SEwakenosnowforu Posted Tuesday at 10:15 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:15 PM I have a question, is the low off the coast weaker now? If so, I would think the warm nose would be weaker for southern wake co. Anyone care to help me understand? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted Tuesday at 10:16 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:16 PM Man, we really are back. I haven’t heard the convection robbing moisture argument in over four years. It does also depend on the orientation of the convection.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Tuesday at 10:16 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:16 PM The GFS op run takes the 850 line to the Wake/Johnston border at its farthest northward progression: Raleigh area model sounding at that time stamp: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted Tuesday at 10:18 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:18 PM Has anyone had any experience measuring.02- .08 of snow ? 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted Tuesday at 10:22 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:22 PM 5 minutes ago, eyewall said: The GFS op run takes the 850 line to the Wake/Johnston border at its farthest northward progression: Raleigh area model sounding at that time stamp: Did our ancestors draw up the interstates, county and state maps based on Snow totals and 850mb maps? I wonder sometimes. 3 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Tuesday at 10:22 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:22 PM Our locals up this way are saying 3-6" up this way. I hope they are right. Their futurecast look alot more bullish than some of the normal models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Tuesday at 10:26 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 10:26 PM I’m cautiously optimistic for Raleigh with the 850 trending south and models consistently showing the fronto band overhead. Not too worried about model QPF unless that moves. Think this could be an over achiever 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AGardiner87 Posted Tuesday at 10:27 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:27 PM 4 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: Did our ancestors draw up the interstates, county and state maps based on Snow totals and 850mb maps? I wonder sometimes. 85’s always been a precip dividing line for the CLT area, it’s crazy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Tuesday at 10:28 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:28 PM Do yall think we will see the QPF beef up at 0z with most guidance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Tuesday at 10:28 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 10:28 PM 56 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Next time.. please don't add "major" to the thread title. Jinxed from the start... Hey now, we’re the only forum in the game still. NYC, PHILLY, and MA all fell hard but our major winter storm thread has survived! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Tuesday at 10:29 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:29 PM 10 minutes ago, Pilotwx said: Has anyone had any experience measuring.02- .08 of snow ? I’ve been rounding up small measurements for years 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEwakenosnowforu Posted Tuesday at 10:32 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:32 PM So all I see is snow maps. Are they including that with sleet? I am wondering what the snow/sleet totals could be for southeast wake? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Tuesday at 10:34 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:34 PM 1 minute ago, SEwakenosnowforu said: So all I see is snow maps. Are they including that with sleet? I am wondering what the snow/sleet totals could be for southeast wake? Not the 10:1 maps. Use Kuchera to account for sleet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Tuesday at 10:44 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 10:44 PM The UK doubled precip for the triangle 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted Tuesday at 10:49 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:49 PM 1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said: The UK doubled precip for the triangle This signal has been there for about a week and no matter the fluctuations, every model keeps either hinting or coming back to something big. This is different from our usual storms where everything fizzles out accross the board with zero hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Tuesday at 10:50 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:50 PM 4 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: The UK doubled precip for the triangle Well since I have to hang back here I hope this works out. I will of course venture where I can more locally if need be. I just hope we get in the fronto band for a bit just north of the screw line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted Tuesday at 10:50 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:50 PM 1 hour ago, HornetsHomer91 said: These models are only drying up over POTENTIAL Gulf convection.... something that we will not know until MAYBE 3-4AM tonight in Real radar. Take a peak at Wichita KS..... Forecast 1" ..... SO FAR 6-7" This is the equivilent of being catfished. Our storm will have removed the fake lashes, hair extensions and Tik Tok filters by the time she gets across the apps. She's UGLY man!! Seriously, no more "major" in the thread titles. Some old hunter shot those ducks on the pond 2 minutes after the thread was posted. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Tuesday at 10:52 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:52 PM WRAL making sure to cover everything that can go wrong and still making the most conservative call possible. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted Tuesday at 10:55 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:55 PM I think RAL is too high for south wake. They should have kept their original dusting to one inch. . 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silver Meteor Posted Tuesday at 11:07 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:07 PM 1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said: Latest NWS Hello from Greenville! Been following this storm since the very beginning when I didn't even consider the possibility of getting snow from it. But really, what a mess! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted Tuesday at 11:08 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:08 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted Tuesday at 11:09 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:09 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted Tuesday at 11:10 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:10 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Tuesday at 11:14 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 11:14 PM The “major” argument may have F’d the rest of the board but when it was created, I was looking at 0” of snow and now almost all models show 3-6” here. Probably sacrificed everyone for Raleigh to jackpot, but that’s a sacrifice I can live with 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silver Meteor Posted Tuesday at 11:14 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:14 PM 1 hour ago, stormwatcherJ said: My “zone area forecast” from NWS for Hillsborough had been the same for about 24 hours, but just now changed to 2-4 inches for Wednesday night overnight. Changed from what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted Tuesday at 11:15 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:15 PM Convection firing in the Gulf already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Tuesday at 11:15 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:15 PM 1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said: The “major” argument may have F’d the rest of the board but when it was created, I was looking at 0” of snow and now almost all models show 3-6” here. Probably sacrificed everyone for Raleigh to jackpot, but that’s a sacrifice I can live with And it will still be major for NE NC and SE VA 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted Tuesday at 11:19 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:19 PM Eric going a bit more aggressive than I expected 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted Tuesday at 11:21 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:21 PM Mike maze just mentioned the storms blocking moisture transport . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Tuesday at 11:24 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 11:24 PM 2 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: Mike maze just mentioned the storms blocking moisture transport . He must be hugging the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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