RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 It’s a rat from a snowfall perspective but passable from a wintry look and feel. Yay. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Yea and that should tick back nw a bit more. It’s why we said from the very beginning, “congrats sematt”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Eh...as far as snow retention, yes.....but total snowfall and storm activity? I'd take last year considering the latter two. Jan 7, 2024 was an incredible experience that I would part ways with every storm I have had this season to witness again. Not me, I'll take this winter over last winter 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm just over 30"....which is worse than last year if it doesn't snow in a meaningful manner again, which is possible. Let's hope we get one more favorable pattern for late winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I'm closing in on 40" and there has been snow on the ground for weeks, so definitely better for winter appeal than last few winters. My picnic table has about 16" on it and the snow banks in town are going to be formidable. If it ended today I would give it a grade of C. Same here....A C grade is a lot better than the F- grade of the last several winters... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yes the later phase was always the most plausible and why the southeast corner of the region should watch. I can see clearly now the weenie goggles are off I can see all obstacles in our way Gone are the KU runs that had us blind It's gonna be a bright bright bright bright Sunny Thursday 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/14/2025 at 12:58 PM, ORH_wxman said: I’m not even looking at OP runs other than pure entertainment at this stage. Show me ensemble mean and spread until we get to tomorrow night or sunday. On 2/14/2025 at 6:58 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Great discussion. For me I will just for a couple days. On 2/15/2025 at 7:00 AM, Baroclinic Zone said: This has the makings of a great storm. There red flags as to timing of phase that need to resolved before confidence level of hit for area are realized. With that being said, trends over last 24h have been favorable. GFS is gonna handle this as usual. It just can’t seem to resolve these intense PVa storms in northern stream. It will overplay the southern stream and slowly start to get dope slapped into reality. Love the exotic op runs, but we will ride the ensembles and mean trends for a couple more days. 20 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Like I said to Tip yesterday…Ensembles until 12z tomorrow. Otherwise you just end up flip flopping with each OP run that comes out. We hitting 12z runs. Time to start taking credence in op runs. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 48 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: This might be my favorite voodoo bargaining chip. “ if I settle for a small event, then it will likely snow at least a little bit” Seems like you were the only one planning on a blizzard. That’s on you . Shame 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 31 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Not me, I'll take this winter over last winter Agreed. It hasn’t been very snowy, but it has been cold and snow retention has been good. It actually feels like winter this year. I’d rather have 80% of normal snow, BN temps and consistent snow cover than 110% of normal snow, well AN temps and any snow that falls melts in a few days. Certainly no 14-15 or 10-11, but it’s not a rat in my eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, George001 said: Agreed. It hasn’t been very snowy, but it has been cold and snow retention has been good. It actually feels like winter this year. I’d rather have 80% of normal snow, BN temps and consistent snow cover than 110% of normal snow, well AN temps and any snow that falls melts in a few days. A lot of people here love snow but they hate the cold... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 34 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: This winter hasn't been great, but it's been better than the last several winters. At least it has felt and looked like winter. Agreed. have had snow cover for close to 6 weeks, and have been able to snowmobile locally for the first time in several years. depth here is around 18”, although I’ve not measured yet today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 21 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: A lot of people here love snow but they hate the cold... It's my personal perspective as an observer in this social media ...so taken with a grain of salt, but I suspect part of problem with the grousing psychobabble bs, isn't really the winter appeal out of doors. It's the bad model cinema experience. It's a separate experience phenomenon to the actual appeal out the window. If these storm chances/bombs had better modeled cinema continuity ( and thus, bulk d-drip dosings LOL ) over the longer duration of this colder Jan/Feb), people's opinion of this winter would be much better. No question. We get these big signals and then failing to actually engage in model consumption with objectivity and constraint, the user risks inevitable yanking out of their high. The rug gets pulled out because the flow keeps correcting faster moving late mid into nearer terms - the predisposition of the basal circumstance...etc. It's like a constantly emerging neg offsets as a negative interference. But failing to constrain oneself ... if they were mindfully constrained by limitations ahead of the fact, they wouldn't get so giddy by the model run at hand. The let down quotient is ameliorated that way. Not many are that rational in their approach in here, if/when they engage with the intent of seeking that arousal first... It is what it is... When there is a 4" of white on the ground, you can't tell the difference if it's 40" of white on the ground. Both fields look totally white. It's not about the physical setting. The appeal has to be journey 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea and that should tick back nw a bit more. It’s why we said from the very beginning, “congrats sematt”. Even back here if I could lock in a 4 inch snow storm I would be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 12z NAM looking ominous at 84hrs. We need the DGEX back. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, Go Kart Mozart said: 12z NAM looking ominous at 84hrs. We need the DGEX back. Yea 12z NAM would slay I think. But obviously can’t take it seriously at that time range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 6 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: 12z NAM looking ominous at 84hrs. We need the DGEX back. I remember throwing my back out many times shoveling DGEX snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 IGONE Misses everyone except Se Va 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Nam at the altar, we pray. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 6 minutes ago, Allsnow said: IGONE Misses everyone except Se Va Snoozer. Gfs will be similar is my guess 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Another good pattern down the drain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 16 minutes ago, Allsnow said: IGONE Misses everyone except Se Va Weenies were I-conned by those big runs. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 17 minutes ago, Allsnow said: IGONE Misses everyone except Se Va some good ICON EPS members though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 16 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Another good pattern down the drain These blocking patterns are like a mets roster. Looks great until they take the field… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Oh NAM We humbly beseech thee and please bring us copious amounts of frozen water in thy name forever and ever. Amen Author unknown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 41 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yea 12z NAM would slay I think. But obviously can’t take it seriously at that time range. Yes, I really intended that as a joke...but I suppose any straw is worth grabbing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Gfs gonna miss too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 If you guys to track this go to the mid atlantic thread. Lot of good info and vibes down there. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs gonna miss too. Horrible models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, MJO812 said: Horrible models It’s why you can’t always buy into those western lean members Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, CoastalWx said: It’s why you can’t always buy into those western lean members Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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