lilj4425 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 7:48 PM, wncsnow said: There's dry, then there's HRRR dry Expand Dang. It’s gonna be sunny come Wednesday at this rate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Hope the NAM and 3K NAM are good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 7:52 PM, lilj4425 said: Dang. It’s gonna be sunny come Wednesday at this rate. Expand The euro has it almost 40 in Asheville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 7:51 PM, Brick Tamland said: All the precip to the south is moving east instead of north. Expand The low transitions to the coast and cranks up. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 I’m gonna disagree with some of the posts above. HRRR looks like it’s getting ready to crank. SLP still back south of Fl panhandle and precip is blossoming over NC and extending back to N Ga. I think this was about to fill in across the state. It’s also slower. Now, I’m not going to argue over the hour 48 HRRR but i don’t think that’s a bad look for what was to come 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 7:55 PM, NorthHillsWx said: I’m gonna disagree with some of the posts above. HRRR looks like it’s getting ready to crank. SLP still back south of Fl panhandle and precip is blossoming over NC and extending back to N Ga. I think this was about to fill in across the state. It’s also slower. Now, I’m not going to argue over the hour 48 HRRR but i don’t think that’s a bad look for what was to come Expand OK. Hope you're right and it just didn't go out long enough to show the goods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rxwxunc Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 To paraphrase the last line if the movie Chinatown, “Forget it Jake. It’s the 48 hour HRRR.” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 I'm thinking for the triad back to the mountains that for this to be good, it will be primarily a mid afternoon to Wednesday night storm. If it ends up wrapping up by 6pm like some models have shown, then I think totals will be on the lighter side. On the other hand, we have the 3km NAM and hopefully the HRRR was about to show something similar with precip expanding out west. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orange county Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 7:01 PM, PackGrad05 said: One of the difficulties of being a TV met is that you really only have 3 primary opportunities to communicate to the general public....AM News, lunch News, evening news... People take what you say and run with it.. Plus, you have to take time to create your graphics and your package, and by that time it is already outdated. Expand I appreciate it that Elizabeth gardner glosses quicky over the littlle futurecast videos I mean it is simulated ,science based, but simulated guess Look at 12:30, 24 hours from now it will snow hard in Durham, not Holly Springs.!! People see that stuff and thing it is gospel. In some respects it has messed up the discussions compared to 20 years ago when they give discussion, talk "climo" and set up general maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 Morehead City issued WSW for almost their entire area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 8:07 PM, NorthHillsWx said: Morehead City issued WSW for almost their entire area Expand So has Wakefield.. RAH has not been coordinating well with bordering offices lately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 8:10 PM, StantonParkHoya said: So has Wakefield.. RAH has not been coordinating well with bordering offices lately Expand I know the trends today but it seems like there's enough of a signal to issue a watch at least. It's very unlikely there won't be at least an advisory in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 8:14 PM, Dunkman said: I know the trends today but it seems like there's enough of a signal to issue a watch at least. It's very unlikely there won't be at least an advisory in the area. Expand As if on cue. RAH watches out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 RAH just issued a winter storm watch until 10 AM Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 RAH going with the wide spread of 1 to 6 inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orange county Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 8:10 PM, StantonParkHoya said: So has Wakefield.. RAH has not been coordinating well with bordering offices lately Expand I don't see it that way RDU has not reached WSW criteria-the coastal areas are expected to get more, heavier nasty ice -so they have? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orange county Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 8:16 PM, Orange county said: I don't see it that way RDU has not reached WSW criteria-the coastal areas are expected to get more, heavier nasty ice -so they have? Expand On 2/17/2025 at 8:16 PM, Orange county said: I don't see it that way RDU has not reached WSW criteria-the coastal areas are expected to get more, heavier nasty ice -so they have? Expand EDIT'This did not age well in 3 minutes LOL 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 8:15 PM, Brick Tamland said: RAH just issued a winter storm watch until 10 AM Thursday. Expand 1-6 inches of snow/sleet with up to 0.20” ZR. Did note for wake “predominantly snow and sleet with a relatively short period of freezing rain” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Raleigh NC 314 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025 NCZ007>011-021>028-038>041-181115- /O.NEW.KRAH.WS.A.0002.250219T1200Z-250220T1500Z/ Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance- Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham- Wake- Including the cities of Creedmoor, High Point, Spring Hope, Apex, Roxboro, Louisburg, Raleigh, Siler City, Pittsboro, Thomasville, Greensboro, Lexington, Rocky Mount, Nashville, Franklinton, Durham, Carrboro, Wake Forest, Archdale, Norlina, Oxford, Hillsborough, Henderson, Burlington, Cary, Graham, Kittrell, Mebane, Princeville, Tarboro, Knightdale, Chapel Hill, Asheboro, Enfield, Roanoke Rapids, Rougemont, Scotland Neck, Warrenton, and Winston-Salem 314 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 1 and 6 inches, greatest accumulations towards the North Carolina and Virginia border. Ice accumulations up to two tenths of an inch possible, greatest accumulations along and south of US 64 corridor. * WHERE...Northern Piedmont and northern Coastal Plain. * WHEN...From Wednesday morning through Thursday morning. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes, potentially impacting the Thursday morning commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Expect predominantly a mixture of snow and sleet with a relatively short period of freezing rain. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. Consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 8:16 PM, Brick Tamland said: RAH going with the wide spread of 1 to 6 inches of snow. Expand Makes sense. 1 inch in Holly Springs, 6 in Oxford Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Incoming on the NAM? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 NAM looks like it’s going to be a good run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 Are we going to… get NAM’d??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 Big run for Triad/Virginia incoming! Triangle looks like ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 8:18 PM, StantonParkHoya said: Makes sense. 1 inch in Holly Springs, 6 in OxfordToo funny but often the case. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 NAM is warmer than basically any other piece of guidance we have 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 On 2/17/2025 at 8:22 PM, wncsnow said: NAM is warmer than basically any other piece of guidance we have Expand And should not be discounted at all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Precip is definitely not an issue on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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