wncsnow Posted Monday at 05:14 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:14 PM 1 minute ago, PackGrad05 said: UK snowfall map looks way better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 05:15 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:15 PM Guess the UK is better compared to the last run, but it's still ugly here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted Monday at 05:16 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:16 PM Also, beware of looking too closely at globals at this range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted Monday at 05:16 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:16 PM Just now, Brick Tamland said: Guess the UK is better compared to the last run, but it's still ugly here. Always seems to do funky things with precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Monday at 05:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:17 PM Just now, PackGrad05 said: Also, beware of looking too closely at globals at this range. I was just coming here to say that. This is where you start to transition your focus to the higher res models before nowcasting tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted Monday at 05:18 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:18 PM All the in house models and high res keep the snow / ice line further south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted Monday at 05:21 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:21 PM GRAF aligns better with the rest of guidance (not quite as crazy totals). To be taken with a grain of salt, does not seem to pick up on warm noses very well 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Monday at 05:25 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:25 PM I think this Euro run is a little better for western folks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 05:25 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 05:25 PM Ok I’ll be honest I don’t think I looked at the 6z UK because people said it was bad but I didn’t realize it was THAT bad. I guess this was an improvement but still way worse than 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Monday at 05:27 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:27 PM 4 minutes ago, wncsnow said: I think this Euro run is a little better for western folks. Nope not really.. its actually a lot worse.. for everyone 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 05:29 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:29 PM Euro similar to the UK. A lot of the precip stays south of NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted Monday at 05:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:32 PM Disappointing Euro run considering other model trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted Monday at 05:34 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:34 PM Euro was better for some MTN counties as well as parts of TN and KY. The northern part of the storm produced a little more precip this run and held on longer before dying out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 05:35 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 05:35 PM Not saying it’s wrong but EURO is WAY south of everything else now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 05:35 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:35 PM Euro ended up better than I thought it would, but still not as good as the Canadian, ICON and even GFS. It seems to have switched places with the other models in less than 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EarlGrey Posted Monday at 05:36 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:36 PM 1 hour ago, Tullioz said: I always look for the GRAF on X, and there are usually one or two local or regional meteorologists sharing it there during significant weather events. That was actually beautiful. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 05:37 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 05:37 PM Just now, Brick Tamland said: Euro ended up better than I thought it would, but still not as good as the Canadian, ICON and even GFS. It seems to have switched places with the other models in less than 48 hours. That band over Raleigh is fools gold. The main coastal is too far offshore and trended much worse 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Monday at 05:37 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:37 PM The Euro has been awful with this storm so far... so maybe we don't lean on it so much? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 05:39 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:39 PM Just now, BornAgain13 said: The Euro has been awful with this storm so far... so maybe we don't lean on it so much? Well, it went from showing the biggest amounts to now showing the smallest amounts compared to the GFS, ICON and Canadian in less than 48 hours. A lot of back and forth and switching places the last 48 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Monday at 05:39 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:39 PM My first call for this one: 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 05:40 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 05:40 PM 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: The Euro has been awful with this storm so far... so maybe we don't lean on it so much? It truly has been the model with the highest variance through this event. But you want it on your side under 48 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orange county Posted Monday at 05:40 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:40 PM WRAL at lunch says Raleigh will be ice. WTVD says snow in Raleigh and ice line further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 05:41 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 05:41 PM 1 minute ago, eyewall said: My first call for this one: Great job. I could not agree with this more given what we’ve seen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted Monday at 05:41 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:41 PM EURO continues to look good for central NC. Eyewall, I think that's a good looking map. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 05:42 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:42 PM 1 minute ago, Orange county said: WRAL at lunch says Raleigh will be ice. WTVD says snow in Raleigh and ice line further south WRAL said yesterday Raleigh north would be snow. They will probably keep changing it up until Wednesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Monday at 05:43 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:43 PM Thank you all and yeah I hope we get closer to 3 inches here but we shall see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted Monday at 05:43 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:43 PM 2 minutes ago, Orange county said: WRAL at lunch says Raleigh will be ice. WTVD says snow in Raleigh and ice line further south Ice as in zr? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted Monday at 05:43 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:43 PM 2 minutes ago, Orange county said: WRAL at lunch says Raleigh will be ice How in the world? I thought central NC's biggest problem is the cold press crushing the moisture? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Monday at 05:44 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:44 PM 3 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: It truly has been the model with the highest variance through this event. But you want it on your side under 48 hours At this juncture, having it on our side may not matter. It's been absolutely terrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Monday at 05:45 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:45 PM Anyone got the updated NBM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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