Kitz Craver Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 If this realizes its potential my winter grade goes to the top of the class. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 6 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: If this realizes its potential my winter grade goes to the top of the class. Are you expecting a 50” storm? Lol. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 hour ago, Prismshine Productions said: Why would I ever complain about a 4-8? Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk No way. I’d go full Ray mode if that happens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Are you expecting a 50” storm? Lol. Tbf winter isn't over yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: 6z way better vs 00z there. Yes later capture and that will keep trending east. EOR special incoming like the old days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yes later capture and that will keep trending east. EOR special like the old days. Who hurt you 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 Just now, JC-CT said: Tbf winter isn't over yet LR change again brief break in storms then N Stream kicks in. Big big March? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 No way. I’d go full Ray mode if that happens.Sey-More said I wouldn't like it, but .45 liquid would be a solid advisory-low end warning depending on ratios, was basing my 4-8 comment off that image aloneSent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yes later capture and that will keep trending east. EOR special incoming like the old days. You get fucking smoked on 6 Z Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, JC-CT said: Who hurt you Forecasting without snow goggles on, that’s all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Who hurt youSomeone being greedy and wanting a jackpot while porking over everyone WoR is my guessSent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Forecasting without snow goggles on, that’s all. You have anti-snow goggles on, you are dismissing possibilities that are absolutely in play, even when others are as well 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 this is not a late blooming Miller B Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Forecasting without snow goggles on, that’s all. When will you fully undress and let the weenie out ? 12z today or tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Someone being greedy and wanting a jackpot while porking over everyone WoR is my guess Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk Life is tough sometimes WOR. Coastals like to set up death bands EOR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Sey-More said I wouldn't like it, but .45 liquid would be a solid advisory-low end warning depending on ratios, was basing my 4-8 comment off that image alone Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk We’re on the cusp of some epic depths up here. I want nothing under a foot from that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 Just now, dendrite said: We’re on the cusp of some epic depths up here. I want nothing under a foot from that. Gonna take a ride next week.Best depths? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 34 minutes ago, apm said: The 06Z means of EPS And GFS are way offshore, I think Ray is going to be right on this. That's not how this works.. EPS mean is barely east of BM and has a west lean, there are 5-10 non phasers so far east that ruin the mean, if you take out the 5 east outliers you get a mean inside the BM 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: When will you fully undress and let the weenie out ? 12z today or tomorrow? 12z Wed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: That's not how this works.. EPS mean is barely east of BM and has a west lean, there are 5-10 non phasers so far east that ruin the mean, if you take out the 5 east outliers and 5 west outliers you get a mean just inside the BM probably.. Yeah a cool product in these situations would be something like "median localized slp minumum in lat/lon space" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Life is tough sometimes WOR. Coastals like to set up death bands EOR Exactly and euro is notorious for errors on early captures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 12z Wed I'll take the under on 12z Wed, we will welcome you back with open arms.. All we need is a normal Nor"easter with no mixing thats the bar with this one.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 6z Euro AI has shifted more west 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 We’re on the cusp of some epic depths up here. I want nothing under a foot from that. I mean, I fully agree with you, but was solely going off the image that was provided... Nothing more than thatSent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: I'll take the under on 12z Wed How many times has wct been burned by biggie busts/misses? 2015, 2017, 2018, 2022…just to name a few. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Gonna take a ride next week.Best depths? It’s pretty good away from the busy areas from the Lakes through here and into W/SW NH. The North Conway area probably has a little more right now. But we will have a meaty 24” by Sunday afternoon so a biggun next week could have us near 3ft. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: How many times has wct been burned by biggie busts/misses? 2015, 2017, 2018, 2022…just to name a few. We don't know who will get the shaft if anyone, right now we are in a very good spot on this one. On the contrary western CT has been nailed 2006, 2011, 2013, 2017, 2021.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: How many times has wct been burned by biggie busts/misses? 2015, 2017, 2018, 2022…just to name a few. Pretty strong recency bias there. Go look at the top nesis storms, see how many did better wor vs eor, you might be surprised 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, JC-CT said: Pretty strong recency bias there. Go look at the top nesis storms, see how many did better wor vs eor, you might be surprised check out our website for 12"+ storms https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/major-storms-12 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: We don't know who will get the shaft if anyone, right now we are in a very good spot on this one. On the contrary western CT has been nailed 2006, 2011, 2013, 2017, 2021.. This could end up looking like 2016 for all we know 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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