CentralNC Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 I need that Low 50 miles closer to the coast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benjamn3 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 I feel like once we get a sampling and real time data as this piece of energy forms in the real world it will trend back north west/hopefuly juice back up. We really want it to slow down and juice up. I’m not throwing in the towel yet, either way in my back yard it shows 4-6 inches in Roanoke. Be nice if we could get the 2 feet that was there yesterday lol but I’ll never complain about snow and cold that sticks around a few days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 It’s a beaut — can stay right where it is 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 What another great run from the Euro for the Wake and NE crowd. Love having the Euro in our corner. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Still a helluva icestorm in the transition zone. Where that sets up is still in trouble. I'm definitely not overly excited being in the snow jackpot 72 hours out. Feels like fools gold for RDU right now lol. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rsheely88 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 What another great run from the Euro for the Wake and NE crowd. Love having the Euro in our corner.Euro Ensemble even better!. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 12Z Euro 24 hour qpf: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, GaWx said: 12Z Euro 24 hour qpf: Juicy here 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 7 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Juicy here Dry as a bone here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 23 minutes ago, GaWx said: 12Z Euro 24 hour qpf: That dry slot is getting ready to extend north if model trends continue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 This storm will occur during a rapidly retreating -AO toward neutral (4-5 days after a sub -5), a +PNA, a retreating -NAO moving to neutral, and a weak to moderate MJO phase 8. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 GFS continues to be on an island with regards to more ice in the Triangle compared to the Euro, UK and Canadian. Have to wonder when it's going to jump on board with the others or if it's a genius. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Models definitely trending in the wrong direction even up this way. Wow what a change. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 This is just and observation and not any sort of discussion but I love how the Canadian breaks out cold smoke over the Carolina’s as the coastal is pulling away as the ULL with the NS energy is passing by. Would be a nice way to end the event though very unlikely 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 6 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Models definitely trending in the wrong direction even up this way. Wow what a change. Aren’t you still getting multiple inches on all models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 I guess the Euro isn't the king anymore. The GFS has tampered expectations the whole time and we and myself included were writing it off in some ways... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, GaWx said: Aren’t you still getting multiple inches on all models? Still showing a several or so up this way. Was just saying it's trending in the wrong direction. Meaning if it keeps trending this way, we won't be getting much of anything lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 I mean. Realistically, how far south and east can it go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: I mean. Realistically, how far south and east can it go? Pretty far. There’s nothing in the upper levels preventing this from going OTS completely 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 20 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: I mean. Realistically, how far south and east can it go? One of the best ways to learn imo is to study wx maps of storms of the past as well as station data and indices (like MJO, PNA, AO, NAO, EPO) to get a good idea for each person’s area. The study of climo is fascinating to me. It takes time but is worthwhile if you have enough spare time. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: I mean. Realistically, how far south and east can it go? 1 minute ago, BooneWX said: Pretty far. There’s nothing in the upper levels preventing this from going OTS completely I was just going to say the same thing; this could trend to a FROPA. For my sake, hopefully not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Bermuda going to be under a winter storm warning? Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, cbmclean said: I was just going to say the same thing; this could trend to a FROPA. For my sake, hopefully not. Problem is - over the past few days, we’ve leaned back into some of our bad habits from this winter. Northern stream dominated energy instead of the juicy southern stream predictions yesterday and prior. It’s a completely different storm in that regard and that cold press is stronger and stronger with each model run. There’s certainly a benefit to the latter - you get less WAA, but you also play a dangerous game of watching it vanish. I remember the gulf coast storm originally being a lower Tennessee valley event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 4 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Problem is - over the past few days, we’ve leaned back into some of our bad habits from this winter. Northern stream dominated energy instead of the juicy southern stream predictions yesterday and prior. It’s a completely different storm in that regard and that cold press is stronger and stronger with each model run. There’s certainly a benefit to the latter - you get less WAA, but you also play a dangerous game of watching it vanish. I remember the gulf coast storm originally being a lower Tennessee valley event. It’s funny because every storm is different but seasonal trends oftentimes win out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: It’s funny because every storm is different but seasonal trends oftentimes win out. As @wncsnowput it, atmospheric memory seems to be a thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 CMC Ens. Actually trended a lot better for many. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Anyone have the updated NBM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 5 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: Anyone have the updated NBM? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sinterpol Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Since we're 72 hours out: the way things are trending today, where would you want to be for a decent amount of snow for Euro/GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acc fan Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Virginia tidewater 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now