Brick Tamland Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Oh Canada! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 MA forum in full on meltdown. We’re good here! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Canadian keeps the freezing rain south and east of Wake. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Crazy how much better the Canadian is than the GFS. Hope the Euro holds tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC DataDude Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Canadian keeps the freezing rain south and east of Wake. So, with that run, looking like JoCo is the Sleet Location, Snow/Not Snow cuttoff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: MA forum in full on meltdown. We’re good here! I'm afraid we're close to having a weak bunch of nothing if trends continue 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, wncsnow said: I'm afraid we're close to having a weak bunch of nothing if trends continue It didn't look like nothing here on the Canadian. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flair_2000 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 5 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Oh Canada! I will take this any day over the crippling ice storm the GFS is showing for us in NE NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, Brick Tamland said: It didn't look like nothing here on the Canadian. At H5 the trends are for a weaker shortwave and less interaction with the northern stream. If it weakens too much it will be light snow at best except for maybe NE NC and SE VA with the weak coastal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: I'm afraid we're close to having a weak bunch of nothing if trends continue I mean given our standards, a 4-6” storm would feed families while they’re only happy if it’s an 18” once a decade system 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, NorthHillsWx said: I mean given our standards, a 4-6” storm would feed families while they’re only happy if it’s an 18” once a decade system That's true. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 I feel good as long as the Euro looks good. Canadian looks good. GFS is more ice, but I'd rather have the Euro on my side. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said: I feel good as long as the Euro looks good. Canadian looks good. GFS is more ice, but I'd rather have the Euro on my side. Canadian was almost all snow here. GFS was colder. Don’t let the negativity from those who’ve lost 15” of digital snow fool you, this keeps looking better for the triangle 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 9 minutes ago, wncsnow said: I'm afraid we're close to having a weak bunch of nothing if trends continue And if not, the warm nose will ruin it for everybody anyways. Never fails. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 10 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: I mean given our standards, a 4-6” storm would feed families while they’re only happy if it’s an 18” once a decade system Agree 100%! A 4-6” late Feb storm in La Niña at RDU would be a rarity. RDU La Niña 4”+ snows Feb 15-28: 2/16/1996: 5.6” 2/23-4/1989: 4.2” 2/17-8/1989: 4.9” 2/25/1894: 5.0” GSO had 5.7” just after Feb (3/1-2/2009). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Lol this is funny... the 0z GEFS actually looks much better than the OP. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 A weaker system may mean less QPF, but it also means better chance of snow for central NC... vs. a strong system that pulls warm air into the mid levels 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 CNC would rather see a weak system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: A weaker system may mean less QPF, but it also means better chance of snow for central NC... vs. a strong system that pulls warm air into the mid levels 1 minute ago, StantonParkHoya said: CNC would rather see a weak system True, weaker, but not nonexistent. We need QPF. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 6 minutes ago, cbmclean said: True, weaker, but not nonexistent. We need QPF. Wilson needs 33 degree temps. Not more precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Lol this is funny... the 0z GEFS actually looks much better than the OP. Was just getting ready to mention they improved slightly over previous runs. Also, it seems like every winter storm possibility has some model inconsistencies in this 4-5 day range. Weaker and more strung out, but as it gets closer they always seem to trend back NW and little stronger. The overall picture has not changed, there is energy coming and there is cold air available. Time will tell how it plays out, but going all in on one or two runs right now or throwing in the towel makes no sense when there are still so many solutions on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 4 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Wilson needs 33 degree temps. Not more precip I just mean that the CMC shows a sweet spot for many, but further weakening is definitely on the table. Don't want too much of a good thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 UK might be coming in hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 UK is colder and weaker so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 UK is ugly for western NC. No moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Congrats Tidewater 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Great run for RDU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 6 minutes ago, cbmclean said: I just mean that the CMC shows a sweet spot for many, but further weakening is definitely on the table. Don't want too much of a good thing. Agreed. Sorry I took the Wilson take from your previous post. We definitely do not want a strung out mess. It just seems unlikely east of US 1 will see anything but ZR so more precip probably means bigger ice issues for you. That was the point of my post, if it’s cold enough I hope you get dumped on by snow/IP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 UK further south and with more snow like the Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Congrats Tidewater I need a cigarette 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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