Torch Tiger Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, JC-CT said: JMA sucks not when it shows a blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 EPS trended E by some 100 mi. Also shrank the spread a little while jumping in intensity, too yeah yeah D5.5 but that's cautionary There are objective arguments to go lower: - Flow's a little less compressed, granted ... but is still not reflected in the S/W translation speed (the speed in which the entire wave structure propagates thru the medium ). - That is likely related to the lack of western ridge construct to improve the frequency of the L/W. That is the background by which the S/W would be conducted to a slower more curved trajectory. That would enhance phasing, sooner... The 12z Euro is ripping the whole bag open - forget the sfc evolution, folks. Watch the 500 mb. You can see the stressed interaction with the S/stream partially absorbed then ripping out down wind and busting up the raviolli. The previous Euro runs were not doing this, which may have been suspicious. I don't know. The ICON/UKMET are improved ... not sure with their performance record if that's helping. That all said, just a little slowing would bring the Euro's prior idea back to the table. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Torch Tiger said: not when it shows a blizzard. I mean the 12z solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Decidedly negative 12z runs today. Need to see a reversal in the next 24 hours or we just kiss another one goodbye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apm Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 13 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: Yeah I guess there are fair amount of members inside the BM but it seems to imply an ENE slide There are exactly zero members inside the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, apm said: There are exactly zero members inside the BM. Yeah. I was looking at the ones south of 40N lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Grab a light - moderate and call it an event? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Grab a light - moderate and call it an event? No that's lame. We've had enough light events to last 4 winters this year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 That system barreling into the four corners mucks up the western/southern part of the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 26 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: Damn. That doesn't look good. I changed my mind I'm ready to throw in the towel pending 00z. I may even smash my phone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 14 minutes ago, JC-CT said: I mean the 12z solution if it didn't show a huge storm for NYC-Templeton, MA, it sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Torch Tiger said: if it didn't show a huge storm for NYC-Templeton, MA, it sucks You seem confused...yes, this is what I was referring to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, JC-CT said: You seem confused...yes, this is what I was referring to no, we good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Pattern supports more of the same, this is another DC storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, RDRY said: That system barreling into the four corners mucks up the western/southern part of the trough. We’ve seen this more times than you can count in the last 3-4 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 13 minutes ago, apm said: There are exactly zero members inside the BM. they meant 35/65 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, qg_omega said: Pattern supports more of the same, this is another DC storm I think its a miss for DC if it misses the rest of the coast, orientation and everything to me argues if its not an across the board big city hit its more or less a miss outside of the Delmarva/SE NJ/Cape and Islands Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 20 minutes ago, RDRY said: That system barreling into the four corners mucks up the western/southern part of the trough. That thing north of maine is a much bigger problem than the four corners shortwave 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 29 minutes ago, apm said: There are exactly zero members inside the BM. What are you looking at? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That thing north of maine is a much bigger problem than the four corners shortwave Yeah, seemed to appear out of nowhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: What are you looking at? I would say 10-15% of those are impactful hits here. Not really a good look at this range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 42 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: Miller As = Ass Yep. I'm not dissapointed....never bought in. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That thing north of maine is a much bigger problem than the four corners shortwave Its always something. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: What are you looking at? Empty beer cans? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yep. I'm not dissapointed....never bought in. I hope no one has “bought it” just yet. Still out day 5+. Threat is legit to watch. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 40 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Pattern supports more of the same, this is another DC storm Different pattern setting up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, MJO812 said: Different pattern setting up ignore the primary currently plowing into buffalo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I hope no one has “bought it” just yet. Still out day 5+. Threat is legit to watch. some are selling, some are buying. smart play is neither until at least tomorrow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: some are selling, some are buying. smart play is neither until at least tomorrow Whose got the Jack? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 6 hours ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: check out our website for 12"+ storms https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/major-storms-12 That is a really awesome link with major CT storm history going back 25 years. This firehose storm had to be one of the craziest gradients I’ve seen going from a couple inches to a couple feet in such a short distance. 2013 was amazing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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