40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 4:44 PM, Sn0waddict said: Oh I do, I just got PTSD when he brought that storm up lol Expand I would't worry about it.....I think its more likely to have a gradient through the N half of the region, than I do pull a Juno. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 4:47 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Just prepare for a less than a stellar system for us. 8-12” my guess would be the high end potential if it breaks right. Still good for this decade but far from the elusive “the one”. Expand I have no expectations with this storm at the moment lol need to be sub 100 hours out for that to happen. I’m not fan of the dual low the GFS is showing either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 I do doubt that the phase will be as poor as the GFS implies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 4:47 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Just prepare for a less than a stellar system for us. 8-12” my guess would be the high end potential if it breaks right. Still good for this decade but far from the elusive “the one”. Expand Nothing wrong with that, I’d settle for 8-12 for you and 18-24 for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 4:58 PM, George001 said: Nothing wrong with that, I’d settle for 8-12 for you and 18-24 for me. Expand Ordinarily 8-12" wouldn't do a ton for me...but with several inches on the ground and potentially several more to come this weekend, I could work with it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 4:47 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Just prepare for a less than a stellar system for us. 8-12” my guess would be the high end potential if it breaks right. Still good for this decade but far from the elusive “the one”. Expand I honestly don't know how you would justify saying "8-12 high end potential if it breaks right" when "breaking right" would be a full phaser bomb 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 12z UK wants to play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 crazy uncle spits out 14" for southbury at 10:1 for this storm only Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 4:58 PM, George001 said: Nothing wrong with that, I’d settle for 8-12 for you and 18-24 for me. Expand I would settle for 18-24” here and rain for you. Even things out a bit. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 5:03 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I would settle for 18-24” here and rain for you. Even things out a bit. Expand that's the spirit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Yeah uncle plays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 5:05 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah uncle plays. Expand It does but it's less consolidated with the QPF layout ... It's also more nucleated with the low - I don't like that. I've seen this modeled behavior in the past, where it starts hinting at disassociating things and then the next run you realize why. It was because it was trying to fuck the whole thing up and blow it away on the previous run, but it just failed to be bad. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 5:03 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I would settle for 18-24” here and rain for you. Even things out a bit. Expand That’s the fun of tracking in New England, we all root for different things depending on where we live. I want a Juno redux, you want a hugger track so I rain while you get buried, and Torch Tiger wants a 950mb low plowing into Montreal so we all get flooding rains. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 4:59 PM, JC-CT said: I honestly don't know how you would justify saying "8-12 high end potential if it breaks right" when "breaking right" would be a full phaser bomb Expand That’s the thing. A full phase bomb won’t happen early or nw enough. It can happen further east though and benefit eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 4:39 PM, CoastalWx said: Looked like mostly snow even there. It's good we have a cold antecedent airmass. Allows for these scenarios. Expand Yea 15 degrees and blizzard conditions would be sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 5:21 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That’s the thing. A full phase bomb won’t happen early or nw enough. It can happen further east though and benefit eastern areas. Expand Good luck with a full phase at an appreciably low enough latitude for a historic impact anywhere in SNE...more like NS. The look out west just begs for a messy phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 5:21 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That’s the thing. A full phase bomb won’t happen early or nw enough. It can happen further east though and benefit eastern areas. Expand Euro 12? I might start looking at a train aboard the weenie train soon… wow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 ECMWF is a monster. captured Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 holy shit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Close enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 5:40 PM, ineedsnow said: holy shit! Expand do I need to put my weenie goggles on for the euro run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 5:42 PM, DJln491 said: do I need to put my weenie goggles on for the euro run? Expand Not a big hit verbatim. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 5:43 PM, CoastalWx said: Not a big hit verbatim. Expand Rays gonna flip .. solid run but verbatim it’s LBSW big time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 5:38 PM, brooklynwx99 said: ECMWF is a monster. captured Expand Most of this sub forum gets the shaft lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 5:44 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: Rays gonna flip .. solid run but verbatim it’s LBSW big time Expand Lots of time to come north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 5:40 PM, ineedsnow said: holy shit! Expand Put down the bottle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 5:45 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: Most of this sub forum gets the shaft lol Expand in the grand scheme of things, at this range, I would much rather see this solution than washed out crap like the GFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 12z runs just confirming what we know. Sunday 12z is the big run.. extreme high end potential but need a lot to go right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 5:48 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Put down the bottle. Expand meant in general not for this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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