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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17


wdrag
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2 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

Strange winter part of the storm. Started out like gangbusters, putting down 1.1" in about 2.5 hours and then poof, precip just turned off since about 5:00 pm and it's now up to 33F with some light rain falling - possibly missed another 1-2 hours of snow.  Seems like this one is over south of 78 for wintry precip and even north all the way towards 84 has changed over to sleet and freezing rain already.  

That's 1.1" vs. my prediction yesterday of 1.4" and the NWS prediction of 2.0", so a bit of an underperformer south of 78 and given similar reported ~1" or so amounts for most N of 78, that's a more significant underperformer there, where 1-3/2-4" were forecast, although reports of icing are common N of 78 with temps still below 32F, so could still be a significant impact event for that.  These snow to mix to rain systems are just very difficult to predict accurately, especially aloft.  Brings me to 15.9" on the season, which isn't too far behind normal for this date.  

Snow amounts were close to what was predicted.  It's just the duration and precipitation cutoff that weren't exactly correct.  Snow hole, rain hole, precipitation hole.  We rarely complain we are in a rain hole, unless there is a drought going on.

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2 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said:

Sorry. But I'm going to have to call this a bust on all forecasters for here. Every one said 2-4", Even 3-5". I was even confident we'd get at least 2.2" to get me to 40". Nope. 1". Now light freezing rain. 28.3°

Radar just fizzled out as the bulk of it headed east.  I wonder what caused that?  

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3 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said:

Sorry. But I'm going to have to call this a bust on all forecasters for here. Every one said 2-4", Even 3-5". I was even confident we'd get at least 2.2" to get me to 40". Nope. 1". Now light freezing rain. 28.3°

Tough few weeks for the Nw crew. You’ll clean up in March

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13 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Plows going at it again. They really want that overtime…scraping away the asphalt 

They salted twice here in Garwood.  They have been over salting the entire season.  Even when the forecast calls for only 1-2" of snow with melting anticipated.  And if you say anything, they'll begin their reply, "Well, if we didn't salt..."

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411
NOUS41 KOKX 160102
PNSOKX
CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-161302-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
802 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...SNOWFALL REPORTS SO FAR...

Location                     Amount    Time/Date       Provider

...Connecticut...

...Fairfield County...
2 SSW Weston                 1.3 in    0730 PM 02/15   Trained Spotter
Bridgeport Airport           1.0 in    0700 PM 02/15   Official NWS Obs

...Middlesex County...
Higganum                     1.0 in    0700 PM 02/15   Public

...New London County...
2 SSE Ledyard Center         0.8 in    0600 PM 02/15   Trained Spotter
Groton                       0.7 in    0725 PM 02/15   Public

...New Jersey...

...Bergen County...
Waldwick                     0.9 in    0703 PM 02/15   Public

...Essex County...
West Orange                  1.0 in    0600 PM 02/15   Public
1 E Livingston               0.8 in    0616 PM 02/15   Public
Newark Airport               0.6 in    0700 PM 02/15   Official NWS Obs

...Hudson County...
Harrison                     0.6 in    0700 PM 02/15   CO-OP Observer
Hoboken                      0.5 in    0615 PM 02/15   Trained Spotter

...New York...

...Bronx County...
1 NW Fordham                 0.5 in    0608 PM 02/15   Public

...Kings County...
Midwood                      0.3 in    0530 PM 02/15   Broadcast Media

...Nassau County...
1 WSW Plainview              1.7 in    0615 PM 02/15   Public
1 SSE Plainview              1.7 in    0617 PM 02/15   Public
1 N Syosset                  1.4 in    0600 PM 02/15   Trained Spotter
Manhasset Hills              1.2 in    0621 PM 02/15   Public
2 SE Plainedge               1.2 in    0718 PM 02/15   Public
Farmingdale                  1.0 in    0545 PM 02/15   Public
East Meadow                  1.0 in    0545 PM 02/15   NWS Employee

...New York (Manhattan) County...
Central Park                 0.5 in    0630 PM 02/15   Official NWS Obs

...Orange County...
Salisbury Mills              2.0 in    0700 PM 02/15   Trained Spotter
2 ESE Pine Bush              1.3 in    0540 PM 02/15   Public

...Queens County...
NYC/La Guardia               0.6 in    0700 PM 02/15   Official NWS Obs
NYC/JFK                      0.5 in    0700 PM 02/15   Official NWS Obs

...Suffolk County...
Babylon                      1.3 in    0641 PM 02/15   Public
Upton (NWS Office)           1.1 in    0700 PM 02/15   Official NWS Obs
1 NNW Stony Brook            0.9 in    0615 PM 02/15   NWS Employee
Islip Airport                0.4 in    0700 PM 02/15   Official NWS Obs
&&
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27° and light sleet/snow mix.

1.3 inches so far in 7 1/2 hours of continuous snow, not setting any records. That will probably be it accumulation wise for this. I thought for sure this morning I'd go above 30 inches for the season but right now at 29.6 where it will most likely stay.

Now I turn my attention to the ice. One of the few times during a winter event I will now be rooting for a sharp temperature spike up.

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