Matthew70 Posted Tuesday at 11:46 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:46 PM 8 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: Going by ground reports and the radar, seems as though the snow isn’t taking long to reach the ground. At least between Clarksville & Paducah. It did not take long at all. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted Tuesday at 11:52 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:52 PM oof…… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted Tuesday at 11:54 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:54 PM Snow falling and already very lightly covering roads and grass in Clarksville. edit to add the high at my house today was 31 and is currently 24 and dropping. Big ol flakes falling. edit to add one more time. Last one I promise. I have a falling our 4-6 might bust low. Feels/smells in the air out there like the big ones I used to get back home in Jersey. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted Tuesday at 11:56 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:56 PM Saw a lightning strike and some convective clouds as the sun was setting upstream: 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted Wednesday at 12:00 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:00 AM 4 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said: Saw a lightning strike and some convective clouds as the sun was setting upstream: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted Wednesday at 12:04 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:04 AM For those who like video proof lol. Nothing special but I know yall. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted Wednesday at 12:17 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:17 AM I like the models that bring snow into Chatty. Not a wish-cast, just makes sense with cold enough temperature profile and partial thickness. Surface could get up to 38 but that no problem, all else in place. Plus the surface will probably stay colder than forecast during precip. Now, the lee of the mountains. That's some cruel and unusual punishment - twice counting Jan. 10! Some high-res models agree with the snow shadow early. Then perhaps some NWFS will save last-minute when the lee becomes the windward side. Wind shift as system passes. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted Wednesday at 12:18 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:18 AM oooo we have a mesoscale disco: Mesoscale Discussion 0116 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0601 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Areas affected...Northeastern Arkansas...Southeastern Missouri...Western Tennessee...Western Kentucky...Southern Illinois Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 190001Z - 190300Z SUMMARY...Snowfall rates will gradually increase across portions of western Kentucky and western Tennessee through the evening. Rates will decrease through time, though some moderate to heavy snowfall rates up to 1"/hr will be possible in heavier bands. DISCUSSION...Radar analysis shows the gradual shift of snowfall into portions of western Kentucky and Tennessee this evening. Moderate to heavy snowfall is ongoing across southeastern Missouri into southern Illinois, where a persistent heavy band extends, driven by 700-850 mb frontogenesis and isentropic ascent. This enhancement will gradually shift eastward through time, with potential for a few heavier bands with occasional 1"/hr rates. HREF ensemble guidance shows a down trend in rates overall through the evening, with a transition to mostly light snow for portions of western Tennessee. Confidence is highest in potential for better rates across northwestern Kentucky into southern Illinois. ..Thornton.. 02/19/2025 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*Flash* Posted Wednesday at 12:19 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:19 AM The car is parked, windshield wipers up, GoPro and Wyze v3 on standby. Just hopin' the downslope radar and Dry Air Monster cooperate. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted Wednesday at 12:20 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:20 AM 3 minutes ago, nrgjeff said: I like the models that bring snow into Chatty. Not a wish-cast, just makes sense with cold enough temperature profile and partial thickness. Surface could get up to 38 but that no problem, all else in place. Now, the lee of the mountains. That's some cruel and unusual punishment - twice counting Jan. 10! Some high-res models agree with the snow shadow early. Then perhaps some NWFS will save last-minute. That model depiction of ARW2 looks to me what makes the most sense for most of the valley of East Tennessee. I could buy 2-4" for most of the East Tennessee valley. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted Wednesday at 12:21 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:21 AM It’s a complete white out at the Tennessee Kentucky line at Clarksville. The interstates are already snow-covered. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted Wednesday at 12:24 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:24 AM Interesting from the SREF Plumes…. BNA 2,75” average, .3” qpf TYS just a hair below 3” but the qpf is .4” 75% snow, 25% liquid. if Knox area gets .4” qpf, I feel pretty good about 2” or so, obviously assuming it’s right. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted Wednesday at 12:31 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:31 AM 10 minutes ago, ShawnEastTN said: That model depiction of ARW2 looks to me what makes the most sense for most of the valley of East Tennessee. I could buy 2-4" for most of the East Tennessee valley. After seeing the SERF QPF average of .4” liquid, 2”-4” is definitely in play if that’s right. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted Wednesday at 12:51 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:51 AM 1 hour ago, BlunderStorm said: Interesting clouds in JC this evening. Maybe it's a sign Those were over here too. Looked like Mamatus. I was thinking how Weird . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted Wednesday at 12:54 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:54 AM 2 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said: Those were over here too. Looked like Mamatus. I was thinking how Weird . Same here! I thought the exact same thing looked just like Mammatus clouds. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Wednesday at 12:54 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:54 AM 35 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said: oooo we have a mesoscale disco: Mesoscale Discussion 0116 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0601 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Areas affected...Northeastern Arkansas...Southeastern Missouri...Western Tennessee...Western Kentucky...Southern Illinois Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 190001Z - 190300Z SUMMARY...Snowfall rates will gradually increase across portions of western Kentucky and western Tennessee through the evening. Rates will decrease through time, though some moderate to heavy snowfall rates up to 1"/hr will be possible in heavier bands. DISCUSSION...Radar analysis shows the gradual shift of snowfall into portions of western Kentucky and Tennessee this evening. Moderate to heavy snowfall is ongoing across southeastern Missouri into southern Illinois, where a persistent heavy band extends, driven by 700-850 mb frontogenesis and isentropic ascent. This enhancement will gradually shift eastward through time, with potential for a few heavier bands with occasional 1"/hr rates. HREF ensemble guidance shows a down trend in rates overall through the evening, with a transition to mostly light snow for portions of western Tennessee. Confidence is highest in potential for better rates across northwestern Kentucky into southern Illinois. ..Thornton.. 02/19/2025 In the Tennessee area of this, the Euro was only showing around 2 inches total. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted Wednesday at 12:58 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:58 AM 2 minutes ago, John1122 said: In the Tennessee area of this, the Euro was only showing around 2 inches total. It's definitely got some qpf issues. Seems to be since last upgrade. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted Wednesday at 01:01 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:01 AM 39 minutes ago, Matthew70 said: It’s a complete white out at the Tennessee Kentucky line at Clarksville. The interstates are already snow-covered. You live here too? I’m like 3 minutes from the Kentucky line. Roads are solid white over here off Ft. Campbell. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted Wednesday at 01:14 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:14 AM It is really really coming down here in Clarksville probably an inch already 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted Wednesday at 01:18 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:18 AM 16 minutes ago, WishingForWarmWeather said: You live here too? I’m like 3 minutes from the Kentucky line. Roads are solid white over here off Ft. Campbell. I actually was going through there on my way back from Paducah,. I actually live outside of Murfreesboro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted Wednesday at 01:32 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:32 AM More video and a picture. Don’t judge the deck lmao gotta bring that chair to the dump next week. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted Wednesday at 01:39 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:39 AM 5 minutes ago, WishingForWarmWeather said: More video and a picture. Don’t judge the deck lmao gotta bring that chair to the dump next week. Hope no one gets hungry. lol.. just kidding 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted Wednesday at 02:00 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:00 AM Hope the GOM gets in the game soon or the Euro might be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*Flash* Posted Wednesday at 02:19 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:19 AM A light snow/ice pellet mix has started in White Bluff. Technically, about 15-20 minutes in. Dusting on the cars, porch tables, and rooftops. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted Wednesday at 02:22 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:22 AM 2 minutes ago, *Flash* said: A light snow/ice pellet mix has started in White Bluff. Technically, about 15-20 minutes in. Dusting on the cars, porch tables, and rooftops. Got a virga storm here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted Wednesday at 02:31 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:31 AM 8 minutes ago, jaxjagman said: Got a virga storm here I believe it will end quickly and we will see snow very soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted Wednesday at 02:32 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:32 AM Hope the GOM gets in the game soon or the Euro might be right. Looks like it is getting some GOM hookup to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted Wednesday at 02:33 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:33 AM Light to moderate sleet falling now in bolivar. 8:30 start time for event 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted Wednesday at 02:33 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:33 AM 2 hours ago, PowellVolz said: Interesting from the SREF Plumes…. BNA 2,75” average, .3” qpf TYS just a hair below 3” but the qpf is .4” 75% snow, 25% liquid. if Knox area gets .4” qpf, I feel pretty good about 2” or so, obviously assuming it’s right. Don't look at the 9pm plumes for Knoxville. Mean cut in half to .2 qpf 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted Wednesday at 02:34 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:34 AM Good luck to all! I am in Florida. Reel this one in! 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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