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February 19-20 Major Winter Storm Threat


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Just now, Rsheely88 said:

I think the 3k NAM if i remember correctly did better than the longer range HRR during the late January event. I’ll see if i can find the archive runs


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I remember the HRRR consistently giving me 4 or 5 inches and the Nam was 1 or 2. Unfortunately the Nam won. 

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Just now, Rsheely88 said:

I think the 3k NAM if i remember correctly did better than the longer range HRR during the late January event. I’ll see if i can find the archive runs


.

HRRR is at its best when it has actual radar returns to verify against. It won’t be in its wheelhouse until tomorrow evening. 

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4 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

And that's about it lol

It’s the 48 hour HRRR it’s for entertainment purposes only.

One thing that is interesting about this year IMBY is it’s looking likely we have 3 events that stay below freezing for basically the event. Cold air has not been the problem 

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10 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

HRRR is at its best when it has actual radar returns to verify against. It won’t be in its wheelhouse until tomorrow evening. 

Used to only run out to 18 hours. Was probably for the best. Somewhat useful within 36 hours, and as you say, once precip starts pushing into the area will be when it is in it's wheelhouse

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