wncsnow Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Moisture just weakens as it hits the Apps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 Just a few hundred miles south of its last run, no big deal 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 NAM shifting temps and SLPs hundreds of miles between runs… WE DO SCIENCE IN THIS COUNTRY 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 NAM is further south and has ice where it was rain before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Most of that is sleet in Wake 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, StantonParkHoya said: Most of that is sleet in Wake Major sleet bomb for the northern 1/2 of NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 18 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Moisture just weakens as it hits the Apps. There was a storm here in Jan of 2018 which had a similar projected trajectory as this one. The models struggled with the lee side up until right before the storm and I believe the HRRR was the first to show it, but we developed a lee side low which enhanced the moisture and actually had a decent storm here. I'll try to find the map on it. This was the storm... https://products.climate.ncsu.edu/weather/winter/event/?e=627 https://climate.ncsu.edu/blog/2018/01/rapid-reaction-seasons-third-snow-did-things-its-own-way/ 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeNormanStormin Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 All freezing rain on the NAM here. Will pass on that. Give me the cold rain again please and thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 ICON looks like a strung out mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 Just now, NorthHillsWx said: ICON looks like a strung out mess Spoke too soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 ICON a big hit triangle-east. All snow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Icon is solid for most of central to eastern NC and VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 0z ICON with around 20" in SE VA NE NC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: 0z ICON with around 20" in SE VA NE NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Alright. Just need a 250 mile shift in about 2 days to jackpot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 ICON would feed families. Coastal bomb with banding from the gods. Also no issues with thermals and it slows down plus throws in some light snow with the ULL passage like the CMC. It also juiced up further west (sorry foothill area, still blanked). Great run and a HECS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 0z RGEM is very moisture starved outside of the mountains and the coast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: 0z RGEM is very moisture starved outside of the mountains and the coast True but almost identical to its last run. Maybe a hair drier but similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 ICON on board with the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 The ICON has done terrible the last few winter systems here. I wouldn’t be hugging it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 5 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: The ICON has done terrible the last few winter systems here. I wouldn’t be hugging it. Not hugging it. Just saying the other models are coming into line with the Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Even though there is a precip min back here in the west on the ICON, the trend here over the past few runs suggest that the moisture is slowly progressing back to the sw a little more each run and the low pressure over the gulf is further sw each run and a little slower. I would think over time this progression would lead to more phasing of the low over the gulf and we would see precip totals ramp back up more in the west. The GFS is slowly making that same progression, it's not much but over the next three days it might make a big difference. Just my .02 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Is GFS a hair south of 18z or are my eyes deceiving me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 GFS is getting there slowly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 The RGEM like the ICON moves a second wave of snow through after the first storm. This feature might be something to watch over the next few days to see if there is additional potential there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 0z GFS marginally better than 18z and a touch colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 0z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 GFS is definitely on an island compared to the other models now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 GFS is slowly trending moisture an the low pressure back to the sw each run, it will be interesting to see how far this will go over the next day or two. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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