Joe Clark Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 2:32 PM, NorthHillsWx said: NAM gets its act together Expand Thats what I was thinking too. Looks like more QPF than the 6z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 So NAM came back more amped and wetter east of I-77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 12Z NAM fwiw: 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 2:37 PM, Joe Clark said: Thats what I was thinking too. Looks like more QPF than the 6z run. Expand Noticed on the last GFS and latest NAM snow bands building on the backside. Be something to watch as energy drops in on the backside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 FV3.. note this isnt over for eastern areas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 12z 3km Nam...Hope it's on to something because this looks great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 Maybe the NAM is a sign the bleeding has stopped, or maybe it’s the HR 60 NAM. But that was not a bad run for a lot of the forum. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 FV3 looks like a major winter storm for most of NC and southern VA 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 3k NAM was looking good. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 So maybe the NAM stopped the bleeding? Let’s see what the rest of the suite holds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 FYI, the GRAF model has been keying on that same concept of a deform band-like feature filling out near and west of CLT and into the Upstate late afternoon and early evening, similar to what is now seen on the 12z NAM. Hope for the I-85 corridor probably largely depends on that feature becoming a reality. 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 2:47 PM, NorthHillsWx said: FV3 looks like a major winter storm for most of NC and southern VA Expand The precip ends up filling in nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Regardless of what happens, the general public is going to in unison say what storm?, around mid-morning on Wednesday 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 3k Nam at 60 looks better than the whole storm on the regular NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 2:49 PM, Brick Tamland said: The precip ends up filling in nicely. Expand You’re in that spot where you can smell the mix but have heavy snow. Gotta ride the line to max out!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 2:53 PM, Brick Tamland said: 3k Nam at 60 looks better than the whole storm on the regular NAM. Expand And so does the FV3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 I don’t love that run for RDU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 FV3 has 0.4-0.5” QPF across most of central nc and the storm is only about half over at end of the run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 2:56 PM, StantonParkHoya said: I don’t love that run for RDU Expand I fear we mix bad. Think those uber suppressed/cold looks were fools gold for thermals. We’ll see what globals show but hi res is concerning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 2:58 PM, NorthHillsWx said: I fear we mix bad. Think those uber suppressed/cold looks were fools gold for thermals. We’ll see what globals show but hi res is concerning Expand We are going to mix for sure. That seems unavoidable but the question is how much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 2:58 PM, NorthHillsWx said: I fear we mix bad. Think those uber suppressed/cold looks were fools gold for thermals. We’ll see what globals show but hi res is concerning Expand Just hoping I am far enough north to get mostly snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Something the short-range Canadian and NAM both trended on at 12z was the PJ energy. Both shifted it a bit west which allows the trough axis to be a bit more neutral titled. This allows more moisture back west. This will be key if you want a trend towards a juicer system, instead of another suppressed 1 incher. Interested to see if the Euro reverts back some at 12z toay. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 ICON looks pretty decent 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 RGEM looks awesome. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 More moisture west than 06Z on the Icon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 SE Forum: I think the bleeding has stopped. Take one step back from the cliff edge 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 ICON keeps it all snow from Wake county north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 RDPS looks decent, too. All snow from Wake county north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 After the 12z suite I may finally put out a call map. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 3:13 PM, Brick Tamland said: RGEM looks awesome. Expand Pretty solid tick NW from its last run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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