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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17


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25 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

32.2 with rain showers, the water from which is just running off the top of a bullet proof 5" snowpack. My biggest snowfall is only be 6.9" so far but it's been deep winter up here for months now. 

Constant snow cover up here. Its been a long time since we had this run 

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20 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

I thought 2010-11 was all snow, did we have an ice storm that winter? The February 2011 event maybe-- the one which gave Chicago a blizzard?

I wish the NWS kept track of ice accumulations/accretions, that January 1994 event had to be one of our biggest ever, we had close to 2 inches of ice on everything here in SW Nassau County, JFK, never made it to freezing or above.  Is there an ice total from that storm for JFK? And that was freezing rain on top of sleet on top of snow!

I think we had a major ice storm back in 1973 also but don't remember anything about it.

 

I had around .25 of ice with the freezing rain on 2-2-11 back in Long Beach. Before that picked up around .3 to .4 of ZR on 2-14-07. That was one of the more unusual events I ever saw in Long Beach. The freezing rain was mostly along and south of Sunrise Highway. So the first ice storm mostly limited to the immediate South Shore. Then 1994 was in a class by itself with over .75 to 1.00 of ice. The Jan 1978 event was just as bad especially from around Merrick Road and north and not too bad in Long Beach. 

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3 minutes ago, bluewave said:

I had around .25 of ice with the freezing rain on 2-2-11 back in Long Beach. Before that picked up around .3 to .4 of ZR on 2-14-07. That was one of the more unusual events I ever saw in Long Beach. The freezing rain was mostly along and south of Sunrise Highway. So the first ice storm mostly limited to the immediate South Shore. Then 1994 was in a class by itself with over .75 to 1.00 of ice. The Jan 1978 event was just as bad especially from around Merrick Road and north and not too bad in Long Beach. 

 

I remember 2-2-11 had ice on top of a big snowpack-- that snowpack lasted through Valentines Day that year!!

I remember that VD 2007 storm was similar to January 1994 in that the temperatures rose above freezing once east of Freeport but for us in SW Nassau both storms kept temps at 31 or under throughout the storm.

 

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6 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

 

I remember 2-2-11 had ice on top of a big snowpack-- that snowpack lasted through Valentines Day that year!!

I remember that VD 2007 storm was similar to January 1994 in that the temperatures rose above freezing once east of Freeport but for us in SW Nassau both storms kept temps at 31 or under throughout the storm.

 

The snow piles from the Long Beach dept of sanitation road crews were like mountains that winter in the empty block next to the boardwalk that used to be the old amusement park.

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7 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 74 (1954)
NYC: 71 (1954)
LGA: 69 (2023)
JFK: 64 (2023)


Lows:

EWR: 0 (1943)
NYC: 1 (1888)
LGA: 2 (1943)
JFK: 5 (2015)

 

Historical:

 

1898: A series of wildfires swept through South Carolina on February 16-17, 1898. Unconfirmed reports indicate that 14 people were killed, numerous homes and sawmills burned, and up to 3,000,000 acres of forest land were charred from Aiken County, S.C. to Chatham County, N.C., and east to Marlboro County, S.C. There were probably a dozen wildfires raging at the same time driven by a 40 mph wind.

1899 - Washington D.C. received 1.26 inches of rain in six hours atop a snow cover more than 30 inches deep making it the soggiest day of record. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)

1903 - The temperature at Pokegama Dam MN plunged to 59 degrees below zero to establish a state record. (David Ludlum)

 

1903: Pokegama Dam, Minnesota saw three straight days with low temperatures 50° below zero or colder, including 59° below zero on the 15th. The minus 59° established a state record for the lowest measured temperature in Minnesota. Pokegama Dam held the record until February 2nd, 1996 when the temperature fell to 60° below zero at Tower. 

1943 - Record cold prevailed in the northeastern U.S. The mercury plunged to 43 degrees below zero at Concord NH, and to -39 degrees at Portland ME. The morning low of -32 degrees at Falls Village CT established a state record, yet the afternoon high that day was 20 degrees above zero. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

 

1943: Record cold prevailed in the northeastern United States. The mercury plunged to 37°F below zero at Concord, New Hampshire, and to -39 degrees at Portland, Maine. The morning low of -32°F at Falls Village, Connecticut, established a state record. The Connecticut record low was tied on January 22nd, 1961, when Coventry fell to -32°F.

1987 - A winter storm produced snow and ice in the Ohio Valley and the Appalachian Region. Snowfall totals in Virginia ranged up to 14 inches around Farmville, while Granville NC reported eight inches of sleet and ice. Freezing rain in eastern North Carolina caused extensive damage to power lines. Gales lashed the coast of Virginia and North Carolina. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Santa Ana winds in southern California gusted to 50 mph in the Rancho Cucamonga area. Quiet weather prevailed across the rest of the nation. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - A surge of arctic air produced all-time record high barometric pressure readings of 31.08 inches at Duluth MN, 30.97 inches at Chicago IL and 30.94 inches at South Bend IN. Readings of 31.00 inches at Milwaukee WI and 30.98 inches at Rockford IL tied their all-time records. Unseasonably warm weather prevailed across the southeastern U.S. Highs of 81 degrees at Athens GA, 87 degrees at Charleston SC, 85 degrees at Macon GA, and 86 degrees at Savannah GA were records for February. (The National Weather Summary)

1990 - Strong thunderstorms developing ahead of an arctic cold front produced severe weather across the southeastern U.S. between mid morning on the 15th and early evening on the 16th. Thunderstorms spawned thirteen tornadoes, including one which, prior to dawn on the 16th, injured eleven persons near Carrollton GA. There were also 121 reports of large hail or damaging winds. A late afternoon thunderstorm on the 15th produced baseball size hail at Jackson MS, and prior to dawn on the 16th, a thunderstorm produced high winds which injured four persons at Goodwater AL. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

1989: A surge of arctic air on February 16-17th produced all-time record high barometric pressure readings of 31.08 inches at Duluth, Minnesota, 30.97 inches at Chicago, Illinois, and 30.94 inches at South Bend, Indiana. Readings of 31.00 inches at Milwaukee, Wisconsin, and 30.98 inches at Rockford, Illinois, tied their all-time records. Unseasonably warm weather prevailed across the southeastern U.S. Highs of 81 degrees at Athens, Georgia, 87 degrees at Charleston, South Carolina, 85 degrees at Macon, Georgia, and 86 degrees at Savannah, Georgia, were records for February.

wow this sounds like it would be absolutely catastrophic-- like our rainstorm after January 1996 caused roofs to collapse

 

1899 - Washington D.C. received 1.26 inches of rain in six hours atop a snow cover more than 30 inches deep making it the soggiest day of record. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)

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1 minute ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

Its gonna be curious to see heavy precip in the cold pool,is it rain/frz rain or sleet mixed in.

It's a potential $hit show unless that cold air erodes quickly enough.
I'm sitting at 33, but up on the mountain, it's not.
At this point, my forecast high will miss by 15 degrees.  

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2 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

That's a familiar sight today...hoping the rain moving in knocks some of it down here. Temp setting right at 32 though... Surprised the WWA wasn't extended again around here. 

Upstate ny might be getting rocked with serious ice soon,hopefully temps tick over frz up there.

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1 minute ago, Picard said:

It's a potential $hit show unless that cold air erodes quickly enough.
I'm sitting at 33, but up on the mountain, it's not.
At this point, my forecast high will miss by 15 degrees.  

I just mentioned that possibility,the modeled thermals have been horrible for a huge chunk of the region. Hasnt happened unfortunately and potentially a lot more ice might be coming.

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2 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

31° and freezing drizzle continues. This snow pack of 4 or so inches will have the durability of a 2 foot pack of fluff.

Might be adding on honestly, this is def some wacky stuff. The icing on the cake (no pun intended) might be snow and cold later on.

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7 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

Not Thursday, I already wrote that off. I'll check in again Monday night to verify.

Latest runs still have us for snow, as for short term,i think it snows tonight with the frontal passage and the back side energy that still has to swing thru. Western ny,pa back to snow and moving east.

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