ORH_wxman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Euro does look close. If that trainwreck north of Maine eases just a bit, that could still be a decent hit at least for SE areas. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 5:41 PM, kdxken said: Shut your negative pie hole. This fella says there's still a chance. Expand What a clown. I think the “historic blizzard” aspect is off the table for the DC-BOS crowd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 4:04 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think its a no-brainer anywhere south of us because Jan 7 was NBD. Expand I actually also prefer last winter because the 2/13(?) storm was a MECS here 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 5:41 PM, kdxken said: Shut your negative pie hole. This fella says there's still a chance. Expand I think that is the best approach as of right now...continue to monitor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 EURO and GFS are like identical. She gone I think 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 I’m crying uncle at this point. I’ve paid enough. Now we lose the late week storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 5:57 PM, Kitz Craver said: EURO and GFS are like identical. She gone I think Expand At the moment, but still close enough to check over the next few cycles, especially far SE zones 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Light - mod https://x.com/ericfisher/status/1891186240290017671?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 I expect Skynet to back off given the overall 12z trend but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 5:42 PM, ORH_wxman said: Euro does look close. If that trainwreck north of Maine eases just a bit, that could still be a decent hit at least for SE areas. Expand what exactly is the trainwreck north of ME? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 6:05 PM, DJln491 said: what exactly is the trainwreck north of ME? Expand Canada. 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 NAM looks decent at the end with the mid-level look, but it's the NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 6:05 PM, DJln491 said: what exactly is the trainwreck north of ME? Expand You have some random vorts rotating down east of the block over Hudson Bay. We need that to ease just a touch to allow the huge ULL to amplify the downstream ridging a bit more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 6:16 PM, ORH_wxman said: You have some random vorts rotating down east of the block over Hudson Bay. We need that to ease just a touch to allow the huge ULL to amplify the downstream ridging a bit more. Expand I’ll take Scooter shit streaks for 100 Alec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 That's a brick wall look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Tree issues increasing across northwest / west-central CT... 3 trees recently reported down in Burlington, along with reports of wires arcing... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 5:42 PM, ORH_wxman said: Euro does look close. If that trainwreck north of Maine eases just a bit, that could still be a decent hit at least for SE areas. Expand Damn shit streak. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 5:42 PM, ORH_wxman said: Euro does look close. If that trainwreck north of Maine eases just a bit, that could still be a decent hit at least for SE areas. Expand Hopefully it holds firm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 5:56 PM, Great Snow 1717 said: I think that is the best approach as of right now...continue to monitor Expand Coming from that moron, its a legit defense mechanism. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 5:28 PM, Great Snow 1717 said: ..and the snow from that storm was gone within days... Expand Right, but just me...I'd rather see a 20" event melt quickly, than get porked in every direction with decent retention.....but I understand your POV and I'm probably in the minority. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 I wouldn’t mind that confluence easing some and actually get a legit storm after still feeling porked but why actually think something would go right lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 7:07 PM, CoastalWx said: I wouldn’t mind that confluence easing some and actually get a legit storm after still feeling porked but why actually think something would go right lol. Expand The reason I don't want it is that I'm just about 100% sure that it would be over CJ land and I'd still get fu(ked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 This is not terrible actually 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 7:11 PM, Damage In Tolland said: This is not terrible actually Expand It's pretty terrible. 3 6 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 7:11 PM, Damage In Tolland said: This is not terrible actually Expand It is if you live off of the cape. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 7:13 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: It is if you live off of the cape. Expand I mean just to get some snow in here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/16/2025 at 7:13 PM, CT Rain said: It's pretty terrible. Expand "If I squint and catch her at the right angle, she has a beautiful smile"... 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 yeah, I don't think I agree with that. This predicament is because of the wave frequencies being transmitting down stream from the from Pacific. The ridge in the west is too flat. The L/W frequency from off the west coast through the continent is low. Y coordinate is shallow compared to the X coordinate, which is stretched. A higher latitude arced ridge in the west, would plumb this N/stream SPV fragment along a deeper solution into the OV - that's what tips the flow up the coast and normalizes that height field in SE Canada. That train wreck is there because these aspects are missing... If there was a greater frequency spanning the medium, it would negatively interfere with those feature N of Maine and the solution would dampen that aspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Appropriate frowning face outside the benchmark. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Mean is getting some realistic QPF into SE zones despite good agreement on the southeast position of the lows…prob some decent upper air support like a pseudo-IVT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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