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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17


wdrag
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19 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Heavier echoes developing back in PA. Hopefully will still be snow when they arrive in an hour or so. We could thump just before we flip

But the lighter the snowfall intensities out east, the quicker the warmer air noses in aloft.  Garwood just salted.  Its 33 degrees, with residual salt from the last time, and rain is expected to start in about 3 hours.  

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Surprisingly, we've had consistent light to moderate snow for 90 minutes and as of 3:45 pm we have 1/2" on the ground on colder surfaces and we also have a light coating on our driveway and sidewalks (untreated), whereas any street in town is just wet (we just ran errands and ate downtown). It's 32F, which is a touch colder than forecast and could mean this will overperform (vs. the updated NWS 1.5" forecast for my house; was 2.0" last night and my prediction last night was for an underperformer with 1.4" for my house) unless the warm air moves in more quickly. Sleet/mix line looks to be from about Philly to LBI, so could have several or just a few more hours of snow. It also helps that 75% of our property still had 1/2" or so of snow/sleet/ice cover, which is 32F, enabling an easier start of accumulation. 

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1 minute ago, RU848789 said:

Surprisingly, we've had consistent light to moderate snow for 90 minutes and as of 3:45 pm we have 1/2" on the ground on colder surfaces and we also have a light coating on our driveway and sidewalks (untreated), whereas any street in town is just wet (we just ran errands and ate downtown). It's 32F, which is a touch colder than forecast and could mean this will overperform (vs. the updated NWS 1.5" forecast for my house; was 2.0" last night and my prediction last night was for an underperformer with 1.4" for my house) unless the warm air moves in more quickly. Sleet/mix line looks to be from about Philly to LBI, so could have several or just a few more hours of snow.

The banding features developing west of nyc are def a wildcard. Also the mixing line might not make it north of the lie,and def not making it to the bronx. We are quickly approaching an inch here with moderate snow. 30f.

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4:00 P.M.

Just measured .4".  Very light snow currently and temperature of 27.

Everything covered.  Even my very quiet street which has not been salted yet.

Based on radar might be a decent thump headed this way over the next 30-60 minutes.  If I'm going to get more than 1" it will have to come from that.  Anything after that looks quite light and likely more sleet / freezing rain. 

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2 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Snow intensity starting pick up now. I was thinking an inch earlier, but maybe we can get to an inch and a half. As RU pointed out it's a degree or two colder than forecast. My street is starting to get coated now. 

Quakertown turned to sleet so I'm thinking another hour 

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