Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 09:12 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:12 PM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 09:14 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:14 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 09:14 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:14 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 09:16 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:16 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Monday at 09:16 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:16 PM The RAP 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC2Winston Posted Monday at 09:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:17 PM First time I’ve seen a WSW paint such a broad range like this, 1-6 inches. 2-4, 3-6 yes of course. Tough forecast I know, but aren’t they all in the RAL footprint? :-) . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 09:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:17 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUNYGRAD Posted Monday at 09:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:17 PM See the FGEN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormwatcherJ Posted Monday at 09:18 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:18 PM Just now, DC2Winston said: First time I’ve seen a WSW paint such a broad range like this, 1-6 inches. 2-4, 3-6 yes of course. Tough forecast I know, but aren’t they all in the RAL footprint? :-) . Was thinking the same thing. I’ve never seen 1-6, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 09:18 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 09:18 PM ICON was OK here but big drop in precip for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebaney Posted Monday at 09:19 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:19 PM My bottom corner of Wake didn't quite get NAM'd haha. I'm still expecting a sleet bombWhere are you? I am K’dale, usually snow hole. Could it be I win this time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 09:25 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:25 PM 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 09:27 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 09:27 PM 1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said: How has the RGEM done this year? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted Monday at 09:30 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:30 PM 12 minutes ago, DC2Winston said: First time I’ve seen a WSW paint such a broad range like this, 1-6 inches. 2-4, 3-6 yes of course. Tough forecast I know, but aren’t they all in the RAL footprint? :-) . Maybe because they think it will be disruptive to travel since temps will be low for a lot of sticking, etc. I thought it was weird too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 09:31 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 09:31 PM Just now, CentralNC said: Maybe because they think it will be disruptive to travel since temps will be low for a lot of sticking, etc. I thought it was weird too. They should’ve just used the @eyewall call map 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 09:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:32 PM Short range models have anywhere from 2 to 6 inches of snow here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Monday at 09:34 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:34 PM 2 hours ago, GaWx said: RDU. There are no p-type maps or 2 meter temp maps for the JMA at either WB or TT. It is pretty much a given that 2m will be below 32. TT does have 850s at 24 hour intervals for today’s 12Z JMA allowing me to educatedly guess that RDU would be just about all snow (maybe a little sleet). I think that 6” of snowfall from 0.80” qpf would be doable but it is just an educated guess. Regardless, it would be a major hit. If it were mainly sleet (highly doubtful), it would still approach 3” of concrete. ***Edit: I’ll update this when it comes out on WB as they have 850s and qpf at 6 hour intervals through hour 72. I just saw WB 12Z JMA update: the 850s do, indeed, stay just <0C at RDU through the entire event and qpf is 0.80”. Based on this, I’m going to retain my educated guess that this is giving RDU ~~6” of mainly wet snow with perhaps a small amount of sleet: 12Z JMA furthest N 850 0C line southern border of Wake county with -1C at RDU: 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Monday at 09:35 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:35 PM Just now, GaWx said: I just saw WB 12Z JMA update: the 850s due, indeed, stay just <0C through the entire event and qpf is 0.80”. Based on this, I’m going to retain my educated guess that this is giving RDU ~~6” of mainly wet snow with perhaps a small amount of sleet: 12Z JMA furthest N 850 0C line southern border of Wake county with -1C at RDU: How is the JMA QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted Monday at 09:35 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:35 PM Soo many models. Somebody post the Japanese and Brazilian ones.The Brazilian model is nada… smooth and silky. . 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clemsonlady Posted Monday at 09:36 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:36 PM I fear this storm will surprise some folks, make some folks really happy and disappoint others… been a long time since I have seen such disagreement with models… and yes I am sure the Mets are cautious… they get graded on these forecasts and this one is a physics exam you did not study for!. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Monday at 09:37 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:37 PM 8 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: How is the JMA QPF? 0.80” RDU but tight gradient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 09:39 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 09:39 PM Most important GFS run of the year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted Monday at 09:40 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:40 PM Brick in here posting models faster than a Latino roofer lays shingles. (All due respect of course to Latino roofers cuz they are amazing) Eventually one of these models has to be right....right? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Monday at 09:43 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:43 PM 5 minutes ago, GaWx said: That's not bad at all. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Monday at 09:49 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:49 PM GFS is slightly improved for western areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted Monday at 09:49 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:49 PM GFS colder upstairs. Wake County all snow 5+ inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 09:53 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 09:53 PM Slight improvements on GFS. We needed that. Triangle will be happy. More snow west too 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted Monday at 09:56 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:56 PM Slight improvements on GFS. We needed that. Triangle will be happy. More snow west tooGFS all snow for RDU. What could go wrong?. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted Monday at 10:01 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:01 PM 18z and 12z GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Monday at 10:02 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:02 PM GFS slightly worse up this way. But it may just be noise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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