PackGrad05 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 HRRR looks really nice for central NC. Continues light precipitation into Thursday morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 8 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: WRAL UPDATED MAPS Wasn’t it basically the same as earlier today? The 1-2/2-4 idea for wake? I missing something. They always seem to have multiple ones floating. I just saw this on Facebook as well and thought the timestamp was good, but didn’t note a change from the AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 18 Author Share Posted February 18 4 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: HRRR looks really nice for central NC. Continues light precipitation into Thursday morning. I don’t think it’s handling the precip shield with the coastal correctly but the fronto band is showing up nicely and that bonus stuff Thursday looks great. If mid levels are good (I can’t believe we’re still talking about them with this track) this should be a pretty big snow for central/eastern NC, including the triangle 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 18 Author Share Posted February 18 Just now, Regan said: Wasn’t it basically the same as earlier today? The 1-2/2-4 idea for wake? I missing something. They always seem to have multiple ones floating. Yes. They may have inched their 2-4 line south a hair Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 If they show 1-4 in wake county and denote a possibility of less and more they’ve covered their bases. Same thing every storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 2 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: If they show 1-4 in wake county and denote a possibility of less and more they’ve covered their bases. Same thing every storm. WRAL lost a lot once Greg Fishel left. 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 3 minutes ago, eyewall said: WRAL lost a lot once Greg Fishel left. Luckily he still makes posts on his Facebook account. Last night he was saying he could see 2-4in around here but could see some sleet. I see what they did. They expanded the 1-2in area to cover the entire sourthern part of wake. Before the bottom sliver was less. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 NAM is finally colder. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 No CLT posters even in here grasping at straws?! Maybe we can get lucky and overperform with an inch or two, but it seems we'll likely miss any potential front end thump as well as the coastal wrap up/any potential later banding. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 2 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: NAM is finally colder. NAM was better again for most of the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Hi Res NAM cut totals for most locations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionCountyNCWX Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 5 minutes ago, SnowDeac said: No CLT posters even in here grasping at straws?! Maybe we can get lucky and overperform with an inch or two, but it seems we'll likely miss any potential front end thump as well as the coastal wrap up/any potential later banding. I gave up last week. I'll take token flurries and sleet and hope next stop is spring. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 6 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: NAM is finally colder. The 18Z 12km NAM has the low further offshore than the 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Nam's definitely cut back from 12z. Not a good sign this close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: Nam's definitely cut back from 12z. Not a good sign this close. Where? It went from 1 to 4 inches here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 3k looks great for central NC. Ice is kept south of Wake and has the second wave of snow for Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Drier, less amped, east. Probably just correcting towards the rest of models wrt amplification 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Only place I would feel confident in getting 4 plus is Tidewater of VA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 3km vs 12km 18Z WB NAM Kuchera: RDU 4.0” on both 3 km: 12 km: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 3k and 12k were closer together that time. 3k a little less here but 12k a lot more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowacane Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 31 minutes ago, eyewall said: WRAL lost a lot once Greg Fishel left. Cant watch them anymore, Fish was a awesome teacher and I learned so much watching him. Now they just want the clicks, no real weather forecasts anymore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeNormanStormin Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 17 minutes ago, SnowDeac said: No CLT posters even in here grasping at straws?! Maybe we can get lucky and overperform with an inch or two, but it seems we'll likely miss any potential front end thump as well as the coastal wrap up/any potential later banding. Today's model runs were the last straw lol. Too little moisture transport as the Gulf t-storms will rob us early on and, as you mentioned, location of the pivot. I am preparing for a dusting in Cornelius, and anything else will be icing on the cake (pun intended). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 minute ago, Snowacane said: Cant watch them anymore, Fish was a awesome teacher and I learned so much watching him. Now they just want the clicks, no real weather forecasts anymore. and weather alert days for light rain. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 The NAM abandoned that track to the north this go around and is in better alignment. How it handles the QPF is always the question. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Just now, eyewall said: The NAM abandoned that track to the north this go around and is in better alignment. How it handles the QPF is always the question. Good to see it finally on board. It was the only real holdout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 As of now I am still planning on driving to Suffolk VA early tomorrow morning for the bigger amounts. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 High Res NAM is struggling with that convection over the GOM tomorrow Morning. I do think that is causing some feedback issues over the Southeast. This was pointed out in the Foothills forum this Morning. I think this why you see the lower res models like the GFS showing a more smoothed out QPF depiction vs the NAM. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now