nycsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 5:05 AM, SnoSki14 said: Sad reality. Models did back down some though. Expand Yup just saw but it’s still a long duration event of 40-50mph even if the 50-60 don’t verify with the saturated grounds I think there’s gonna be a high impact Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 Wantage NJ: 3A. 0.10 glaze on top of the 0.8" snow yesterday afternoon. 29.3F. Glaze eyeballed on rose bush. Definitely thicker than a couple days ago. Walt 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 Lots going on here the next 24 hours, mesoscale Pres falls alter wind directions-hourly temps radically near the freezing line boundary I84 corridor with icing continuing well into the morning higher terrain there. Presuming it does rise into the upper 30s there this afternoon, ice on branches will drop and melt on you-cars, and helps limit bigger damage from the 50+MPH gusts coming late this afternoon into tomorrow morning. The rapidly intensifying storm as crosses I84 or I80 (occluding) imo argues for the powerful winds and scattered power outages coming. Not impossible to have SVR's issue mid-late afternoon I80 southward in the warm sector. I'll try to support with reports but after 2PM, probably a no show most of the time with GrandPa duties. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Steady rain in little ferry, nj. 34 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 31 and freezing drizzle. Waiting for daylight to see how bad overnight was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 10:43 AM, CPcantmeasuresnow said: 31 and freezing drizzle. Waiting for daylight to see how bad overnight was. Expand Same conditions here. Obviously not a lot of traffic out there yet but what is out there seems to be moving halfway decent based on the traffic layer of Google maps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Conditions are very bad out. Had an inch of snow before we went to freezing rain. Now absolutely pouring and 33F Most of us still have full snow cover, which is really ice from last week Flooding is a concern Real mess out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Impressive blowout tides for the back bays in spots like Barnegat Bay with the very strong offshore flow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 Wantage NJ: 610AM report... estimating radial glaze now about 0.15". its accumulated further top side and now bottom as well on rose bush branches. HARD ice on deck. temp briefly up to 30.2 around 4A but has since dropped to 29.7. fwiw: 350 meters without power near High Point NJ. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Sitting at 31 with freezing rain here near Campbell Hall. It's rough out there with at least .2 accretion on top of the 1.9” of snow I measured last night. Really hoping for that warm air to get in here long enough to get the ice out of the trees before the winds or we'll have a real mess on our hands. Not good out there right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Looks like possible backend snow as this system keeps tracking ene. Curious to see how southerly the low exits the coast. Yesterday models had the low in new England,doesnt look like its heading that way though. Something to track with the winds later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 11:47 AM, bluewave said: The slick spots should thaw out today as this should be the warmest day we have seen in a while. Expand Damage is long done before that warmth gets that far north. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 11:57 AM, BxEngine said: Damage is long done before that warmth gets that far north. Expand Whats interesting is the forecast temp is in the 50's but currently my dp's are dropping. They were 34/34.. .its currently 34/30f now with a nne wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 11:47 AM, bluewave said: The slick spots should thaw out today as this should be the warmest day we have seen in a while. Expand Chris do you think those highs near 60 in Brooklyn will verify (I see 59 in Brooklyn and 61 in Monmouth on that map). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 11:47 AM, bluewave said: The slick spots should thaw out today as this should be the warmest day we have seen in a while. Expand Yeah? It better. I have .3" of ice and it's accumulating quickly at 30°. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Had heavy rains on drive into work. Got to mahwah with temps hovering just over freezing. Lot of ice on things. Not looking forward to these winds later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 12:21 PM, gravitylover said: Yeah? It better. I have .3" of ice and it's accumulating quickly at 30°. Expand I am already above freezing here on the CT Shoreline with just plain rain. So this shows how hard it is these days to get a legit ice storm near the coast. We haven’t had one here since 2011, 2007, and especially 1994. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Northerly winds have dropped my temp a degree with rain going to a frz drizzle?..i think a low popped up nearby and just off the coast,my winds should be southerly with the warm front passage but alas its not. Interesting to say the least.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Dunno if it transfers .. if it does those 50 degree temps aint happenin. Just odd to see temps drop with dp now below freezing too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 11:57 AM, BxEngine said: Damage is long done before that warmth gets that far north. Expand It's better than staying below freezing but I dont see how the short window of warmth is going to thaw much of this out. .3 ice accretion now. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 11:57 AM, BxEngine said: Damage is long done before that warmth gets that far north. Expand If it even gets that far north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 12:44 PM, IrishRob17 said: It's better than staying below freezing but I do t see how the short window of warmth is going to thaw much of this out. .3 ice accretion now. Expand Its gonna warm but its looking more and more brief and then a flash freeze tonight. Not good either way with blk ice tonight all over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 12:45 PM, Allsnow said: If it even gets that far north Expand Thats my thinking as well,this is not going much further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Surface winds are draining cold air under an inversion at around 3,000' above sea level. Variable winds will likely continue to around noon or early afternoon. NYC is in a sort of dead zone between a leading wave now over NE and the primary low in eastern Ohio. By early afternoon the primary will be near Albany and a coastal low will develop over NYC so I would expect 55-60 F air in warm sector to reach central NJ and fog-laden 47 to 50 F saturated air mass trapped between two fronts over lower hudson valley and LI, NYC, expect a thunderstorm or two in the region followed by partial clearing and strong westerly winds by 3 p.m. -- temps will then fall rapidly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 12:50 PM, Roger Smith said: Surface winds are draining cold air under an inversion at around 3,000' above sea level. Variable winds will likely continue to around noon or early afternoon. NYC is in a sort of dead zone between a leading wave now over NE and the primary low in eastern Ohio. By early afternoon the primary will be near Albany and a coastal low will develop over NYC so I would expect 55-60 F air in warm sector to reach central NJ and fog-laden 47 to 50 F saturated air mass trapped between two fronts over lower hudson valley and LI, NYC, expect a thunderstorm or two in the region followed by partial clearing and strong westerly winds by 3 p.m. -- temps will then fall rapidly. Expand Yeah my temps here in the bx have been dropping ..from 35 to 32/30f. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 12:02 PM, Bxstormwatcher360 said: Whats interesting is the forecast temp is in the 50's but currently my dp's are dropping. They were 34/34.. .its currently 34/30f now with a nne wind. Expand Pressure fall modulations as wind blows into pressure falls if he ardent is not strong. Allows pockets of colder air nearly to to your north-northeast to return for a little while. Still 30.2F here in Wantage. NAM3K and ECAI 2meters temps seems to have the east fit. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 12:44 PM, IrishRob17 said: It's better than staying below freezing but I do t see how the short window of warmth is going to thaw much of this out. .3 ice accretion now. Expand The main roads by me are fine but some of the back roads still have snow/sleet/ice on them. Looks like they were just salted and not plowed off. Hoping they plan on going out this morning and plowing them off because mid-40’s with no sun isn’t enough to completely melt them off later. If they refreeze it’s going to be a disaster tomorrow morning 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishcast_hater Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Everything encrusted in ice this morning after about 2.5 of snow. As has been the case all year the forecasts have always busted low except once back in December when I got an unexpected 6”. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Wow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 1:05 PM, Allsnow said: Wow Expand Wow, the cold air is putting up some fight. Most of us at 8 am at or below frz away from the coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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