George001 Posted Monday at 04:44 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:44 PM 54 minutes ago, MJO812 said: They did well You mean Virginia Yes they did, tossing the gfs/gefs was a mistake. Did way better with this than the Euro and Canadian. AI models did well too. I know I said yesterday we still have a shot but unfortunately things have only gotten worse on the models since then. This threat is cooked 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted Monday at 04:51 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:51 PM Even the mid Atlantic might be in trouble with this one. It doesn’t even look like a strong storm anymore, no phasing at all, weak and strung out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted Monday at 04:54 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:54 PM 23 minutes ago, CentralCTwx said: Quite literally the worst handling of a system by the Euro in recent memory. Canadian was just as bad The weenie melts in southern Delaware must be epic. From 20”+ to an inch in a few cycles. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted Monday at 04:56 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:56 PM Shouldn’t we be applauding the guidance for nailing this one? All guidance showing a LP to Bermuda for days is great consistency. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted Monday at 05:02 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:02 PM 30 minutes ago, CentralCTwx said: Quite literally the worst handling of a system by the Euro in recent memory. Canadian was just as bad It’s had many actually. This was bad though, agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted Monday at 05:04 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:04 PM 34 minutes ago, CentralCTwx said: Quite literally the worst handling of a system by the Euro in recent memory. Canadian was just as bad It handled it about as poorly as the GFS handled 1/11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted Monday at 05:10 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:10 PM 16 minutes ago, Hoth said: The weenie melts in southern Delaware must be epic. From 20”+ to an inch in a few cycles. DC had a 10" 24 hour snow mean at day 4.. 90+% 6" more with several eps members dropping 20"+ over them.. That's a bad fail at day 4 for EPS and EURO for the DC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted Monday at 05:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:17 PM 2 hours ago, Briz600 said: Rough stretch continues for SNE This hasn’t been a rough stretch at all. Sure, our fantasy big ones haven’t panned out but I’ve had more snowcover days on the coast this season than the last 3-4 years combined. Piles are huge right now, looks we’ve had a 12”+ storm. Pretty consistent cold too. A rough stretch would be the last 2 winters. This one has not been that despite all the medium range fails. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted Monday at 05:18 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:18 PM Just now, BombsAway1288 said: This hasn’t been a rough stretch at all. Sure, our fantasy big ones haven’t panned out but I’ve had more snowcover days on the coast this season than the last 3-4 years combined. Piles are huge right now, looks we’ve had a 12”+ storm. Pretty consistent cold too. A rough stretch would be the last 2 winters. This one has not been that despite all the medium range fails. Snow retention A+ this year , snowfall to date C- 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northof78 Posted Monday at 05:19 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:19 PM 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah this thing really never got inside D5. I mentioned that to Ray yesterday on how the discourse was pretty insane for 156 hour model solutions. I get that there was cross-model agreement but it’s still like D7, lol. It could have come back after slipping over the weekend but the time for that was probably yesterday. Hey ORH, what are up to this weekend so far, it seems from roughly the M/D line south snowfall is above normal, while from M/D through SNE (maybe CNE) remains below normal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 05:19 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:19 PM I wasted 2 post on this, Next up on the menu, Is next Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Monday at 05:22 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:22 PM Finally…a Thursday commute that won’t be shitty. Time to unpin this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted Monday at 05:30 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:30 PM At least i won’t have to be pissed someone gets demolished 100 miles south of me while I get coastal flurries with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Monday at 05:40 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:40 PM 19 minutes ago, Northof78 said: Hey ORH, what are up to this weekend so far, it seems from roughly the M/D line south snowfall is above normal, while from M/D through SNE (maybe CNE) remains below normal? Solidly below normal for snowfall so far. But retention has been good. Been continuous snow cover save for 2 days since 1/11 plus had a decent stretch in December with cover (including Xmas)….snowfall is a D for a grade so far but retention and temps bring the overall grade up some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Monday at 05:53 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:53 PM Euro barely has a storm What a disaster 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted Monday at 06:14 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:14 PM 33 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Solidly below normal for snowfall so far. But retention has been good. Been continuous snow cover save for 2 days since 1/11 plus had a decent stretch in December with cover (including Xmas)….snowfall is a D for a grade so far but retention and temps bring the overall grade up some. What's your seasonal total? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Monday at 06:22 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:22 PM 28 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro barely has a storm What a disaster -1 on the NESIS scale. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted Monday at 06:38 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:38 PM 1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Snow retention B+ this year , snowfall to date D- I’m a difficult grader. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted Monday at 06:46 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:46 PM For me, snow total is 80% of the grade while retention is 10%, cold 10%. Since retention is dependent on cold it’s kind of 80/20. Overall grade to date is a D. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted Monday at 07:02 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:02 PM Starting to rack up a lot of BN winters...Even if I cut the average down to 45/season...were still running way below the last 20 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted Monday at 07:15 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:15 PM Wintry appeal: C+ (includes # of days with flakes flying and cold) Snowfall: D- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted Monday at 07:25 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:25 PM 45 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I’m a difficult grader. This year gets a C- for snow because it doesn’t feel as bad with 7 of the last 8 years being below average. If this was pre 2018 it would get an F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Monday at 07:45 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:45 PM 1 hour ago, H2Otown_WX said: What's your seasonal total? About 30-31”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted Monday at 07:45 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:45 PM The last time KBOS had 3 below normal months for temps during winter before this year was 2013-2014. I think folks are being a bit harsh on the grading but to each his own I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 07:50 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:50 PM My grading on winter, Snow total, 50%, Snow retention 30% cold 20%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted Monday at 07:53 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:53 PM 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: About 30-31”. Wow, I'm actually not far behind that's pretty rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted Monday at 07:55 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:55 PM 2 hours ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Snow retention A+ this year , snowfall to date C- 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I’m a difficult grader. Weird year. I want to give it an F but I don’t know if I can given the snowfall retention, white Christmas, and below zero temperature in January. I’m still sub 20”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Monday at 08:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:17 PM 31 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said: The last time KBOS had 3 below normal months for temps during winter before this year was 2013-2014. I think folks are being a bit harsh on the grading but to each his own I guess There’s a reason the 1980s aren’t remembered fondly around here for those old enough to experience some of those winters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Monday at 08:22 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:22 PM 34 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said: The last time KBOS had 3 below normal months for temps during winter before this year was 2013-2014. I think folks are being a bit harsh on the grading but to each his own I guess We have torched normals now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 08:36 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:36 PM 18z NAM says Cape may get some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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