday at 04:29 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:29 AM 4 minutes ago, John1122 said: The models that showed a good thump around Clarksville and St Louis are so far winning vs the drier models that choked off totals out that way. Fwiw the 0z Gem/Rgem/GFS are very close to what is ground reality that way and they are upping totals this way. The GEM just put 3.5 inches into North Knox and 2.5-3 inches along and south of 40. The RGEM is similar with a little bonus area of 4 inches around Roane Co. The GFS is 2.5 inches or so along 40 and also slipped a little heavier area around Roane and Loudon co. None of the mixing issues around the foothills really either. Hopefully they don't all school the Euro west of here then lose to the Euro here. Yep… some of the mods are showing that belt on both sides of 40 now. It matches up with the radar. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted Wednesday at 04:39 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:39 AM In a way… the flow on the radar kinda reminds me of the overrunning event from Jan 24. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted Wednesday at 04:42 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:42 AM Should finally be snowing here in a few min,some 30dbz is knocking on the door if it holds 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted Wednesday at 04:45 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:45 AM 35 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: Ping report in Clarksville with 3”. Yeah, easily. I will go grab a shot. Last one for tonight, brb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted Wednesday at 04:50 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:50 AM Clarksville snow picture. 22°, feels like 11°, says the low will be around 18° actual. 87% humidity. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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