Rsheely88 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Still snowing most areas at 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 NAM 3K NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 3 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: WHICH SHOULD WE TRUST?!?!? I don’t know. It’s like Squid Games up in here. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 The NAM is a much longer duration event than other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 5 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: WHICH SHOULD WE TRUST?!?!? Whichever shows strongest warm nose 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
digital snow Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 That thing is really cranking up the Atlantic moisture! Some backside love too. I like it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Don't recall many situations where the 3k and 12k versions of the NAM were so different. The model is clearly struggling with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 If you live in western Virginia or the triad, enjoy your stay on NAM island! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 3 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Whichever shows strongest warm nose A track in that location really should not bake the mid levels 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Oh if only the NAM's are right. Would love to see other guidance trend that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 12 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: NAM gives me 2 inches of snow while the 3K gives me 6. Just a slight difference. Are you saying that RDU got 3K NAM’d? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 My bottom corner of Wake didn't quite get NAM'd haha. I'm still expecting a sleet bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 7 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: If you live in western Virginia or the triad, enjoy your stay on NAM island! Thanks, but looks like I need to buy a ticket to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 3 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: A track in that location really should not bake the mid levels It shouldn’t, but it will. I posted earlier we shouldn’t even have to be checking thermals with some solutions showing a sub 1000 mb low 50 miles east of hatteras, but here we are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 5 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Oh if only the NAM's are right. Would love to see other guidance trend that way. Screw the model, I want to see it start getting together tomorrow when we are all nowcasting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 2 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: My bottom corner of Wake didn't quite get NAM'd haha. I'm still expecting a sleet bomb I’d actually love a sleet bomb. 2” of sleet doesn’t happen often here and is pretty cool when temps are low 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 I think it's fair to say the NAM is probably a bit over amped, but also acknowledge that positive QPF trends on the mesoscale models is a good thing for most and also that the warm nose will likely come into play, at least south of 85 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 It's all about the trend - 18z NAM increased total precip by 0.10" in GSO and Hickory and 0.20" in CLT. Hard to say about the 18z 3k NAM as it really didn't go out far enough @ 12z to compare. But through 54hrs on the 18z vs 60 hours on the 12z, they were very very similar. TW 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 I know WRAL will be latching onto that NAM run like the Bible for their evening forecast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUNYGRAD Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 If I recall the 3K NAM did ok with storm in January in most areas, especially with thermal profiles and precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 ICON looks a little warmer at 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 RDPS at 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 ICON at 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUNYGRAD Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 RGEM had some small improvements with the precip shield. The ICON was a little worse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 RDPS colder? ICON less precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 18z ICON kinda ugly. The 18z Rgem slightly better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 The GFS is gonna be interesting to see if it holds or if it folds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Soo many models. Somebody post the Japanese and Brazilian ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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